Preseason Rankings
Fordham
Atlantic 10
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.9#267
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.1#279
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.9#323
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#169
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.5% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.1 14.9
.500 or above 25.1% 35.6% 14.9%
.500 or above in Conference 10.6% 14.0% 7.3%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 42.5% 34.1% 50.5%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Houston Baptist (Away) - 49.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.30.0 - 0.3
Quad 1b0.1 - 1.00.1 - 1.3
Quad 20.5 - 3.70.5 - 5.1
Quad 32.5 - 7.43.0 - 12.5
Quad 48.4 - 6.111.4 - 18.6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 312   @ Houston Baptist W 75-72 49%    
  Nov 16, 2018 226   Florida International L 66-68 53%    
  Nov 17, 2018 329   Youngstown St. W 73-68 77%    
  Nov 18, 2018 229   Columbia L 70-72 55%    
  Nov 25, 2018 349   Alabama A&M W 69-59 87%    
  Dec 01, 2018 291   @ Manhattan W 63-62 44%    
  Dec 04, 2018 327   @ Maine W 70-65 58%    
  Dec 08, 2018 140   Rutgers L 58-66 32%    
  Dec 11, 2018 228   NJIT L 64-66 53%    
  Dec 16, 2018 305   Howard W 72-70 68%    
  Dec 20, 2018 176   James Madison L 64-69 43%    
  Dec 30, 2018 225   LIU Brooklyn L 70-72 53%    
  Jan 05, 2019 127   Virginia Commonwealth L 64-73 32%    
  Jan 09, 2019 182   @ Duquesne L 63-68 25%    
  Jan 12, 2019 119   @ St. Bonaventure L 63-72 15%    
  Jan 15, 2019 71   Saint Louis L 56-69 19%    
  Jan 19, 2019 129   @ George Mason L 64-73 16%    
  Jan 23, 2019 166   La Salle L 65-71 41%    
  Jan 26, 2019 107   Dayton L 61-71 28%    
  Jan 30, 2019 208   @ George Washington L 63-66 31%    
  Feb 06, 2019 154   @ Massachusetts L 63-70 21%    
  Feb 09, 2019 182   Duquesne L 63-68 44%    
  Feb 12, 2019 88   Davidson L 59-70 24%    
  Feb 16, 2019 103   @ Rhode Island L 61-71 14%    
  Feb 20, 2019 130   @ Richmond L 64-73 17%    
  Feb 23, 2019 119   St. Bonaventure L 63-72 30%    
  Feb 27, 2019 106   Saint Joseph's L 63-73 28%    
  Mar 02, 2019 88   @ Davidson L 59-70 12%    
  Mar 06, 2019 208   George Washington L 63-66 49%    
  Mar 09, 2019 166   @ La Salle L 65-71 23%    
Projected Record 11.4 - 18.6 4.7 - 13.3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.1 0.1 2.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.2 1.8 0.3 0.0 3.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 2.7 0.8 0.1 4.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 2.8 1.8 0.1 0.0 5.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 2.6 2.8 0.6 0.0 6.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 3.1 4.2 1.3 0.1 9.4 11th
12th 0.1 0.8 3.8 5.3 2.2 0.2 0.0 12.5 12th
13th 0.2 2.4 5.9 6.9 3.4 0.5 0.0 19.4 13th
14th 3.9 8.0 9.7 6.7 2.6 0.4 0.0 31.2 14th
Total 3.9 8.2 12.2 13.4 13.9 12.9 10.1 8.2 6.7 4.5 2.9 1.4 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 51.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 68.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 46.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 10.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 49.5% 0.9% 48.6% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 49.1%
15-3 0.1% 19.4% 19.0% 0.4% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4%
14-4 0.2% 9.2% 8.9% 0.3% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3%
13-5 0.6% 3.0% 2.9% 0.1% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.1%
12-6 0.7% 2.8% 2.8% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
11-7 1.4% 5.1% 5.1% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4
10-8 2.9% 1.5% 1.5% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.9
9-9 4.5% 0.7% 0.7% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5
8-10 6.7% 0.9% 0.9% 15.5 0.0 0.0 6.6
7-11 8.2% 0.2% 0.2% 15.2 0.0 0.0 8.2
6-12 10.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.1
5-13 12.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.9
4-14 13.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.8
3-15 13.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.4
2-16 12.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.2
1-17 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.2
0-18 3.9% 3.9
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%