IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Stonehill
Northeast
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-11.3	#339
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	63.7	#296
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.7	#346

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.6	#312

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	10.3%	17.4%	10.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	18.0	15.6	15.9

.500 or above	32.3%	63.5%	31.4%
.500 or above in Conference	71.6%	84.2%	71.3%
Conference Champion	19.8%	37.1%	19.4%
Last Place in Conference	4.1%	0.8%	4.2%

First Four	9.3%	10.7%	9.3%
First Round	6.3%	14.0%	6.1%
Second Round	0.1%	0.3%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.3%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: DePaul (Away) - 2.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	0 - 2	0 - 6
Quad 4	12 - 11	13 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2025	83	@ DePaul	L	57-78	3%
Nov 11, 2025	143	@ Rhode Island	L	63-78	8%
Nov 14, 2025	320	@ Fairfield	L	63-68	33%
Nov 15, 2025	316	Loyola Maryland	L	65-67	41%
Nov 17, 2025	20	@ Iowa St.	L	52-83	0.4%
Nov 21, 2025	308	Lafayette	L	64-65	51%
Nov 30, 2025	221	@ Quinnipiac	L	65-76	17%
Dec 02, 2025	248	@ Bryant	L	68-78	20%
Dec 17, 2025	356	@ New Hampshire	L	67-68	48%
Dec 22, 2025	64	@ Syracuse	L	59-82	2%
Jan 02, 2026	363	New Haven	W	72-62	81%
Jan 04, 2026	335	@ Wagner	L	56-59	38%
Jan 08, 2026	305	@ Central Connecticut St.	L	60-66	30%
Jan 10, 2026	351	Chicago St.	W	70-66	64%
Jan 17, 2026	362	@ Mercyhurst	W	65-62	60%
Jan 19, 2026	345	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	66-68	42%
Jan 23, 2026	297	LIU Brooklyn	L	62-63	47%
Jan 25, 2026	305	Central Connecticut St.	L	62-63	49%
Jan 29, 2026	350	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	71-67	64%
Jan 31, 2026	344	@ Le Moyne	L	70-72	42%
Feb 05, 2026	350	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	68-70	44%
Feb 07, 2026	297	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	59-66	29%
Feb 12, 2026	351	@ Chicago St.	L	67-69	44%
Feb 14, 2026	335	Wagner	W	59-56	58%
Feb 19, 2026	363	@ New Haven	W	69-65	64%
Feb 21, 2026	344	Le Moyne	W	73-69	61%
Feb 26, 2026	345	St. Francis (PA)	W	69-65	61%
Feb 28, 2026	362	Mercyhurst	W	68-59	77%
Projected Record						12 - 16	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.3	1.5	3.3	4.1	4.4	3.3	1.8		18.6	1st
2nd									0.0	0.6	3.2	5.1	4.8	2.8	1.3	0.3	0.0		18.2	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.8	3.8	5.3	3.5	1.4	0.4	0.0				15.2	3rd
4th							0.0	0.7	3.2	5.1	2.4	0.5	0.0	0.0					12.0	4th
5th						0.0	0.5	3.2	4.4	1.8	0.2	0.0							10.1	5th
6th					0.0	0.3	2.1	3.6	1.7	0.1	0.0								7.8	6th
7th					0.2	1.6	2.7	1.4	0.1										6.1	7th
8th			0.0	0.2	1.2	2.1	1.2	0.1											4.8	8th
9th		0.0	0.3	0.9	1.5	0.9	0.2												3.7	9th
10th	0.0	0.3	0.7	0.8	0.4	0.0	0.0												2.2	10th

Total	0.0	0.3	0.9	1.9	3.4	5.0	6.7	9.1	10.1	11.4	11.4	10.7	9.6	7.3	5.7	3.6	1.8			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	98.1%	1.8		1.7	0.1
15-1	90.9%	3.3		2.8	0.4
14-2	76.7%	4.4		3.4	0.9	0.1
13-3	56.0%	4.1		2.8	1.2	0.1	0.0
12-4	34.2%	3.3		1.6	1.4	0.3	0.0
11-5	14.3%	1.5		0.3	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0
10-6	3.0%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.1%	0.0						0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	18.6%	18.6		12.7	4.7	1.0	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	1.8%		41.5%	41.5%		17.5															0.1	0.2	0.6	1.1
15-1	3.6%		34.8%	34.8%		17.4														0.0	0.0	0.2	1.2	2.3
14-2	5.7%		28.4%	28.4%		18.2																0.1	1.7	4.1
13-3	7.3%		18.7%	18.7%		17.6																0.1	1.5	5.9
12-4	9.6%		17.0%	17.0%		16.7																0.0	1.7	7.9
11-5	10.7%		11.2%	11.2%		16.2																0.0	1.2	9.5
10-6	11.4%		8.7%	8.7%		16.3																	1.0	10.4
9-7	11.4%		5.7%	5.7%		16.0																	0.7	10.8
8-8	10.1%		4.3%	4.3%		16.0																	0.4	9.7
7-9	9.1%		2.6%	2.6%		16.0																	0.2	8.8
6-10	6.7%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.1	6.6
5-11	5.0%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	4.9
4-12	3.4%																							3.4
3-13	1.9%																							1.9
2-14	0.9%																							0.9
1-15	0.3%																							0.3
0-16	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		10.3%	10.3%	0.0%	17.0														0.0	0.1	0.6	10.2	89.7		0.0%