Preseason Rankings
Utah Tech
Western Athletic
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.8#269
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.0#183
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#249
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#274
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.4% 7.2% 3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 14.4 15.1
.500 or above 21.1% 32.1% 12.2%
.500 or above in Conference 31.7% 40.8% 24.3%
Conference Champion 4.7% 6.8% 3.0%
Last Place in Conference 28.8% 21.7% 34.7%
First Four1.1% 0.9% 1.2%
First Round5.2% 7.2% 3.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Dakota (Away) - 45.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 73 - 13
Quad 49 - 611 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 294   @ South Dakota L 81-82 45%    
  Nov 07, 2025 11   @ Arizona L 62-89 1%    
  Nov 09, 2025 69   @ Arizona St. L 64-81 6%    
  Nov 12, 2025 252   Manhattan L 73-74 46%    
  Nov 14, 2025 365   Mississippi Valley W 76-57 95%    
  Nov 16, 2025 141   @ Hawaii L 63-73 18%    
  Nov 25, 2025 217   Portland St. W 70-69 51%    
  Nov 29, 2025 256   UC Riverside W 72-70 58%    
  Dec 03, 2025 106   @ Santa Clara L 67-80 13%    
  Dec 20, 2025 281   @ Weber St. L 68-70 43%    
  Dec 22, 2025 25   @ Creighton L 60-84 2%    
  Dec 29, 2025 271   Southern Utah W 73-70 61%    
  Jan 01, 2026 166   @ Abilene Christian L 66-74 24%    
  Jan 08, 2026 174   @ California Baptist L 65-73 26%    
  Jan 10, 2026 118   @ Utah Valley L 64-76 16%    
  Jan 15, 2026 190   Texas Arlington L 71-72 48%    
  Jan 17, 2026 273   Tarleton St. W 68-65 61%    
  Jan 21, 2026 174   @ California Baptist L 65-73 26%    
  Jan 24, 2026 271   Southern Utah W 73-70 60%    
  Jan 29, 2026 166   @ Abilene Christian L 66-74 25%    
  Jan 31, 2026 273   @ Tarleton St. L 65-68 41%    
  Feb 05, 2026 190   Texas Arlington L 71-72 48%    
  Feb 12, 2026 118   Utah Valley L 67-73 32%    
  Feb 14, 2026 174   California Baptist L 68-70 43%    
  Feb 19, 2026 190   @ Texas Arlington L 68-75 29%    
  Feb 21, 2026 273   @ Tarleton St. L 65-68 40%    
  Feb 26, 2026 166   Abilene Christian L 69-71 43%    
  Feb 28, 2026 271   @ Southern Utah L 70-73 41%    
  Mar 07, 2026 118   Utah Valley L 67-73 33%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.7 1st
2nd 0.2 1.2 2.5 2.4 1.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 8.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 2.9 4.3 2.3 0.9 0.1 0.0 11.4 3rd
4th 0.4 2.5 5.2 5.1 1.8 0.3 0.0 15.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.6 5.1 6.2 3.8 1.1 0.1 18.2 5th
6th 0.3 1.6 4.2 6.4 5.9 2.3 0.4 0.0 21.0 6th
7th 0.6 2.4 4.5 5.6 4.8 2.4 0.8 0.1 21.2 7th
Total 0.6 2.4 4.8 7.2 9.2 10.4 12.3 11.2 10.2 9.3 7.4 5.4 4.2 2.6 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 98.3% 0.4    0.4 0.0
15-3 94.9% 0.8    0.7 0.1
14-4 70.4% 1.0    0.8 0.2 0.0
13-5 46.2% 1.2    0.6 0.5 0.1
12-6 20.5% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
11-7 4.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.7% 4.7 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 11.3 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 40.1% 40.1% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 41.5% 41.5% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.8% 34.3% 34.3% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
14-4 1.5% 43.4% 43.4% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8
13-5 2.6% 28.8% 28.8% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.9
12-6 4.2% 17.5% 17.5% 15.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 3.5
11-7 5.4% 13.7% 13.7% 16.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 4.7
10-8 7.4% 9.5% 9.5% 17.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 6.7
9-9 9.3% 5.8% 5.8% 17.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 8.7
8-10 10.2% 3.0% 3.0% 17.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 9.8
7-11 11.2% 2.0% 2.0% 16.9 0.0 0.2 11.0
6-12 12.3% 1.3% 1.3% 16.7 0.2 12.1
5-13 10.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.4
4-14 9.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.2
3-15 7.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.2
2-16 4.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.8
1-17 2.4% 2.4
0-18 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 5.4% 5.4% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.9 1.7 94.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%