Pre-tourney Rankings
Cincinnati
Big East
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.7#33
Expected Predictive Rating+11.7#30
Pace63.8#262
Improvement+4.8#32

Offense
Total Offense+4.5#60
Improvement+2.6#51

Defense
Total Defense+6.3#22
Improvement+2.2#72
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 27.9% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 7.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.9% n/a n/a
Second Round54.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen17.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight6.7% n/a n/a
Final Four2.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.6% n/a n/a
National Champion0.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2011 320   Alabama St. W 65-40 98%     1 - 0 +9.4 -11.9 +21.0
  Nov 15, 2011 211   Jacksonville St. W 73-59 93%     2 - 0 +8.1 +0.6 +7.7
  Nov 19, 2011 253   Presbyterian L 54-56 96%     2 - 1 -10.8 -12.9 +1.6
  Nov 21, 2011 226   Northwestern St. W 71-43 94%     3 - 1 +21.2 -0.6 +22.8
  Nov 25, 2011 76   Marshall L 69-73 OT 76%     3 - 2 -0.7 -1.3 +0.5
  Nov 29, 2011 189   Miami (OH) W 56-47 92%     4 - 2 +4.1 -7.4 +13.6
  Dec 02, 2011 105   @ Georgia W 57-51 61%     5 - 2 +13.9 -3.4 +18.0
  Dec 10, 2011 61   @ Xavier L 53-76 49%     5 - 3 -11.9 -12.6 +0.3
  Dec 14, 2011 214   @ Wright St. W 78-58 83%     6 - 3 +20.6 +22.0 +1.9
  Dec 17, 2011 313   Radford W 101-70 98%     7 - 3 +16.4 +16.6 -2.6
  Dec 21, 2011 329   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 101-53 99%     8 - 3 +31.6 +13.2 +15.1
  Dec 23, 2011 332   Chicago St. W 95-60 99%     9 - 3 +17.2 +11.6 +3.9
  Dec 29, 2011 96   Oklahoma W 56-55 71%     10 - 3 +6.1 -11.2 +17.3
  Jan 01, 2012 68   @ Pittsburgh W 66-63 51%     11 - 3 1 - 0 +13.5 +3.4 +10.5
  Jan 04, 2012 40   Notre Dame W 71-55 66%     12 - 3 2 - 0 +22.5 +5.0 +18.4
  Jan 07, 2012 146   St. John's L 55-57 88%     12 - 4 2 - 1 -3.9 -16.8 +12.9
  Jan 09, 2012 17   @ Georgetown W 68-64 27%     13 - 4 3 - 1 +21.0 +15.0 +6.5
  Jan 14, 2012 83   Villanova W 82-78 78%     14 - 4 4 - 1 +6.5 +4.4 +1.9
  Jan 18, 2012 36   @ Connecticut W 70-67 38%     15 - 4 5 - 1 +16.8 +13.3 +4.0
  Jan 21, 2012 37   @ West Virginia L 74-77 OT 38%     15 - 5 5 - 2 +10.8 +3.3 +7.6
  Jan 23, 2012 7   Syracuse L 53-60 38%     15 - 6 5 - 3 +6.8 -5.7 +11.5
  Jan 28, 2012 117   @ Rutgers L 54-61 64%     15 - 7 5 - 4 -0.1 -5.4 +4.4
  Feb 04, 2012 156   DePaul W 74-66 89%     16 - 7 6 - 4 +5.6 -5.4 +10.7
  Feb 08, 2012 146   @ St. John's W 76-54 71%     17 - 7 7 - 4 +26.9 +5.6 +21.3
  Feb 11, 2012 18   @ Marquette L 78-95 27%     17 - 8 7 - 5 +0.0 +10.0 -9.3
  Feb 15, 2012 121   Providence W 81-66 85%     18 - 8 8 - 5 +14.8 +8.3 +7.1
  Feb 18, 2012 44   Seton Hall W 62-57 70%     19 - 8 9 - 5 +10.4 -0.7 +11.6
  Feb 23, 2012 19   Louisville W 60-56 54%     20 - 8 10 - 5 +13.7 +1.4 +12.6
  Feb 26, 2012 55   @ South Florida L 45-46 47%     20 - 9 10 - 6 +10.5 -2.9 +13.1
  Feb 29, 2012 18   Marquette W 72-61 52%     21 - 9 11 - 6 +21.2 +3.1 +17.9
  Mar 03, 2012 83   @ Villanova W 72-68 55%     22 - 9 12 - 6 +13.3 +13.7 +0.2
  Mar 08, 2012 17   Georgetown W 72-70 2OT 39%     23 - 9 +15.6 +3.0 +12.4
  Mar 09, 2012 7   Syracuse W 71-68 27%     24 - 9 +20.2 +12.3 +8.1
  Mar 10, 2012 19   Louisville L 44-50 41%     24 - 10 +7.1 -10.6 +16.8
Projected Record 24.0 - 10.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 99.9% 99.9% 7.0 0.0 4.4 23.4 44.5 24.3 3.1 0.1 0.1 99.9%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 7.0 0.0 4.4 23.4 44.5 24.3 3.1 0.1 0.1 99.9%