Preseason Rankings
Appalachian St.
Sun Belt
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.5#204
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace60.1#355
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#303
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.1#114
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.9% 7.4% 3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.5 13.3 13.7
.500 or above 53.3% 64.7% 37.3%
.500 or above in Conference 62.3% 69.0% 52.9%
Conference Champion 7.3% 9.1% 4.7%
Last Place in Conference 3.7% 2.5% 5.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round6.0% 7.4% 3.9%
Second Round0.6% 0.8% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Michigan (Away) - 58.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 34 - 64 - 9
Quad 411 - 515 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 299   @ Central Michigan W 64-62 58%    
  Nov 09, 2025 329   NC Central W 69-58 84%    
  Nov 11, 2025 27   @ Ohio St. L 55-75 3%    
  Nov 16, 2025 229   @ Dartmouth L 64-66 44%    
  Nov 21, 2025 192   Charlotte W 63-60 60%    
  Nov 24, 2025 224   Elon W 64-60 64%    
  Nov 26, 2025 246   @ Mercer L 65-66 47%    
  Nov 30, 2025 198   UNC Asheville L 65-66 49%    
  Dec 11, 2025 158   @ East Carolina L 59-64 33%    
  Dec 14, 2025 109   High Point L 61-68 29%    
  Dec 18, 2025 274   Coastal Carolina W 64-57 72%    
  Dec 20, 2025 283   Georgia St. W 69-62 73%    
  Dec 31, 2025 195   @ Old Dominion L 61-64 39%    
  Jan 03, 2026 185   @ Marshall L 62-66 37%    
  Jan 08, 2026 283   @ Georgia St. W 66-65 56%    
  Jan 10, 2026 274   @ Coastal Carolina W 61-60 53%    
  Jan 15, 2026 132   James Madison L 62-63 46%    
  Jan 17, 2026 195   Old Dominion W 64-61 59%    
  Jan 22, 2026 233   Louisiana W 64-60 65%    
  Jan 24, 2026 347   Louisiana Monroe W 70-57 85%    
  Jan 29, 2026 276   @ Southern Miss W 66-65 53%    
  Jan 31, 2026 130   @ Troy L 57-65 26%    
  Feb 04, 2026 167   South Alabama W 59-58 54%    
  Feb 11, 2026 243   @ Georgia Southern L 66-67 47%    
  Feb 14, 2026 132   @ James Madison L 59-66 27%    
  Feb 19, 2026 185   Marshall W 65-63 57%    
  Feb 21, 2026 243   Georgia Southern W 69-64 66%    
  Feb 27, 2026 197   @ Texas St. L 61-64 40%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.9 1.7 2.0 1.7 0.7 0.2 7.3 1st
2nd 0.2 1.5 2.9 2.7 1.2 0.2 0.0 8.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 3.7 2.9 1.0 0.1 9.0 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 3.9 3.4 0.8 0.0 9.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.5 3.9 1.1 0.1 9.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.9 4.2 1.2 0.1 8.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.8 4.4 2.2 0.1 8.6 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 3.9 2.8 0.4 8.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.2 3.2 0.5 0.0 7.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.3 3.1 0.9 0.0 6.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.9 1.3 0.1 6.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.3 1.1 0.1 4.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.8 13th
14th 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.8 14th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.7 3.3 5.2 7.3 8.7 10.4 11.3 11.6 10.5 9.8 7.6 5.5 3.2 1.9 0.7 0.2 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 98.1% 0.7    0.7 0.0
16-2 88.6% 1.7    1.4 0.3 0.0
15-3 61.6% 2.0    1.2 0.7 0.1
14-4 31.6% 1.7    0.5 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0
13-5 11.5% 0.9    0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.3% 7.3 4.0 2.4 0.7 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 52.3% 48.0% 4.3% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 8.3%
17-1 0.7% 48.0% 47.0% 1.0% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.8%
16-2 1.9% 36.8% 36.8% 12.4 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 1.2
15-3 3.2% 26.5% 26.5% 12.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.3
14-4 5.5% 24.0% 24.0% 13.3 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 4.2
13-5 7.6% 12.5% 12.5% 13.7 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 6.6
12-6 9.8% 8.7% 8.7% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 8.9
11-7 10.5% 4.3% 4.3% 14.8 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 10.1
10-8 11.6% 2.4% 2.4% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.3
9-9 11.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.2
8-10 10.4% 0.2% 0.2% 21.2 0.0 0.0 10.4
7-11 8.7% 8.7
6-12 7.3% 7.3
5-13 5.2% 5.2
4-14 3.3% 3.3
3-15 1.7% 1.7
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 13.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.8 1.8 0.9 0.2 94.1 0.0%