IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Syracuse
Atlantic Coast
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+9.2	#64
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.7	#129
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+6.5	#45

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+2.6	#102

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	1.6%	1.6%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	4.5%	4.6%	0.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid	23.5%	23.8%	4.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	22.5%	22.8%	4.6%
Average Seed	8.4	8.4	8.8

.500 or above	70.8%	71.4%	35.2%
.500 or above in Conference	46.2%	46.6%	21.1%
Conference Champion	1.4%	1.4%	0.4%
Last Place in Conference	6.4%	6.2%	15.8%

First Four	5.6%	5.7%	1.6%
First Round	20.5%	20.8%	4.1%
Second Round	11.1%	11.2%	3.3%
Sweet Sixteen	3.3%	3.3%	2.1%
Elite Eight	1.2%	1.2%	1.2%
Final Four	0.4%	0.4%	0.4%
Championship Game	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Binghamton (Home) - 98.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 6	1 - 6
Quad 1b	1 - 3	2 - 9
Quad 2	4 - 3	6 - 12
Quad 3	4 - 1	11 - 13
Quad 4	7 - 0	18 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	334	Binghamton	W	82-59	98%
Nov 08, 2025	341	Delaware St.	W	89-65	99%
Nov 15, 2025	225	Drexel	W	73-60	88%
Nov 18, 2025	210	Monmouth	W	81-66	92%
Nov 24, 2025	1	Houston	L	59-74	8%
Nov 25, 2025	14	Kansas	L	70-78	23%
Dec 02, 2025	16	Tennessee	L	66-71	33%
Dec 11, 2025	110	Saint Joseph's	W	77-69	76%
Dec 13, 2025	182	Hofstra	W	74-60	88%
Dec 17, 2025	362	Mercyhurst	W	84-54	99%
Dec 20, 2025	218	Northeastern	W	81-66	91%
Dec 22, 2025	339	Stonehill	W	82-59	98%
Dec 31, 2025	42	Clemson	L	69-70	50%
Jan 06, 2026	79	@ Georgia Tech	L	74-75	48%
Jan 10, 2026	80	@ Pittsburgh	L	73-74	48%
Jan 13, 2026	75	Florida St.	W	78-73	66%
Jan 17, 2026	96	@ Boston College	W	74-73	53%
Jan 21, 2026	76	Virginia Tech	W	74-69	66%
Jan 24, 2026	55	Miami (FL)	W	77-75	57%
Jan 27, 2026	31	@ North Carolina St.	L	68-76	26%
Jan 31, 2026	63	Notre Dame	W	72-69	59%
Feb 02, 2026	23	@ North Carolina	L	74-83	23%
Feb 07, 2026	44	@ Virginia	L	64-70	31%
Feb 10, 2026	91	California	W	78-72	70%
Feb 14, 2026	46	SMU	W	77-76	51%
Feb 16, 2026	3	@ Duke	L	65-81	9%
Feb 21, 2026	23	North Carolina	L	77-80	40%
Feb 28, 2026	67	@ Wake Forest	L	71-74	42%
Mar 03, 2026	10	@ Louisville	L	71-83	16%
Mar 07, 2026	80	Pittsburgh	W	76-71	67%
Projected Record						17 - 13	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st														0.1	0.3	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0		1.4	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	1.1	1.3	0.7	0.1	0.0			3.4	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.3	1.3	1.8	0.9	0.1	0.0				4.3	3rd
4th											0.1	1.2	2.6	1.2	0.1						5.2	4th
5th										0.0	0.9	3.0	1.9	0.2	0.0						6.0	5th
6th										0.3	2.7	2.9	0.6	0.0							6.5	6th
7th									0.1	1.6	3.7	1.2	0.0								6.7	7th
8th									0.6	3.5	2.6	0.2									6.9	8th
9th								0.1	2.3	3.6	0.6										6.7	9th
10th							0.0	1.1	4.0	1.6	0.1										6.9	10th
11th							0.3	3.2	3.4	0.3											7.2	11th
12th						0.0	1.6	3.9	1.2	0.0											6.8	12th
13th					0.0	0.6	3.4	2.4	0.2												6.6	13th
14th				0.0	0.2	2.3	3.3	0.6	0.0												6.5	14th
15th			0.0	0.1	1.4	3.0	1.5	0.1													6.1	15th
16th			0.1	0.9	2.2	1.6	0.2														5.0	16th
17th		0.1	0.7	1.8	1.6	0.4	0.0														4.6	17th
18th	0.1	0.5	1.2	1.0	0.3	0.0															3.2	18th

Total	0.1	0.6	1.9	3.8	5.7	8.0	10.3	11.4	11.8	11.2	10.6	8.8	6.7	4.4	2.6	1.3	0.5	0.1	0.0			Total

Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	81.5%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	73.1%	0.4		0.3	0.1	0.0
15-3	43.7%	0.6		0.2	0.2	0.1
14-4	12.4%	0.3		0.1	0.2	0.1
13-5	1.6%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.0%
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.4%	1.4		0.6	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		100.0%	100.0%		1.0		0.0
17-1	0.1%		100.0%	17.8%	82.2%	2.7		0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0														100.0%
16-2	0.5%		100.0%	15.4%	84.6%	3.5		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0										100.0%
15-3	1.3%		99.4%	15.6%	83.9%	5.1		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0							0.0		99.3%
14-4	2.6%		95.2%	9.4%	85.8%	6.3		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0						0.1		94.7%
13-5	4.4%		87.5%	5.6%	82.0%	7.7				0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.8	0.9	0.8	0.5	0.1						0.6		86.8%
12-6	6.7%		72.9%	3.4%	69.5%	8.6					0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	1.0	1.1	1.2	0.4						1.8		72.0%
11-7	8.8%		52.3%	1.4%	50.9%	9.4						0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.1	1.5	0.9						4.2		51.6%
10-8	10.6%		30.0%	1.0%	29.0%	9.9						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.2	1.0	0.0					7.4		29.3%
9-9	11.2%		17.5%	0.4%	17.1%	10.2								0.0	0.1	0.2	0.8	0.8	0.1					9.2		17.1%
8-10	11.8%		4.3%	0.2%	4.1%	10.4										0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0					11.3		4.1%
7-11	11.4%		1.2%		1.2%	10.8											0.0	0.1	0.0					11.3		1.2%
6-12	10.3%		0.1%	0.1%		12.0													0.0					10.3
5-13	8.0%																							8.0
4-14	5.7%																							5.7
3-15	3.8%																							3.8
2-16	1.9%																							1.9
1-17	0.6%																							0.6
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		23.5%	1.4%	22.2%	8.4		0.1	0.2	0.5	0.8	1.1	1.8	2.4	3.4	4.1	5.5	3.6	0.1					76.5		22.5%