Pre-tourney Rankings
Colorado St.
Mountain West
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.8#72
Expected Predictive Rating+8.0#62
Pace64.7#244
Improvement+3.2#61

Offense
Total Offense+7.8#24
Improvement-0.8#207

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#200
Improvement+4.0#26
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 71.2% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 71.2% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four10.3% n/a n/a
First Round65.6% n/a n/a
Second Round21.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen5.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 95   Montana W 64-58 69%     1 - 0 +7.8 -1.5 +9.7
  Nov 14, 2011 181   SMU W 75-56 77%     2 - 0 +18.1 +15.6 +5.5
  Nov 15, 2011 64   @ Stanford L 52-64 35%     2 - 1 -1.2 -12.5 +11.2
  Nov 19, 2011 69   Southern Miss L 58-79 62%     2 - 2 -17.4 -1.1 -21.4
  Nov 21, 2011 171   Texas San Antonio W 85-75 84%     3 - 2 +6.3 +12.4 -5.7
  Nov 22, 2011 127   Manhattan W 91-86 OT 77%     4 - 2 +4.2 +14.0 -10.0
  Nov 30, 2011 86   Colorado W 65-64 67%     5 - 2 +3.3 -6.9 +10.2
  Dec 03, 2011 89   @ Northern Iowa L 77-83 42%     5 - 3 +2.9 +13.5 -11.0
  Dec 07, 2011 15   @ Duke L 64-87 16%     5 - 4 -5.7 -2.7 -3.1
  Dec 19, 2011 276   Texas Southern W 85-61 93%     6 - 4 +13.9 +11.2 +2.6
  Dec 22, 2011 254   @ Northern Colorado W 92-78 80%     7 - 4 +11.8 +20.4 -7.6
  Dec 28, 2011 131   @ UTEP W 56-53 54%     8 - 4 +8.9 +1.6 +8.0
  Dec 29, 2011 211   Jacksonville St. W 79-56 81%     9 - 4 +20.5 +10.4 +11.1
  Jan 11, 2012 79   Denver W 79-75 65%     10 - 4 +7.0 +18.6 -11.0
  Jan 14, 2012 143   TCU W 95-89 2OT 79%     11 - 4 1 - 0 +4.3 -1.6 +4.6
  Jan 17, 2012 134   Boise St. W 66-55 77%     12 - 4 2 - 0 +9.9 +0.1 +11.3
  Jan 21, 2012 75   @ Wyoming L 51-70 38%     12 - 5 2 - 1 -8.9 -4.4 -7.9
  Jan 25, 2012 14   @ New Mexico L 52-85 16%     12 - 6 2 - 2 -15.7 -9.8 -6.4
  Jan 28, 2012 46   San Diego St. W 77-60 56%     13 - 6 3 - 2 +22.3 +5.8 +16.1
  Feb 01, 2012 26   @ UNLV L 63-82 22%     13 - 7 3 - 3 -4.0 +0.6 -5.2
  Feb 04, 2012 173   Air Force W 67-49 84%     14 - 7 4 - 3 +14.2 -2.4 +17.8
  Feb 11, 2012 143   @ TCU L 71-75 57%     14 - 8 4 - 4 +1.1 +1.5 -0.6
  Feb 15, 2012 134   @ Boise St. L 69-70 54%     14 - 9 4 - 5 +4.7 +0.3 +4.4
  Feb 18, 2012 75   Wyoming W 54-46 64%     15 - 9 5 - 5 +11.3 +3.7 +10.1
  Feb 21, 2012 14   New Mexico W 71-63 36%     16 - 9 6 - 5 +18.5 +2.8 +15.5
  Feb 25, 2012 46   @ San Diego St. L 66-74 30%     16 - 10 6 - 6 +4.1 +5.4 -1.9
  Feb 29, 2012 26   UNLV W 66-59 45%     17 - 10 7 - 6 +15.2 +5.1 +10.8
  Mar 03, 2012 173   @ Air Force W 75-65 64%     18 - 10 8 - 6 +13.0 +21.3 -6.0
  Mar 08, 2012 143   TCU W 81-60 69%     19 - 10 +22.7 +5.1 +17.2
  Mar 09, 2012 46   San Diego St. L 69-79 43%     19 - 11 -1.3 +7.5 -9.6
Projected Record 19.0 - 11.0 8.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 0.0%
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 100.0% 71.2% 71.2% 10.7 0.3 4.6 23.1 33.2 9.8 0.2 28.8 71.2%
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 71.2% 0.0% 71.2% 10.7 0.3 4.6 23.1 33.2 9.8 0.2 28.8 71.2%