IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Howard
Mid-Eastern
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.2	#305
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	72.8	#83
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.8	#220

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-6.3	#339

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	18.7%	30.7%	16.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.8	15.9

.500 or above	46.2%	71.3%	42.1%
.500 or above in Conference	82.8%	92.3%	81.2%
Conference Champion	21.8%	32.7%	20.1%
Last Place in Conference	1.5%	0.2%	1.7%

First Four	15.1%	21.2%	14.1%
First Round	10.1%	19.4%	8.6%
Second Round	0.2%	0.9%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Massachusetts (Away) - 13.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.0 - 0.2	0.0 - 0.2
Quad 1b	0.0 - 0.6	0.0 - 0.8
Quad 2	0.1 - 1.8	0.1 - 2.6
Quad 3	1.0 - 4.6	1.1 - 7.2
Quad 4	12.1 - 7.7	13.2 - 14.8

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 16, 2018	154	@ Massachusetts	L	71-80	14%
Nov 19, 2018	104	@ Southern Illinois	L	68-80	8%
Nov 23, 2018	264	@ Arkansas Little Rock	L	70-72	32%
Nov 24, 2018	288	California Baptist	L	76-77	46%
Dec 04, 2018	175	@ Appalachian St.	L	75-82	17%
Dec 08, 2018	242	American	L	72-76	48%
Dec 14, 2018	208	@ George Washington	L	70-75	24%
Dec 16, 2018	267	@ Fordham	L	70-72	32%
Dec 20, 2018	111	@ Ball St.	L	72-84	10%
Dec 22, 2018	240	Hampton	L	78-82	37%
Dec 29, 2018	69	@ Georgetown	L	72-88	6%
Jan 05, 2019	352	Florida A&M	W	79-69	86%
Jan 07, 2019	341	@ Maryland Eastern Shore	W	75-70	59%
Jan 12, 2019	299	Bethune-Cookman	L	84-85	59%
Jan 15, 2019	339	Morgan St.	W	78-74	73%
Jan 19, 2019	348	@ South Carolina St.	W	82-75	65%
Jan 21, 2019	77	Harvard	L	65-80	16%
Jan 26, 2019	351	Delaware St.	W	77-68	84%
Jan 28, 2019	341	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	75-70	76%
Feb 02, 2019	277	Norfolk St.	L	76-78	53%
Feb 09, 2019	352	@ Florida A&M	W	79-69	71%
Feb 11, 2019	299	@ Bethune-Cookman	L	84-85	40%
Feb 16, 2019	347	N.C. A&T	W	81-74	80%
Feb 18, 2019	302	NC Central	L	71-72	59%
Feb 23, 2019	345	@ Coppin St.	W	75-69	61%
Feb 25, 2019	339	@ Morgan St.	W	78-74	54%
Mar 02, 2019	353	@ Savannah St.	W	95-85	71%
Mar 07, 2019	277	@ Norfolk St.	L	76-78	34%
Projected Record						13.2 - 14.8	10.2 - 5.8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.1	0.7	3.3	6.2	6.4	3.9	1.4		21.8	1st
2nd										0.0	0.8	4.2	6.4	3.9	1.0	0.0			16.2	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.7	4.8	6.0	2.8	0.4	0.0				14.6	3rd
4th								0.0	0.5	3.5	5.2	2.2	0.2						11.7	4th
5th								0.2	2.5	5.1	2.0	0.2							10.0	5th
6th							0.1	1.6	4.2	1.9	0.1								7.8	6th
7th						0.0	0.8	2.8	2.1	0.1									5.9	7th
8th					0.0	0.4	2.0	2.0	0.3										4.5	8th
9th				0.0	0.2	1.2	1.4	0.3	0.0										3.2	9th
10th				0.1	0.9	0.8	0.3	0.0											2.2	10th
11th		0.0	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.2													1.4	11th
12th	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0													0.6	12th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.9	1.8	2.7	4.7	6.9	9.7	11.3	12.9	13.2	12.7	10.4	7.4	3.9	1.4			Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	1.4		1.4
15-1	99.9%	3.9		3.5	0.4
14-2	86.9%	6.4		4.8	1.5	0.1
13-3	59.4%	6.2		3.1	2.4	0.6	0.0
12-4	25.7%	3.3		1.0	1.4	0.8	0.1	0.0
11-5	5.0%	0.7		0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0
10-6	0.6%	0.1				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	21.8%	21.8		13.9	5.9	1.8	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	1.4%		82.5%	82.5%		15.2													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.6	0.2
15-1	3.9%		70.9%	70.9%		15.9														0.0	0.1	0.4	2.3	1.1
14-2	7.4%		54.0%	54.0%		15.9														0.0	0.1	0.3	3.6	3.4
13-3	10.4%		39.5%	39.5%		16.0														0.0	0.0	0.1	4.0	6.3
12-4	12.7%		26.0%	26.0%		16.0																0.1	3.2	9.4
11-5	13.2%		14.2%	14.2%		16.0																0.0	1.9	11.3
10-6	12.9%		6.3%	6.3%		16.0																	0.8	12.1
9-7	11.3%		4.3%	4.3%		16.0																0.0	0.5	10.8
8-8	9.7%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.1	9.5
7-9	6.9%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.1	6.8
6-10	4.7%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	4.7
5-11	2.7%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	2.7
4-12	1.8%																							1.8
3-13	0.9%																							0.9
2-14	0.3%																							0.3
1-15	0.1%																							0.1
0-16	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		18.7%	18.7%	0.0%	15.9													0.0	0.1	0.4	1.1	17.1	81.3		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%