Pre-tourney Rankings
Wright St.
Horizon
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.8#214
Expected Predictive Rating-2.3#202
Pace61.8#294
Improvement-0.8#207

Offense
Total Offense-5.3#293
Improvement+0.3#157

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#100
Improvement-1.1#219
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 2   @ Ohio St. L 42-73 2%     0 - 1 -7.6 -20.4 +13.3
  Nov 16, 2011 333   Jackson St. W 56-39 91%     1 - 1 -0.8 -20.2 +20.2
  Nov 21, 2011 16   Florida L 65-78 7%     1 - 2 +0.8 -6.2 +7.1
  Nov 23, 2011 190   @ North Florida L 52-69 33%     1 - 3 -15.2 -11.4 -7.0
  Nov 26, 2011 151   Charlotte L 66-70 47%     1 - 4 -6.1 -5.5 -0.7
  Dec 01, 2011 88   Cleveland St. L 43-45 32%     1 - 5 0 - 1 +0.1 -10.2 +9.5
  Dec 03, 2011 169   Youngstown St. W 63-62 53%     2 - 5 1 - 1 -2.6 -3.7 +1.3
  Dec 07, 2011 173   @ Air Force L 34-55 29%     2 - 6 -18.0 -31.4 +10.1
  Dec 10, 2011 189   @ Miami (OH) W 51-49 33%     3 - 6 +3.9 -19.6 +23.5
  Dec 14, 2011 33   Cincinnati L 58-78 17%     3 - 7 -12.7 -0.9 -14.9
  Dec 17, 2011 71   Ohio L 54-82 27%     3 - 8 -24.6 -17.0 -6.7
  Dec 20, 2011 150   Idaho W 80-78 OT 47%     4 - 8 -0.1 -0.7 +0.6
  Dec 22, 2011 247   Central Michigan W 60-42 71%     5 - 8 +9.6 -9.0 +20.8
  Dec 29, 2011 275   @ Loyola Chicago W 64-48 51%     6 - 8 2 - 1 +12.8 +4.8 +11.5
  Dec 31, 2011 280   @ Illinois-Chicago W 74-70 OT 53%     7 - 8 3 - 1 +0.5 -4.5 +4.8
  Jan 06, 2012 129   Butler L 62-63 42%     7 - 9 3 - 2 -1.8 -6.6 +4.8
  Jan 08, 2012 144   Valparaiso W 73-55 46%     8 - 9 4 - 2 +16.2 +2.3 +14.8
  Jan 12, 2012 154   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 38-58 24%     8 - 10 4 - 3 -15.5 -26.0 +8.2
  Jan 14, 2012 176   @ Green Bay L 56-57 29%     8 - 11 4 - 4 +1.8 -12.7 +14.5
  Jan 21, 2012 119   @ Detroit Mercy L 53-69 18%     8 - 12 4 - 5 -9.2 -10.9 -0.6
  Jan 25, 2012 280   Illinois-Chicago W 69-63 76%     9 - 12 5 - 5 -4.3 -2.9 -0.9
  Jan 27, 2012 275   Loyola Chicago W 47-41 75%     10 - 12 6 - 5 -4.0 -18.7 +16.1
  Feb 02, 2012 129   @ Butler L 53-64 20%     10 - 13 6 - 6 -5.0 -3.4 -3.6
  Feb 04, 2012 144   @ Valparaiso L 54-63 23%     10 - 14 6 - 7 -4.0 -14.7 +10.3
  Feb 10, 2012 176   Green Bay L 48-53 55%     10 - 15 6 - 8 -9.0 -18.3 +8.5
  Feb 12, 2012 154   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 70-46 48%     11 - 15 7 - 8 +21.7 +7.1 +17.7
  Feb 15, 2012 119   Detroit Mercy L 55-71 39%     11 - 16 7 - 9 -16.0 -14.2 -3.5
  Feb 18, 2012 283   @ UMKC W 76-62 53%     12 - 16 +10.4 +17.1 -3.6
  Feb 23, 2012 169   @ Youngstown St. L 54-61 28%     12 - 17 7 - 10 -3.8 -16.8 +12.7
  Feb 25, 2012 88   @ Cleveland St. L 55-77 14%     12 - 18 7 - 11 -13.1 -7.4 -7.5
  Feb 28, 2012 129   @ Butler L 52-70 20%     12 - 19 -12.0 -6.8 -7.7
Projected Record 12.0 - 19.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%