Pre-tourney Rankings
William & Mary
Colonial Athletic
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.9#92
Expected Predictive Rating+5.3#99
Pace69.9#178
Improvement-1.1#234

Offense
Total Offense+5.9#48
First Shot+6.6#31
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#235
Layup/Dunks+3.8#38
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#244
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#68
Freethrows+1.2#100
Improvement+0.6#157

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#180
First Shot-0.1#171
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#164
Layups/Dunks-1.5#240
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#256
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#236
Freethrows+3.4#22
Improvement-1.7#262
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 74   @ North Carolina St. W 85-68 33%     1 - 0 +27.6 +9.1 +17.4
  Nov 17, 2015 280   @ Liberty W 70-59 84%     2 - 0 +6.3 +4.0 +3.8
  Nov 21, 2015 58   @ Dayton L 66-69 27%     2 - 1 +9.3 +3.4 +5.9
  Nov 25, 2015 249   Hampton W 86-67 90%     3 - 1 +10.8 +7.7 +2.6
  Nov 28, 2015 332   @ Howard L 77-79 92%     3 - 2 -11.7 +5.1 -16.9
  Dec 01, 2015 118   Old Dominion W 55-48 71%     4 - 2 +7.2 -13.0 +20.7
  Dec 05, 2015 4   @ Virginia L 52-67 7%     4 - 3 +7.6 -7.0 +13.6
  Dec 21, 2015 149   High Point W 78-75 OT 77%     5 - 3 +1.1 -6.1 +6.9
  Dec 29, 2015 157   Central Michigan W 88-84 79%     6 - 3 +1.5 +9.5 -8.0
  Dec 31, 2015 140   Towson L 69-76 75%     6 - 4 0 - 1 -8.1 -8.8 +1.0
  Jan 02, 2016 124   College of Charleston W 78-70 72%     7 - 4 1 - 1 +7.9 +17.2 -8.7
  Jan 07, 2016 230   @ Drexel W 72-63 75%     8 - 4 2 - 1 +7.9 +8.5 +0.5
  Jan 09, 2016 127   Northeastern W 78-60 73%     9 - 4 3 - 1 +17.6 +5.3 +12.6
  Jan 14, 2016 124   @ College of Charleston W 63-61 51%     10 - 4 4 - 1 +7.7 +4.2 +3.7
  Jan 16, 2016 87   @ UNC Wilmington L 94-97 OT 36%     10 - 5 4 - 2 +6.5 +11.3 -4.3
  Jan 21, 2016 156   Elon W 89-67 79%     11 - 5 5 - 2 +19.5 +17.9 +2.6
  Jan 24, 2016 96   @ Hofstra L 63-91 39%     11 - 6 5 - 3 -19.3 -6.7 -12.7
  Jan 28, 2016 270   @ Delaware W 94-79 82%     12 - 6 6 - 3 +11.2 +18.4 -7.2
  Jan 31, 2016 97   James Madison W 68-62 62%     13 - 6 7 - 3 +8.8 -0.5 +9.4
  Feb 04, 2016 127   @ Northeastern W 86-77 52%     14 - 6 8 - 3 +14.4 +10.9 +3.1
  Feb 06, 2016 270   Delaware W 90-64 92%     15 - 6 9 - 3 +16.3 +12.9 +3.9
  Feb 11, 2016 96   Hofstra L 80-86 62%     15 - 7 9 - 4 -3.2 -0.5 -2.0
  Feb 13, 2016 140   @ Towson L 82-99 55%     15 - 8 9 - 5 -12.3 +8.2 -20.0
  Feb 18, 2016 87   UNC Wilmington W 87-69 59%     16 - 8 10 - 5 +21.6 +17.9 +4.3
  Feb 20, 2016 230   Drexel L 69-74 88%     16 - 9 10 - 6 -12.0 -2.7 -9.5
  Feb 25, 2016 156   @ Elon W 75-65 60%     17 - 9 11 - 6 +13.4 +6.0 +7.8
  Feb 27, 2016 97   @ James Madison L 65-71 40%     17 - 10 11 - 7 +2.6 -2.7 +5.4
  Mar 05, 2016 97   James Madison W 79-64 51%     18 - 10 +20.7 +11.6 +9.4
  Mar 06, 2016 96   Hofstra L 67-70 50%     18 - 11 +2.8 -3.8 +6.5
Projected Record 18.0 - 11.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.4 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.4 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%