IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
N.C. A&T
Colonial Athletic
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-12.3	#349
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	72.4	#66
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.7	#350

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.5	#335

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.2%	1.0%	0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	15.0	15.3

.500 or above	4.0%	19.5%	3.8%
.500 or above in Conference	4.8%	13.8%	4.7%
Conference Champion	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	57.1%	34.1%	57.5%

First Four	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%
First Round	0.2%	1.0%	0.1%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina (Away) - 1.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 9	1 - 12
Quad 4	6 - 10	7 - 22

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2025	71	@ South Carolina	L	58-81	1%
Nov 10, 2025	312	South Carolina St.	L	73-74	47%
Nov 18, 2025	358	@ Morgan St.	L	76-77	47%
Nov 28, 2025	145	@ Davidson	L	63-79	8%
Dec 03, 2025	192	@ Charlotte	L	64-77	12%
Dec 06, 2025	329	@ NC Central	L	70-75	32%
Dec 09, 2025	328	Howard	L	75-77	42%
Dec 12, 2025	360	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	73-67	71%
Dec 16, 2025	232	@ UNC Greensboro	L	62-73	17%
Dec 29, 2025	120	UNC Wilmington	L	65-77	15%
Dec 31, 2025	218	Northeastern	L	69-75	30%
Jan 03, 2026	298	@ Stony Brook	L	66-74	26%
Jan 08, 2026	224	Elon	L	67-73	31%
Jan 15, 2026	226	@ William & Mary	L	73-85	17%
Jan 19, 2026	235	@ Hampton	L	64-75	17%
Jan 22, 2026	182	Hofstra	L	62-70	26%
Jan 24, 2026	136	Towson	L	63-74	18%
Jan 29, 2026	210	@ Monmouth	L	67-79	15%
Jan 31, 2026	225	@ Drexel	L	60-72	17%
Feb 05, 2026	123	@ College of Charleston	L	67-85	7%
Feb 07, 2026	200	Campbell	L	67-74	28%
Feb 13, 2026	235	Hampton	L	66-74	25%
Feb 19, 2026	123	College of Charleston	L	70-82	17%
Feb 21, 2026	224	@ Elon	L	64-76	16%
Feb 26, 2026	120	@ UNC Wilmington	L	62-80	7%
Feb 28, 2026	226	William & Mary	L	76-82	32%
Mar 03, 2026	200	@ Campbell	L	64-77	14%
Projected Record						6 - 21	4 - 14

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.1	1st
2nd											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0						0.2	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0						0.5	3rd
4th									0.0	0.0	0.3	0.3	0.1								0.8	4th
5th									0.0	0.4	0.5	0.1	0.0								1.1	5th
6th								0.0	0.4	0.9	0.4	0.0									1.8	6th
7th							0.0	0.3	1.2	0.7	0.1										2.4	7th
8th						0.0	0.3	1.5	1.3	0.1											3.2	8th
9th						0.4	1.8	1.9	0.4	0.0											4.5	9th
10th				0.0	0.5	2.4	3.2	1.0	0.0												7.2	10th
11th			0.1	1.2	3.7	4.7	1.8	0.2	0.0												11.8	11th
12th		0.9	3.8	7.3	6.5	2.8	0.3	0.0													21.6	12th
13th	7.9	13.9	12.4	7.9	2.4	0.4	0.0														44.9	13th

Total	7.9	14.7	16.3	16.4	13.2	10.8	7.4	5.0	3.5	2.1	1.5	0.6	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0					Total

Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-3	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
14-4	75.2%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
13-5	26.9%	0.0		0.0	0.0
12-6	0.0%
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2	0.0%																							0.0
15-3	0.0%		50.0%	50.0%		14.0															0.0			0.0
14-4	0.1%		12.4%	12.4%		14.0															0.0			0.0
13-5	0.2%																							0.2
12-6	0.4%		5.9%	5.9%		15.3																0.0	0.0	0.3
11-7	0.6%		4.4%	4.4%		15.0																0.0		0.6
10-8	1.5%		1.9%	1.9%		19.2																0.0	0.0	1.5
9-9	2.1%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	2.1
8-10	3.5%		0.6%	0.6%		15.0															0.0	0.0	0.0	3.4
7-11	5.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	5.0
6-12	7.4%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	7.4
5-13	10.8%																							10.8
4-14	13.2%																							13.2
3-15	16.4%																							16.4
2-16	16.3%																							16.3
1-17	14.7%																							14.7
0-18	7.9%																							7.9

Total	100%		0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	16.0															0.0	0.1	0.1	99.8		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	1.0%