IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Coastal Carolina
Sun Belt
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.1	#274
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	60.4	#352
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.0	#231

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.1	#304

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.6%	2.4%	1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.5	14.0	14.3

.500 or above	25.4%	38.2%	16.1%
.500 or above in Conference	34.5%	43.5%	27.9%
Conference Champion	2.1%	3.1%	1.3%
Last Place in Conference	13.2%	9.0%	16.2%

First Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
First Round	1.6%	2.5%	1.0%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Western Michigan (Away) - 42.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 4
Quad 3	2 - 7	3 - 11
Quad 4	9 - 7	12 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	282	@ Western Michigan	L	67-69	42%
Nov 11, 2025	164	Winthrop	L	72-75	41%
Nov 14, 2025	154	@ Jacksonville St.	L	60-69	19%
Nov 20, 2025	343	@ Western Illinois	W	66-64	58%
Nov 22, 2025	315	North Dakota	W	72-69	60%
Nov 23, 2025	105	@ Illinois St.	L	61-75	11%
Nov 30, 2025	327	Alabama A&M	W	74-67	72%
Dec 03, 2025	332	@ South Carolina Upstate	W	74-73	54%
Dec 06, 2025	164	@ Winthrop	L	69-78	23%
Dec 13, 2025	78	@ Grand Canyon	L	63-79	8%
Dec 18, 2025	204	@ Appalachian St.	L	57-64	28%
Dec 20, 2025	195	@ Old Dominion	L	63-70	27%
Dec 22, 2025	110	@ Saint Joseph's	L	61-74	13%
Jan 01, 2026	243	Georgia Southern	W	71-70	54%
Jan 03, 2026	283	Georgia St.	W	72-68	63%
Jan 08, 2026	195	Old Dominion	L	66-67	46%
Jan 10, 2026	204	Appalachian St.	L	60-61	47%
Jan 14, 2026	185	@ Marshall	L	65-72	27%
Jan 17, 2026	243	@ Georgia Southern	L	68-73	35%
Jan 22, 2026	197	Texas St.	L	66-67	47%
Jan 24, 2026	276	Southern Miss	W	71-68	60%
Jan 29, 2026	167	@ South Alabama	L	58-66	24%
Jan 31, 2026	347	@ Louisiana Monroe	W	69-66	60%
Feb 04, 2026	137	Arkansas St.	L	67-72	34%
Feb 12, 2026	233	@ Louisiana	L	64-69	34%
Feb 18, 2026	132	James Madison	L	64-69	34%
Feb 21, 2026	185	Marshall	L	68-69	46%
Feb 24, 2026	283	@ Georgia St.	L	69-71	43%
Feb 27, 2026	132	@ James Madison	L	61-72	18%
Projected Record						11 - 18	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Sun Belt Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.3	0.6	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.1		2.1	1st
2nd												0.1	0.6	1.1	0.7	0.2	0.0				2.8	2nd
3rd											0.1	0.7	1.8	1.3	0.3	0.0					4.2	3rd
4th										0.0	0.7	2.3	1.7	0.3	0.0						5.0	4th
5th									0.0	0.5	2.3	2.4	0.4	0.0							5.6	5th
6th									0.3	2.6	3.2	0.8	0.0								6.9	6th
7th							0.0	0.1	2.0	3.6	1.6	0.0									7.3	7th
8th							0.1	1.3	4.3	2.0	0.2										8.0	8th
9th						0.0	0.9	4.1	3.6	0.6	0.0										9.4	9th
10th					0.0	0.8	3.7	4.2	1.2	0.0											9.8	10th
11th				0.1	0.7	3.3	4.5	1.7	0.1												10.4	11th
12th			0.0	1.0	3.2	4.1	2.0	0.2													10.6	12th
13th		0.2	1.1	3.2	3.5	1.6	0.3														10.0	13th
14th	0.5	1.8	2.7	2.1	0.9	0.1															8.1	14th

Total	0.5	2.0	3.8	6.3	8.4	9.9	11.4	11.6	11.5	9.5	8.1	6.3	4.6	3.0	1.6	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.1			Total

Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1
16-2	92.9%	0.3		0.2	0.1
15-3	70.7%	0.6		0.4	0.2	0.0
14-4	39.6%	0.6		0.2	0.4	0.1	0.0
13-5	11.3%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
12-6	1.1%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.1%	2.1		1.0	0.8	0.2	0.1

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		29.7%	29.7%		12.0													0.0					0.0
17-1	0.1%		54.3%	54.3%		12.6													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
16-2	0.3%		24.8%	24.8%		12.7													0.0	0.1				0.2
15-3	0.8%		25.1%	25.1%		13.4													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.6
14-4	1.6%		15.5%	15.5%		13.7													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	1.4
13-5	3.0%		11.6%	11.6%		14.8													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	2.6
12-6	4.6%		5.5%	5.5%		14.6													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	4.4
11-7	6.3%		3.4%	3.4%		15.2														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	6.1
10-8	8.1%		1.2%	1.2%		14.7														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	8.0
9-9	9.5%		0.2%	0.2%		21.0																0.0	0.0	9.5
8-10	11.5%		0.2%	0.2%		22.5															0.0	0.0	0.0	11.5
7-11	11.6%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.6
6-12	11.4%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.4
5-13	9.9%																							9.9
4-14	8.4%																							8.4
3-15	6.3%																							6.3
2-16	3.8%																							3.8
1-17	2.0%																							2.0
0-18	0.5%																							0.5

Total	100%		1.6%	1.6%	0.0%	14.5													0.1	0.4	0.5	0.5	0.1	98.4		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%