Princeton
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
32  Elizabeth Bird JR 19:38
55  Emily de La Bruyere SR 19:49
132  Kathryn Fluehr JR 20:08
386  Melinda Renuart SO 20:44
399  Brighie Leach FR 20:45
477  Alexandra Markovich JR 20:52
501  Kathryn Little SR 20:55
679  Allie Klimkiewicz FR 21:11
1,040  Natalie Rathjen SO 21:37
1,056  Nicole Marvin JR 21:38
1,272  Birdie Hutton SR 21:54
1,303  Alie Fordyce FR 21:56
1,627  Jessica Ackerman JR 22:18
1,679  Mallory Edens SO 22:21
1,748  Taylor Bacon FR 22:25
1,883  Sarah Porter SR 22:35
1,896  Laura Hergenrother FR 22:35
1,900  Zoe Sims JR 22:35
1,952  Mary Hui JR 22:39
2,097  Anna Jurew FR 22:50
2,272  Summer Hanson SR 23:04
2,429  Ashley Forte SO 23:18
2,510  Morgan Lucey FR 23:26
2,557  Mim Buscher FR 23:31
2,606  Michelle Tracy SR 23:37
3,060  Melana Hammel SO 24:59
3,223  Meghan McMullin SR 26:05
National Rank #19 of 339
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #2 of 37
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 96.6%
Most Likely Finish 19th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.5%
Top 10 at Nationals 5.2%
Top 20 at Nationals 55.8%


Regional Champion 18.0%
Top 5 in Regional 99.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Elizabeth Bird Emily de La Bruyere Kathryn Fluehr Melinda Renuart Brighie Leach Alexandra Markovich Kathryn Little Allie Klimkiewicz Natalie Rathjen Nicole Marvin Birdie Hutton
Princeton Inter Regional 10/03 608 19:47 19:56 20:10 21:10 21:06 20:36 21:37 21:06 21:17
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/16 616 19:30 19:50 20:31 20:43 20:50 22:13 22:03
Princeton Invitational 10/17 1210 21:10 21:12
Ivy League Championships 10/30 539 19:30 19:50 20:05 20:55 20:38 21:13 20:51 21:20 21:39 22:14
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/13 550 19:49 19:46 20:08 21:01 20:44 20:38 21:00
NCAA Championship 11/21 642 19:50 19:58 20:31 20:44 21:16 20:42 21:04





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 96.6% 19.2 482 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.6 2.8 3.0 3.8 4.5 4.8 5.3 6.4 6.7 7.2 6.2 7.1 5.8 6.4 5.0 4.9 4.0 3.0 2.2 1.5 0.7 0.3
Region Championship 100% 2.5 87 18.0 34.9 32.1 10.3 3.6 1.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Elizabeth Bird 99.5% 34.9 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.7 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.9 1.7 1.5 1.8 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.8 1.5 1.9 1.8 1.7
Emily de La Bruyere 97.8% 58.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.8 1.0 0.9
Kathryn Fluehr 96.7% 112.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1
Melinda Renuart 96.6% 204.3
Brighie Leach 96.6% 207.0
Alexandra Markovich 96.6% 219.8
Kathryn Little 96.6% 223.4


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Elizabeth Bird 1.5 38.8 21.7 12.6 8.1 5.8 3.5 2.5 2.4 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Emily de La Bruyere 4.0 8.7 15.3 13.7 12.2 10.2 7.6 6.6 5.0 4.4 3.8 2.6 2.2 2.0 1.5 0.9 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
Kathryn Fluehr 11.0 0.3 1.2 2.8 3.6 4.6 5.7 5.9 6.5 6.9 6.0 6.4 6.4 5.8 5.0 4.8 5.2 4.3 3.0 2.6 2.5 1.8 1.5 1.3 1.2 0.9
Melinda Renuart 34.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.7 1.0 0.9 1.6 1.6 1.7 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.7
Brighie Leach 35.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.5 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5
Alexandra Markovich 42.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.7
Kathryn Little 45.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.6 1.0 1.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 18.0% 100.0% 18.0 18.0 1
2 34.9% 100.0% 34.9 34.9 2
3 32.1% 99.1% 0.2 0.6 2.5 5.7 7.0 6.5 4.2 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.3 31.8 3
4 10.3% 98.8% 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.1 10.2 4
5 3.6% 43.1% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 2.1 1.6 5
6 1.0% 8.2% 0.0 0.1 0.9 0.1 6
7 0.0% 0.0 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
Total 100% 96.6% 18.0 34.9 0.2 0.6 2.6 6.2 8.6 8.1 6.0 3.9 2.5 1.4 1.4 1.2 0.9 3.4 52.9 43.7




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Michigan State 94.1% 1.0 0.9
Minnesota 93.0% 1.0 0.9
Vanderbilt 92.1% 1.0 0.9
William and Mary 40.1% 2.0 0.8
North Carolina 39.3% 2.0 0.8
Villanova 30.4% 1.0 0.3
Columbia 26.3% 3.0 0.8
SMU 21.4% 1.0 0.2
Yale 19.5% 1.0 0.2
Baylor 11.7% 1.0 0.1
West Virginia 10.3% 1.0 0.1
Wisconsin 8.6% 1.0 0.1
Arizona State 8.4% 1.0 0.1
Florida State 5.9% 1.0 0.1
Indiana 5.9% 2.0 0.1
Brown 5.0% 1.0 0.1
Tulsa 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 3.0% 2.0 0.1
Dartmouth 2.9% 2.0 0.1
Penn 1.8% 1.0 0.0
Boston College 1.4% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 1.3% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 1.3% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 6.7
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 18.0