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2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #51
New Haven Semi-State Rank #11
West Noble Regional Rank #7
Northrop Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.4%
Advance to Semi-State 2.8%
Advance to Regional 91.1%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Huntington North Invitational Warsaw Classic Marion Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Bruin Invitational Flashrock Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/20 8/23 9/3 9/10 9/10 9/17 9/17 9/24 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 576 499 452 497 565 891 507 1,091 586 618 641
Team Adjusted Rating 499 452 497 565 576 507 576 586 618 641
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Huntington North Invitational Warsaw Classic Marion Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Bruin Invitational Flashrock Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State
196  Ryan Ruppert 10 16:58 16:25 16:32 16:52 16:47 16:48 17:04 17:15 17:03 17:09
284  Sam Dvorak 12 17:12 17:03 16:47 17:07 17:09 16:50 17:19 17:23 17:30
438  James Swinehart 11 17:32 17:15 17:23 17:30 17:26 17:18 17:23 17:37 18:25
571  Bailey Green 12 17:44 17:20 17:17 17:13 18:03 17:48 17:58 17:40 18:00
648  Jarred Neff 9 17:50 18:11 17:36 17:33 17:40 17:36 17:50 18:03 18:01
730  Zach Johnson 10 17:57 18:34 18:12 17:57 18:16 17:47 17:53 17:39
745  Carter Cook 9 17:58 17:47 17:35 18:04 18:17 17:51 18:06
746  Jarrett Miller 12 17:58 18:06 17:39 17:53 18:17 18:03 18:01 17:54
908  Eduardo Santoscoy 10 18:11 18:49 17:54 17:53 17:59 18:27 18:22
1,104  Jake Dunn 11 18:25 18:07 18:09 18:06 19:29 18:39
1,342  Austin Richards 9 18:42 18:58 19:06 18:38 18:34 18:32
1,407  Benjamin Falloon 11 18:47 18:48 18:40 18:33 19:02 18:56
1,448  Joe Moore 10 18:51 19:01 19:48 18:49 18:34 18:42
1,486  Isaac Hunter 9 18:54 19:09 18:45 18:53
1,489  Logan Weaver 9 18:55 18:53 18:52 18:46 19:08
1,566  Jackson McClain 9 19:00 18:52 19:25 18:57 19:10 18:46
Dominic Gery 9 19:03 19:09 19:07 19:10 19:05 18:52
Walker Carroll 11 19:11 18:35 18:48 19:15 19:24 19:32
Jacob Rulli 12 19:14 19:08 19:09 19:06 19:34
Jack Schoff 10 19:17 19:08 19:30 19:15 19:27 19:10
Keagan Stuckey 9 19:18 19:22 19:45 19:10 19:41 18:44
Ezra Suozzi 11 19:29 19:01 19:29 19:46 19:05 20:02




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.4% 22.3 528 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1
Semi-State 2.8% 7.7 223 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.0
Regionals 91.1% 6.9 184 0.1 2.7 10.8 69.5 6.7 1.1 0.1
Sectionals 100% 4.9 143 0.1 16.7 74.3 8.2 0.7 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ryan Ruppert 9.7% 116.8 9.3% 9.5%
Sam Dvorak 0.8% 128.0 0.4% 0.4%
James Swinehart 0.4% 157.5 0.0% 0.0%
Bailey Green 0.4% 169.8 0.0% 0.0%
Jarred Neff 0.4% 180.6 0.0% 0.0%
Zach Johnson 0.4% 183.8 0.0% 0.0%
Carter Cook 0.4% 184.8 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ryan Ruppert 94.7% 41.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.6 94.5% 94.7%
Sam Dvorak 57.0% 55.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 55.8% 56.9%
James Swinehart 5.9% 70.7 3.1% 3.9%
Bailey Green 2.9% 88.9 0.1% 0.3%
Jarred Neff 2.8% 98.3 0.0% 0.0%
Zach Johnson 2.8% 108.7 0.0% 0.0%
Carter Cook 2.8% 109.0 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ryan Ruppert 100% 27.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.4 2.3 2.9 3.6 4.5 5.7 6.7 100.0% 100.0%
Sam Dvorak 100% 33.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.2 100.0% 100.0%
James Swinehart 98.7% 44.6 85.3% 96.1%
Bailey Green 94.1% 53.8 34.4% 75.7%
Jarred Neff 92.2% 59.7 12.1% 56.6%
Zach Johnson 91.4% 65.1 3.5% 35.2%
Carter Cook 91.3% 65.8 2.9% 33.3%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ryan Ruppert 19.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.4 2.5 3.2 4.9 7.8 11.6 17.2 21.9 13.1 7.1 3.4 2.1 0.9
Sam Dvorak 21.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.8 3.7 8.3 17.4 18.4 14.7 10.8 7.7
James Swinehart 28.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.1 4.0 6.0 7.8
Bailey Green 34.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.5
Jarred Neff 37.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3
Zach Johnson 41.7 0.0
Carter Cook 42.1 0.0 0.0 0.0