IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Brown
Ivy League
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-0.8	#169
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.3	#259
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.0	#232

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+1.2	#128

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	11.9%	13.5%	8.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.5	13.2	13.8

.500 or above	66.3%	74.8%	47.4%
.500 or above in Conference	64.6%	69.1%	54.7%
Conference Champion	14.1%	16.5%	8.7%
Last Place in Conference	8.6%	6.6%	13.0%

First Four	0.2%	0.1%	0.4%
First Round	12.0%	13.6%	8.4%
Second Round	1.0%	1.2%	0.5%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Siena (Home) - 68.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	1 - 4
Quad 3	3 - 4	4 - 8
Quad 4	11 - 4	15 - 12

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2025	213	Siena	W	70-65	69%
Nov 09, 2025	207	Vermont	W	64-59	67%
Nov 12, 2025	280	@ Boston University	W	64-61	60%
Nov 14, 2025	235	Hampton	W	68-62	72%
Nov 18, 2025	346	Holy Cross	W	74-60	90%
Nov 20, 2025	298	@ Stony Brook	W	68-64	64%
Nov 23, 2025	285	@ Maine	W	65-62	61%
Nov 26, 2025	356	@ New Hampshire	W	73-63	80%
Dec 02, 2025	143	@ Rhode Island	L	68-73	34%
Dec 05, 2025	248	Bryant	W	76-69	72%
Dec 09, 2025	61	@ Providence	L	61-74	13%
Dec 21, 2025	29	@ USC	L	61-79	6%
Jan 05, 2026	97	Yale	L	67-70	39%
Jan 10, 2026	278	@ Penn	W	71-68	58%
Jan 17, 2026	267	Columbia	W	78-70	74%
Jan 19, 2026	165	Cornell	W	76-73	59%
Jan 24, 2026	179	@ Princeton	L	65-68	42%
Jan 30, 2026	178	Harvard	W	67-64	62%
Jan 31, 2026	229	Dartmouth	W	73-67	69%
Feb 06, 2026	97	@ Yale	L	64-73	22%
Feb 13, 2026	178	@ Harvard	L	64-67	43%
Feb 14, 2026	229	@ Dartmouth	L	69-70	50%
Feb 20, 2026	179	Princeton	W	68-65	61%
Feb 27, 2026	267	@ Columbia	W	75-73	56%
Feb 28, 2026	165	@ Cornell	L	73-76	40%
Mar 06, 2026	278	Penn	W	74-65	76%
Projected Record						14 - 12	8 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ivy League Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.0	0.8	2.8	4.4	3.7	1.9	0.4		14.1	1st
2nd								0.1	2.1	6.2	6.2	2.8	0.5				17.9	2nd
3rd							0.2	2.9	7.1	5.2	1.3	0.1					16.7	3rd
4th						0.1	2.9	7.2	4.5	0.6	0.0						15.3	4th
5th					0.2	2.8	6.4	3.3	0.3								13.1	5th
6th				0.3	2.4	4.9	2.5	0.2									10.3	6th
7th		0.0	0.6	2.0	3.5	1.5	0.1										7.7	7th
8th	0.2	0.8	1.7	1.6	0.6	0.1											5.0	8th

Total	0.2	0.9	2.2	3.9	6.7	9.3	12.2	13.7	14.1	12.8	10.3	7.3	4.2	1.9	0.4			Total

Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.4		0.4
13-1	100.0%	1.9		1.8	0.0
12-2	88.8%	3.7		3.0	0.7	0.0
11-3	60.9%	4.4		2.4	1.8	0.2	0.0
10-4	27.2%	2.8		0.8	1.4	0.6	0.1
9-5	6.4%	0.8		0.1	0.2	0.4	0.1
8-6	0.3%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	14.1%	14.1		8.4	4.2	1.2	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.4%		71.3%	69.2%	2.1%	10.9							0.0			0.0		0.1	0.1	0.0				0.1		6.7%
13-1	1.9%		48.5%	48.1%	0.4%	12.0											0.0	0.2	0.5	0.2	0.0			1.0		0.7%
12-2	4.2%		39.4%	39.4%		12.5												0.2	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.0		2.5
11-3	7.3%		30.7%	30.7%		13.1												0.1	0.6	0.9	0.5	0.1	0.0	5.1
10-4	10.3%		24.1%	24.1%		13.6												0.0	0.4	0.9	0.9	0.3	0.0	7.8
9-5	12.8%		19.3%	19.3%		14.5													0.2	0.6	1.0	0.6	0.2	10.4
8-6	14.1%		10.7%	10.7%		14.8													0.1	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.2	12.6
7-7	13.7%		2.3%	2.3%		15.1														0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	13.3
6-8	12.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.2
5-9	9.3%																							9.3
4-10	6.7%																							6.7
3-11	3.9%																							3.9
2-12	2.2%																							2.2
1-13	0.9%																							0.9
0-14	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		11.9%	11.9%	0.0%	13.5							0.0			0.0	0.0	0.7	2.5	3.3	3.3	1.7	0.5	88.1		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.0%	100.0%	7.7						66.7					33.3