Pre-tourney Rankings
LSU
Southeastern
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.8#85
Expected Predictive Rating+6.3#82
Pace67.6#166
Improvement+0.3#154

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#205
Improvement-0.1#173

Defense
Total Defense+7.0#17
Improvement+0.4#146
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.7% n/a n/a
First Round0.4% n/a n/a
Second Round0.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2011 326   Nicholls St. W 96-74 97%     1 - 0 +6.0 +2.0 +2.0
  Nov 15, 2011 206   @ Coastal Carolina L 63-71 67%     1 - 1 -6.7 -13.1 +6.8
  Nov 17, 2011 58   Northwestern L 82-88 42%     1 - 2 +1.9 +2.5 -0.2
  Nov 18, 2011 188   Western Kentucky W 76-57 76%     2 - 2 +17.5 +1.1 +15.6
  Nov 20, 2011 170   Georgia Tech W 59-50 72%     3 - 2 +8.8 -6.8 +16.2
  Nov 23, 2011 205   South Alabama L 75-79 OT 85%     3 - 3 -9.5 -5.6 -3.6
  Nov 29, 2011 182   @ Houston W 59-58 63%     4 - 3 +3.5 -15.6 +19.1
  Dec 03, 2011 117   @ Rutgers W 55-50 46%     5 - 3 +11.9 -10.9 +23.0
  Dec 10, 2011 134   Boise St. W 64-45 75%     6 - 3 +17.9 -6.3 +25.4
  Dec 15, 2011 241   UC Irvine W 66-59 90%     7 - 3 -1.0 -11.2 +10.1
  Dec 19, 2011 18   Marquette W 67-59 34%     8 - 3 +18.2 +3.6 +15.1
  Dec 22, 2011 159   @ North Texas W 67-58 57%     9 - 3 +13.1 +0.8 +12.7
  Dec 29, 2011 344   Grambling St. W 69-37 99%     10 - 3 +7.9 -14.8 +22.7
  Jan 02, 2012 31   Virginia L 52-57 44%     10 - 4 +2.5 -8.2 +10.2
  Jan 07, 2012 84   Mississippi W 81-55 63%     11 - 4 1 - 0 +28.5 +13.4 +15.8
  Jan 11, 2012 32   @ Alabama L 53-69 21%     11 - 5 1 - 1 -1.8 -5.2 +2.2
  Jan 14, 2012 118   @ Arkansas L 60-69 46%     11 - 6 1 - 2 -2.2 -13.7 +12.0
  Jan 17, 2012 140   Auburn W 65-58 OT 75%     12 - 6 2 - 2 +5.8 -4.2 +10.1
  Jan 21, 2012 16   @ Florida L 64-76 14%     12 - 7 2 - 3 +5.3 -3.2 +8.0
  Jan 25, 2012 70   @ Mississippi St. L 71-76 33%     12 - 8 2 - 4 +5.3 +0.3 +5.0
  Jan 28, 2012 1   Kentucky L 50-74 14%     12 - 9 2 - 5 -6.5 -5.2 -6.1
  Feb 04, 2012 118   Arkansas W 71-65 71%     13 - 9 3 - 5 +6.0 -11.8 +17.1
  Feb 08, 2012 13   @ Vanderbilt L 61-76 14%     13 - 10 3 - 6 +2.4 +1.7 -0.8
  Feb 11, 2012 32   Alabama W 67-58 44%     14 - 10 4 - 6 +16.4 +7.4 +9.8
  Feb 14, 2012 70   Mississippi St. W 69-67 OT 59%     15 - 10 5 - 6 +5.5 -9.3 +14.7
  Feb 18, 2012 157   @ South Carolina W 68-58 57%     16 - 10 6 - 6 +14.2 +4.3 +10.9
  Feb 22, 2012 105   Georgia W 61-53 68%     17 - 10 7 - 6 +9.1 -0.5 +10.9
  Feb 25, 2012 84   @ Mississippi L 48-72 37%     17 - 11 7 - 7 -14.7 -15.5 -0.5
  Feb 29, 2012 51   Tennessee L 69-74 OT 54%     17 - 12 7 - 8 -0.1 -2.0 +2.0
  Mar 03, 2012 140   @ Auburn L 52-67 51%     17 - 13 7 - 9 -9.4 -11.8 +1.6
  Mar 08, 2012 118   Arkansas W 70-54 59%     18 - 13 +19.4 +5.1 +16.0
  Mar 09, 2012 1   Kentucky L 51-60 9%     18 - 14 +11.9 -11.2 +22.9
Projected Record 18.0 - 14.0 7.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 100.0% 0.7% 0.7% 12.8 0.2 0.5 0.1 99.3 0.7%
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.7% 0.0% 0.7% 12.8 0.2 0.5 0.1 99.3 0.7%