IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Charlotte
American Athletic
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.1	#192
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	63.2	#309
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.5	#182

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.6	#222

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.2%	1.5%	0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	12.5	12.3	12.7

.500 or above	29.7%	39.1%	17.2%
.500 or above in Conference	28.3%	34.0%	20.7%
Conference Champion	1.6%	2.2%	0.8%
Last Place in Conference	21.6%	16.7%	28.3%

First Four	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
First Round	1.2%	1.5%	0.7%
Second Round	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Indiana St. (Home) - 57.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 2	1 - 5	1 - 7
Quad 3	5 - 8	6 - 15
Quad 4	7 - 3	13 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	173	Indiana St.	W	76-74	57%
Nov 07, 2025	324	Tennessee Tech	W	75-64	85%
Nov 11, 2025	145	Davidson	W	68-67	50%
Nov 16, 2025	76	@ Virginia Tech	L	61-73	13%
Nov 21, 2025	204	@ Appalachian St.	L	60-63	40%
Nov 27, 2025	105	Illinois St.	L	66-73	28%
Dec 03, 2025	349	N.C. A&T	W	77-64	88%
Dec 07, 2025	54	Utah St.	L	67-76	21%
Dec 14, 2025	123	@ College of Charleston	L	69-76	26%
Dec 18, 2025	308	Lafayette	W	70-61	78%
Dec 21, 2025	153	Illinois-Chicago	W	71-70	52%
Dec 31, 2025	133	Temple	L	71-72	47%
Jan 03, 2026	122	Wichita St.	L	70-71	44%
Jan 07, 2026	168	@ Texas San Antonio	L	70-74	35%
Jan 11, 2026	172	@ Rice	L	66-70	37%
Jan 14, 2026	150	Tulsa	W	69-68	52%
Jan 18, 2026	158	@ East Carolina	L	65-70	34%
Jan 25, 2026	115	Tulane	L	68-70	41%
Jan 28, 2026	133	@ Temple	L	68-75	28%
Jan 31, 2026	172	Rice	W	69-67	56%
Feb 04, 2026	122	@ Wichita St.	L	67-74	27%
Feb 08, 2026	51	@ Memphis	L	64-80	9%
Feb 15, 2026	168	Texas San Antonio	W	73-71	55%
Feb 18, 2026	150	@ Tulsa	L	65-71	33%
Feb 21, 2026	158	East Carolina	W	68-67	54%
Feb 25, 2026	88	North Texas	L	57-62	34%
Mar 01, 2026	140	@ Florida Atlantic	L	69-75	30%
Mar 04, 2026	103	UAB	L	70-74	36%
Mar 08, 2026	95	@ South Florida	L	64-75	19%
Projected Record						12 - 17	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected American Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0		1.6	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	0.9	1.1	0.6	0.2	0.0				3.2	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.4	1.4	1.6	0.8	0.1	0.0					4.2	3rd
4th									0.0	0.3	1.8	2.1	0.8	0.1	0.0						5.1	4th
5th									0.2	1.9	2.8	1.1	0.1	0.0							6.1	5th
6th								0.1	1.5	3.5	1.3	0.1									6.5	6th
7th							0.0	1.0	4.0	2.5	0.3										7.9	7th
8th						0.0	0.8	3.7	3.4	0.5	0.0										8.5	8th
9th					0.0	0.5	3.1	4.4	1.0	0.0											9.1	9th
10th					0.5	3.0	5.2	1.7	0.1												10.5	10th
11th			0.0	0.6	2.9	4.7	2.5	0.2	0.0												11.0	11th
12th		0.1	0.9	3.2	4.7	2.8	0.4	0.0													12.1	12th
13th	0.7	2.8	4.3	4.1	2.0	0.4	0.0														14.3	13th

Total	0.7	2.9	5.2	7.9	10.1	11.4	12.0	11.1	10.2	8.9	6.6	5.0	3.5	2.2	1.3	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0			Total

American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	87.2%	0.2		0.2	0.0	0.0
15-3	61.3%	0.4		0.2	0.1
14-4	43.7%	0.6		0.2	0.3	0.1
13-5	14.5%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.8%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.6%	1.6		0.8	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																							0.0
17-1	0.0%		28.3%	14.1%	14.1%	9.5										0.0	0.0							0.0		16.5%
16-2	0.2%		22.4%	22.4%		10.4										0.0	0.0	0.0						0.2
15-3	0.6%		13.0%	11.8%	1.2%	11.3												0.1	0.0					0.5		1.3%
14-4	1.3%		14.7%	14.7%		11.7											0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0				1.1
13-5	2.2%		9.2%	9.2%		11.8											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0				2.0
12-6	3.5%		5.1%	5.1%		12.3												0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			3.3
11-7	5.0%		3.9%	3.9%		12.8												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0			4.8
10-8	6.6%		2.1%	2.1%		13.1													0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0		6.5
9-9	8.9%		0.7%	0.7%		13.0													0.0	0.0			0.0	8.8
8-10	10.2%		0.4%	0.4%		14.2														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	10.2
7-11	11.1%		0.2%	0.2%		14.7															0.0	0.0	0.0	11.1
6-12	12.0%		0.2%	0.2%		21.0																0.0	0.0	12.0
5-13	11.4%		0.1%	0.1%		15.5																0.0	0.0	11.4
4-14	10.1%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	10.1
3-15	7.9%																							7.9
2-16	5.2%																							5.2
1-17	2.9%																							2.9
0-18	0.7%																							0.7

Total	100%		1.2%	1.2%	0.0%	12.5										0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	98.8		0.0%