Preseason Rankings
South Carolina Upstate
Big South
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.3#332
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace79.9#4
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#302
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#340
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 1.9% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.7 14.7 15.5
.500 or above 7.3% 20.4% 5.3%
.500 or above in Conference 13.7% 24.9% 12.0%
Conference Champion 0.6% 1.3% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 35.2% 22.3% 37.1%
First Four0.5% 0.4% 0.5%
First Round0.8% 1.6% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: California Baptist (Away) - 13.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 71 - 12
Quad 47 - 98 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 174   @ California Baptist L 69-81 13%    
  Nov 05, 2025 186   @ Fresno St. L 76-87 15%    
  Nov 15, 2025 120   @ UNC Wilmington L 68-84 7%    
  Nov 19, 2025 324   Tennessee Tech W 79-77 59%    
  Nov 21, 2025 355   @ West Georgia W 79-78 52%    
  Nov 25, 2025 329   NC Central W 79-76 60%    
  Nov 29, 2025 59   @ Nebraska L 67-90 2%    
  Dec 03, 2025 274   Coastal Carolina L 73-74 46%    
  Dec 06, 2025 262   Western Carolina L 79-81 44%    
  Dec 13, 2025 23   @ North Carolina L 68-97 1%    
  Dec 16, 2025 312   @ South Carolina St. L 76-81 34%    
  Dec 20, 2025 184   @ Youngstown St. L 73-85 16%    
  Dec 31, 2025 148   Radford L 69-77 25%    
  Jan 03, 2026 263   @ Presbyterian L 69-77 26%    
  Jan 10, 2026 164   Winthrop L 81-88 28%    
  Jan 14, 2026 313   @ Charleston Southern L 74-79 35%    
  Jan 17, 2026 109   @ High Point L 70-87 7%    
  Jan 21, 2026 198   UNC Asheville L 77-82 34%    
  Jan 24, 2026 307   @ Gardner-Webb L 76-81 33%    
  Jan 29, 2026 202   Longwood L 77-82 34%    
  Feb 04, 2026 198   @ UNC Asheville L 74-85 18%    
  Feb 07, 2026 313   Charleston Southern W 77-76 55%    
  Feb 12, 2026 109   High Point L 73-84 18%    
  Feb 14, 2026 202   @ Longwood L 74-85 19%    
  Feb 19, 2026 164   @ Winthrop L 78-91 15%    
  Feb 21, 2026 263   Presbyterian L 72-74 45%    
  Feb 26, 2026 148   @ Radford L 66-80 12%    
  Feb 28, 2026 307   Gardner-Webb W 79-78 53%    
Projected Record 8 - 20 5 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 3.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 2.3 1.9 0.4 0.1 6.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.2 2.4 0.5 0.0 9.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 4.2 5.8 2.9 0.5 14.6 6th
7th 0.3 2.5 6.5 7.1 2.9 0.3 19.6 7th
8th 0.5 3.7 7.3 5.8 1.8 0.2 0.0 19.4 8th
9th 3.3 7.5 8.1 4.7 1.2 0.1 24.9 9th
Total 3.3 8.0 12.2 14.6 14.7 13.6 11.4 8.8 5.7 3.7 2.2 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 87.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-3 69.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-4 43.9% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
11-5 8.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.1% 0.1
13-3 0.3% 13.8% 13.8% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-4 0.6% 15.7% 15.7% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
11-5 1.2% 9.5% 9.5% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1
10-6 2.2% 4.6% 4.6% 17.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.1
9-7 3.7% 3.9% 3.9% 17.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.6
8-8 5.7% 2.6% 2.6% 19.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.5
7-9 8.8% 1.4% 1.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 8.6
6-10 11.4% 0.9% 0.9% 17.1 0.1 11.3
5-11 13.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 13.5
4-12 14.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.6
3-13 14.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.5
2-14 12.2% 12.2
1-15 8.0% 8.0
0-16 3.3% 3.3
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 16.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 99.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%