Preseason Rankings
Texas Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.3#290
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace73.2#54
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.7#323
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#221
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.6% 26.0% 8.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 17.4 13.7 15.5
.500 or above 38.9% 80.8% 38.7%
.500 or above in Conference 66.6% 93.1% 66.5%
Conference Champion 7.3% 19.1% 7.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.0% 0.5%
First Four4.0% 0.0% 4.0%
First Round7.7% 26.0% 7.6%
Second Round0.1% 1.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 1.4% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Gonzaga (Away) - 0.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 31 - 41 - 9
Quad 412 - 713 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 18   @ Gonzaga L 63-90 1%    
  Nov 06, 2025 36   @ Texas A&M L 58-82 2%    
  Nov 12, 2025 171   Samford L 75-78 38%    
  Nov 15, 2025 197   @ Texas St. L 66-74 23%    
  Nov 20, 2025 41   @ Vanderbilt L 64-87 2%    
  Dec 06, 2025 199   Sam Houston St. L 71-73 43%    
  Dec 14, 2025 87   @ Minnesota L 58-74 8%    
  Dec 17, 2025 31   @ North Carolina St. L 58-82 2%    
  Dec 22, 2025 166   Abilene Christian L 69-73 38%    
  Jan 03, 2026 189   @ Southern L 66-74 24%    
  Jan 05, 2026 284   @ Grambling St. L 64-67 39%    
  Jan 10, 2026 364   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 86-67 95%    
  Jan 12, 2026 365   Mississippi Valley W 76-56 96%    
  Jan 17, 2026 323   @ Alcorn St. L 67-68 48%    
  Jan 19, 2026 238   @ Jackson St. L 69-75 30%    
  Jan 24, 2026 327   Alabama A&M W 78-72 69%    
  Jan 26, 2026 289   Alabama St. W 73-70 59%    
  Jan 31, 2026 340   @ Prairie View W 75-74 54%    
  Feb 07, 2026 338   @ Florida A&M W 71-70 52%    
  Feb 09, 2026 249   @ Bethune-Cookman L 69-75 32%    
  Feb 14, 2026 284   Grambling St. W 67-64 59%    
  Feb 16, 2026 189   Southern L 69-71 42%    
  Feb 21, 2026 364   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83-70 86%    
  Feb 21, 2026 365   @ Mississippi Valley W 73-59 88%    
  Feb 26, 2026 323   Alcorn St. W 70-65 68%    
  Feb 28, 2026 238   Jackson St. L 72-73 50%    
  Mar 05, 2026 340   Prairie View W 78-71 72%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 10 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.1 2.3 1.1 0.3 7.3 1st
2nd 0.5 2.4 3.8 2.6 0.7 0.1 10.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.6 5.4 2.5 0.5 0.0 12.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.9 5.6 2.5 0.3 0.0 13.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.7 5.8 2.5 0.3 0.0 12.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.8 5.4 2.5 0.2 0.0 11.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.7 4.9 2.4 0.3 10.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.0 2.4 0.2 0.0 8.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.8 1.6 0.2 0.0 6.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.8 0.8 0.2 4.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.2 11th
12th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.2 4.0 6.2 8.8 10.8 12.6 13.0 12.5 10.9 7.9 5.3 2.9 1.2 0.3 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 94.1% 1.1    1.0 0.1
15-3 76.4% 2.3    1.5 0.7 0.1
14-4 40.0% 2.1    0.9 0.9 0.3
13-5 15.5% 1.2    0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1
12-6 2.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.3% 7.3 4.1 2.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.3% 65.8% 65.8% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 1.2% 46.1% 46.1% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.6
15-3 2.9% 34.1% 34.1% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 1.9
14-4 5.3% 25.1% 25.1% 17.6 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 4.0
13-5 7.9% 18.8% 18.8% 18.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 6.4
12-6 10.9% 14.2% 14.2% 18.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.5 9.3
11-7 12.5% 7.9% 7.9% 18.0 0.1 1.0 11.5
10-8 13.0% 6.0% 6.0% 16.8 0.0 0.8 12.2
9-9 12.6% 3.3% 3.3% 16.5 0.0 0.4 12.2
8-10 10.8% 1.6% 1.6% 17.4 0.2 10.6
7-11 8.8% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 8.7
6-12 6.2% 6.2
5-13 4.0% 4.0
4-14 2.2% 2.2
3-15 1.0% 1.0
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 8.6% 8.6% 0.0% 17.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.1 6.1 91.4 0.0%