Texas A&M
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
140  Cameron Villarreal JR 31:59
177  Austin Wells JR 32:11
282  Alex Riba SO 32:30
366  Christian Farris SO 32:43
649  Ryan Teel JR 33:15
721  Colin Stoeber JR 33:22
807  Juan Uribe FR 33:30
965  Elliott Farris JR 33:43
1,325  Aaron Murray JR 34:16
1,487  Jacob Perry FR 34:29
National Rank #54 of 308
South Central Region Rank #2 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 50.4%
Most Likely Finish 31st at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.4%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 99.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Cameron Villarreal Austin Wells Alex Riba Christian Farris Ryan Teel Colin Stoeber Juan Uribe Elliott Farris Aaron Murray Jacob Perry
Texas A&M Invitational 09/26 996 33:26 32:08 32:55 33:22 33:56 33:46 33:05 34:29 33:41 33:52
Joe Piane Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/02 775 31:39 32:16 32:30 32:44 32:54 33:33 33:31 34:42
HBU Invite 10/09 1205 33:34 34:16 34:12
Alabama Crimson Classic Invitational 10/16 887 31:56 32:31 32:37 33:07 33:21 33:31 33:15 33:46 34:24
SEC Championships 10/30 720 31:47 32:05 32:02 32:33 33:14 33:14 34:36 33:32 34:40 35:29
South Central Regional Championships 11/13 773 32:08 32:04 32:38 32:12 33:07 33:00





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 50.4% 29.3 693 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.7 3.0 4.5 6.9 12.1 18.9
Region Championship 100% 2.8 104 49.5 32.1 13.3 4.2 0.9 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cameron Villarreal 83.0% 110.1 0.0 0.0
Austin Wells 70.1% 135.3
Alex Riba 53.0% 175.3
Christian Farris 50.8% 197.4
Ryan Teel 50.4% 232.6
Colin Stoeber 50.5% 237.5
Juan Uribe 50.6% 241.7


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cameron Villarreal 7.9 1.3 3.1 4.0 5.7 7.3 10.3 9.6 9.5 7.7 6.8 6.1 5.2 4.7 3.1 2.6 2.0 1.7 1.6 1.3 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.3
Austin Wells 11.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.8 3.3 4.3 5.7 7.7 8.7 9.1 7.9 7.9 6.3 5.4 4.5 3.7 3.1 2.7 2.1 1.9 2.2 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.0
Alex Riba 17.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.6 3.3 4.3 5.8 6.3 6.6 6.0 6.2 5.8 5.7 4.8 4.3 3.7 3.7 2.7 3.1 2.4
Christian Farris 23.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.5 2.1 2.6 3.0 4.8 5.0 5.0 5.3 4.7 5.0 5.0 4.7 4.5 4.4
Ryan Teel 39.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.5
Colin Stoeber 44.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4
Juan Uribe 49.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 49.5% 100.0% 49.5 49.5 2
3 32.1% 2.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 31.4 0.7 3
4 13.3% 2.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 13.0 0.3 4
5 4.2% 4.2 5
6 0.9% 0.9 6
7 0.1% 0.1 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 50.4% 49.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 49.6 49.5 1.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Mississippi 91.7% 1.0 0.9
Penn 30.0% 1.0 0.3
Lamar 9.0% 1.0 0.1
Florida 8.5% 2.0 0.2
Notre Dame 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 6.3% 1.0 0.1
Stephen F. Austin 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Navy 1.5% 1.0 0.0
UC Santa Barbara 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Auburn 0.2% 2.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
New Mexico 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.7
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 6.0