IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Seattle
West Coast
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+2.5	#121
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.5	#251
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.0	#201

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+3.4	#82

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.2%	3.4%	0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.7%	0.8%	0.0%
Average Seed	10.7	10.7	10.6

.500 or above	63.7%	66.1%	33.9%
.500 or above in Conference	53.9%	55.5%	34.4%
Conference Champion	2.4%	2.5%	0.6%
Last Place in Conference	4.5%	4.0%	10.5%

First Four	0.5%	0.5%	0.0%
First Round	3.0%	3.1%	0.6%
Second Round	0.7%	0.7%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Denver (Home) - 92.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	2 - 4	2 - 7
Quad 3	5 - 4	7 - 12
Quad 4	9 - 2	16 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	322	Denver	W	74-59	92%
Nov 08, 2025	253	Cal Poly	W	81-71	83%
Nov 12, 2025	259	Eastern Washington	W	73-62	84%
Nov 15, 2025	287	Idaho St.	W	72-59	87%
Nov 21, 2025	99	@ Stanford	L	63-69	30%
Nov 28, 2025	197	Texas St.	W	69-64	66%
Dec 07, 2025	160	UTEP	W	70-64	70%
Dec 17, 2025	255	@ UC Davis	W	67-62	65%
Dec 19, 2025	48	Washington	L	66-72	31%
Dec 22, 2025	168	@ Texas San Antonio	W	71-70	51%
Dec 28, 2025	77	San Francisco	L	67-69	44%
Dec 30, 2025	128	Washington St.	W	73-70	61%
Jan 02, 2026	18	@ Gonzaga	L	64-81	8%
Jan 04, 2026	49	@ St. Mary's	L	54-66	16%
Jan 08, 2026	117	@ Oregon St.	L	63-67	38%
Jan 15, 2026	180	San Diego	W	76-69	72%
Jan 17, 2026	18	Gonzaga	L	67-78	18%
Jan 21, 2026	135	Loyola Marymount	W	69-65	63%
Jan 24, 2026	219	@ Pacific	W	69-66	59%
Jan 28, 2026	128	@ Washington St.	L	70-73	42%
Feb 04, 2026	244	Pepperdine	W	74-64	80%
Feb 07, 2026	265	@ Portland	W	72-67	67%
Feb 11, 2026	106	@ Santa Clara	L	67-72	35%
Feb 15, 2026	117	Oregon St.	W	66-64	58%
Feb 18, 2026	49	St. Mary's	L	57-63	32%
Feb 21, 2026	265	Portland	W	75-64	82%
Feb 25, 2026	244	@ Pepperdine	W	71-67	63%
Feb 28, 2026	135	@ Loyola Marymount	L	66-68	43%
Projected Record						15 - 13	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected West Coast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.5	0.7	0.7	0.2	0.0		2.4	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	0.9	2.2	2.2	0.9	0.2				6.6	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.5	2.4	4.0	2.6	0.7	0.0					10.1	3rd
4th									0.0	0.6	3.2	4.9	2.9	0.4	0.0						12.1	4th
5th								0.0	0.8	3.6	5.5	2.4	0.3	0.0							12.8	5th
6th							0.0	0.6	3.7	5.5	2.4	0.3	0.0								12.5	6th
7th							0.5	3.5	4.9	2.2	0.2										11.2	7th
8th						0.5	2.9	4.8	2.0	0.2	0.0										10.4	8th
9th				0.0	0.3	2.3	4.0	1.9	0.2												8.7	9th
10th			0.0	0.3	1.8	2.8	1.3	0.2	0.0												6.4	10th
11th		0.0	0.4	1.4	1.9	0.8	0.1														4.6	11th
12th	0.1	0.4	0.8	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0														2.4	12th

Total	0.1	0.4	1.2	2.5	4.2	6.4	8.8	11.0	11.6	12.2	11.8	10.2	8.1	5.4	3.4	1.7	0.8	0.2	0.0			Total

West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2
16-2	81.0%	0.7		0.4	0.2
15-3	44.1%	0.7		0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0
14-4	15.6%	0.5		0.1	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-5	2.5%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.2%	0.0				0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.4%	2.4		1.2	0.9	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		83.3%	50.0%	33.3%	6.0				0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0		0.0							0.0		66.7%
17-1	0.2%		71.5%	33.9%	37.6%	8.5				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0						0.1		56.9%
16-2	0.8%		48.0%	21.0%	27.0%	9.6				0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1						0.4		34.2%
15-3	1.7%		31.3%	19.2%	12.1%	10.5									0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.0					1.2		14.9%
14-4	3.4%		16.8%	13.5%	3.3%	10.8									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.1					2.8		3.8%
13-5	5.4%		10.4%	9.5%	0.9%	11.1									0.0		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.0				4.9		1.0%
12-6	8.1%		4.5%	4.4%	0.1%	11.6											0.0	0.2	0.2	0.0				7.8		0.1%
11-7	10.2%		2.6%	2.5%	0.1%	11.6											0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0				10.0		0.1%
10-8	11.8%		1.6%	1.6%		12.0												0.0	0.1	0.0				11.6
9-9	12.2%		0.5%	0.5%		12.2												0.0	0.0	0.0				12.1
8-10	11.6%		0.1%	0.1%		12.0													0.0					11.6
7-11	11.0%																							11.0
6-12	8.8%		0.1%	0.1%		14.0															0.0			8.8
5-13	6.4%																							6.4
4-14	4.2%																							4.2
3-15	2.5%																							2.5
2-16	1.2%																							1.2
1-17	0.4%																							0.4
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		3.2%	2.4%	0.7%	10.7				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.6	1.4	0.7	0.1	0.0			96.8		0.7%