Preseason Rankings
Abilene Christian
Western Athletic
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.7#166
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace72.0#69
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#252
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#109
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.1% 21.2% 12.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.4 14.2
.500 or above 58.8% 68.8% 42.3%
.500 or above in Conference 70.8% 76.5% 61.4%
Conference Champion 21.1% 25.2% 14.4%
Last Place in Conference 7.1% 5.1% 10.4%
First Four1.0% 0.7% 1.5%
First Round18.0% 21.2% 12.7%
Second Round1.3% 1.8% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Nebraska Omaha (Home) - 62.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 21 - 4
Quad 34 - 65 - 10
Quad 411 - 416 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2025 177   Nebraska Omaha W 74-70 62%    
  Nov 14, 2025 220   @ Stephen F. Austin L 67-68 49%    
  Nov 18, 2025 197   @ Texas St. L 69-70 44%    
  Nov 23, 2025 168   Texas San Antonio W 75-74 50%    
  Nov 25, 2025 226   William & Mary W 78-75 60%    
  Dec 02, 2025 244   @ Pepperdine W 73-72 54%    
  Dec 06, 2025 139   New Mexico St. W 67-66 53%    
  Dec 16, 2025 11   @ Arizona L 64-86 3%    
  Dec 19, 2025 9   @ BYU L 63-85 3%    
  Dec 22, 2025 290   @ Texas Southern W 73-69 62%    
  Jan 01, 2026 269   Utah Tech W 74-66 76%    
  Jan 03, 2026 118   Utah Valley L 69-70 49%    
  Jan 08, 2026 273   @ Tarleton St. W 66-64 58%    
  Jan 10, 2026 190   @ Texas Arlington L 70-72 45%    
  Jan 15, 2026 174   California Baptist W 70-67 62%    
  Jan 17, 2026 271   @ Southern Utah W 72-70 57%    
  Jan 24, 2026 273   @ Tarleton St. W 66-64 58%    
  Jan 29, 2026 269   Utah Tech W 74-66 75%    
  Jan 31, 2026 271   Southern Utah W 75-67 75%    
  Feb 05, 2026 118   @ Utah Valley L 67-73 30%    
  Feb 07, 2026 174   @ California Baptist L 67-70 42%    
  Feb 12, 2026 190   Texas Arlington W 73-69 65%    
  Feb 14, 2026 273   Tarleton St. W 69-61 75%    
  Feb 21, 2026 271   Southern Utah W 75-67 75%    
  Feb 26, 2026 269   @ Utah Tech W 71-69 57%    
  Feb 28, 2026 118   @ Utah Valley L 67-73 30%    
  Mar 05, 2026 174   @ California Baptist L 67-70 41%    
  Mar 07, 2026 190   Texas Arlington W 73-69 65%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.7 3.9 5.0 4.9 3.3 1.4 0.4 21.1 1st
2nd 0.3 1.9 5.0 7.0 5.2 2.5 0.6 0.1 22.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 3.7 6.1 5.1 2.0 0.4 0.0 18.2 3rd
4th 0.2 1.8 4.2 5.2 2.8 0.7 0.0 15.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.5 2.3 3.8 3.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 10.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.0 2.2 2.6 1.4 0.3 0.0 7.9 6th
7th 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.0 4.4 7th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.4 3.5 5.4 7.1 8.5 10.1 11.0 11.3 10.7 9.5 7.4 5.6 3.4 1.4 0.4 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
17-1 100.0% 1.4    1.4
16-2 98.1% 3.3    3.2 0.2
15-3 88.7% 4.9    4.2 0.8
14-4 66.8% 5.0    3.5 1.4 0.1
13-5 40.5% 3.9    2.0 1.7 0.2 0.0
12-6 16.3% 1.7    0.6 0.8 0.4 0.0
11-7 4.0% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 21.1% 21.1 15.2 4.9 0.9 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.4% 74.5% 72.8% 1.7% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 6.2%
17-1 1.4% 62.5% 60.9% 1.5% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.9%
16-2 3.4% 55.4% 55.4% 12.3 0.3 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.5
15-3 5.6% 46.0% 46.0% 12.9 0.1 0.8 1.1 0.5 0.0 3.0
14-4 7.4% 37.1% 37.1% 13.4 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.7
13-5 9.5% 31.5% 31.5% 13.9 0.3 0.9 1.1 0.6 0.1 6.5
12-6 10.7% 23.4% 23.4% 14.4 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.8 0.2 8.2
11-7 11.3% 15.9% 15.9% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.3 9.5
10-8 11.0% 9.1% 9.1% 16.6 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 10.0
9-9 10.1% 6.9% 6.9% 17.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 9.4
8-10 8.5% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 8.1
7-11 7.1% 2.7% 2.7% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 6.9
6-12 5.4% 1.4% 1.4% 17.4 0.0 0.1 5.3
5-13 3.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.4
4-14 2.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.4
3-15 1.4% 1.4
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 18.1% 18.0% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.1 4.6 4.7 3.5 1.7 81.9 0.0%