IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Washington St.
West Coast
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+2.1	#128
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	75.4	#26
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+1.8	#119

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.3	#151

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.6%	3.0%	0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.6%	0.7%	0.1%
Average Seed	10.7	10.6	11.6

.500 or above	52.3%	57.8%	28.7%
.500 or above in Conference	51.0%	54.4%	36.4%
Conference Champion	2.1%	2.4%	0.7%
Last Place in Conference	4.9%	3.9%	9.2%

First Four	0.4%	0.4%	0.1%
First Round	2.4%	2.8%	0.9%
Second Round	0.6%	0.8%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Idaho (Home) - 81.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	2 - 4	2 - 8
Quad 3	5 - 5	7 - 13
Quad 4	8 - 2	15 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	239	Idaho	W	81-72	81%
Nov 07, 2025	145	@ Davidson	L	73-75	44%
Nov 10, 2025	149	St. Thomas	W	80-75	66%
Nov 14, 2025	48	Washington	L	74-80	29%
Nov 19, 2025	271	Southern Utah	W	82-71	83%
Dec 02, 2025	107	@ Bradley	L	70-75	32%
Dec 07, 2025	104	Nevada	W	71-70	51%
Dec 14, 2025	29	@ USC	L	70-85	9%
Dec 17, 2025	259	Eastern Washington	W	79-72	74%
Dec 20, 2025	246	Mercer	W	83-73	80%
Dec 28, 2025	265	@ Portland	W	81-76	66%
Dec 30, 2025	121	@ Seattle	L	70-73	39%
Jan 02, 2026	135	Loyola Marymount	W	76-73	62%
Jan 04, 2026	117	Oregon St.	W	74-72	57%
Jan 10, 2026	49	@ St. Mary's	L	61-73	15%
Jan 15, 2026	18	Gonzaga	L	76-87	18%
Jan 17, 2026	77	@ San Francisco	L	72-80	25%
Jan 21, 2026	180	@ San Diego	W	81-80	51%
Jan 24, 2026	244	Pepperdine	W	82-72	79%
Jan 28, 2026	121	Seattle	W	73-70	58%
Jan 31, 2026	265	Portland	W	84-73	82%
Feb 04, 2026	117	@ Oregon St.	L	71-75	37%
Feb 07, 2026	106	Santa Clara	W	78-77	52%
Feb 10, 2026	18	@ Gonzaga	L	73-90	7%
Feb 18, 2026	219	Pacific	W	79-71	76%
Feb 21, 2026	49	St. Mary's	L	64-70	31%
Feb 25, 2026	135	@ Loyola Marymount	L	73-76	42%
Feb 28, 2026	244	@ Pepperdine	W	79-75	62%
Projected Record						14 - 14	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected West Coast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	0.4	0.8	0.5	0.2	0.0		2.1	1st
2nd												0.2	0.9	1.8	1.7	0.8	0.1				5.6	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.5	2.1	3.3	2.5	0.7	0.0					9.2	3rd
4th									0.0	0.6	3.0	4.6	2.5	0.4	0.0						11.3	4th
5th								0.0	0.8	3.9	4.9	2.6	0.3	0.0							12.5	5th
6th							0.0	0.6	4.0	5.8	2.3	0.3	0.0								13.0	6th
7th						0.0	0.5	3.6	5.6	2.2	0.3										12.2	7th
8th					0.0	0.3	3.0	5.0	2.0	0.2											10.7	8th
9th					0.4	2.3	4.2	1.8	0.2												8.9	9th
10th			0.0	0.3	2.0	3.3	1.5	0.2	0.0												7.2	10th
11th		0.0	0.3	1.4	1.9	0.9	0.1														4.7	11th
12th	0.1	0.4	0.8	0.9	0.3	0.0															2.5	12th

Total	0.1	0.5	1.1	2.6	4.7	6.9	9.4	11.2	12.6	12.8	11.1	9.8	7.2	4.9	2.8	1.6	0.6	0.2	0.0			Total

West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-2	86.4%	0.5		0.3	0.2	0.0
15-3	49.8%	0.8		0.4	0.4	0.1
14-4	12.4%	0.4		0.1	0.1	0.1
13-5	4.3%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1
12-6	0.6%	0.0			0.0	0.0		0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.1%	2.1		1.0	0.7	0.2	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		100.0%	73.7%	26.3%	5.1			0.0			0.0			0.0											100.0%
17-1	0.2%		67.8%	19.9%	47.9%	8.0					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0						0.1		59.8%
16-2	0.6%		46.7%	29.4%	17.3%	9.4						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1						0.3		24.5%
15-3	1.6%		35.3%	23.2%	12.2%	10.4									0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0					1.0		15.9%
14-4	2.8%		15.1%	10.7%	4.4%	10.7										0.0	0.1	0.3	0.0					2.4		5.0%
13-5	4.9%		8.6%	7.7%	0.9%	11.1											0.1	0.3	0.1	0.0				4.5		0.9%
12-6	7.2%		4.7%	4.5%	0.2%	11.4											0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0				6.8		0.2%
11-7	9.8%		1.9%	1.9%		11.7												0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			9.7
10-8	11.1%		1.1%	1.0%	0.1%	12.0												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			11.0		0.1%
9-9	12.8%		0.5%	0.5%		12.4												0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0	12.7
8-10	12.6%		0.2%	0.2%		12.3													0.0	0.0				12.6
7-11	11.2%																							11.2
6-12	9.4%		0.1%	0.1%		14.0															0.0			9.4
5-13	6.9%																							6.9
4-14	4.7%																							4.7
3-15	2.6%																							2.6
2-16	1.1%																							1.1
1-17	0.5%																							0.5
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		2.6%	2.0%	0.6%	10.7			0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.2	0.4	0.1	0.0		0.0	97.4		0.6%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.0%	100.0%	3.5		50.0			50.0