IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Massachusetts
Atlantic 10
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	+0.6	#154
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.0	#255
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+1.5	#124

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.9	#198

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.8%	5.2%	1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	1.1%	1.2%	0.2%
Average Seed	12.5	12.5	13.3

.500 or above	47.3%	51.0%	22.0%
.500 or above in Conference	43.5%	46.0%	26.5%
Conference Champion	4.0%	4.4%	1.5%
Last Place in Conference	9.2%	8.2%	15.9%

First Four	0.6%	0.7%	0.0%
First Round	4.5%	4.9%	1.9%
Second Round	1.1%	1.2%	0.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.3%	0.4%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Umass Lowell (Home) - 87.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.1 - 1.6	0.1 - 1.6
Quad 1b	0.4 - 2.2	0.5 - 3.8
Quad 2	1.4 - 4.2	1.8 - 8.0
Quad 3	4.2 - 5.2	6.0 - 13.2
Quad 4	9.3 - 2.5	15.3 - 15.7

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2018	306	Umass Lowell	W	81-72	87%
Nov 09, 2018	316	New Hampshire	W	72-62	88%
Nov 13, 2018	77	Harvard	L	65-71	39%
Nov 16, 2018	305	Howard	W	80-71	86%
Nov 19, 2018	332	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	76-64	91%
Nov 22, 2018	104	Southern Illinois	L	67-71	38%
Nov 23, 2018	7	Nevada	L	69-85	8%
Nov 28, 2018	238	Quinnipiac	W	74-69	76%
Dec 04, 2018	206	Holy Cross	W	67-64	70%
Dec 07, 2018	47	@ Providence	L	65-74	15%
Dec 12, 2018	72	@ Temple	L	68-75	20%
Dec 21, 2018	252	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	78-72	78%
Dec 30, 2018	80	@ Georgia	L	63-69	24%
Jan 05, 2019	166	La Salle	W	73-72	63%
Jan 09, 2019	71	@ Saint Louis	L	63-70	21%
Jan 13, 2019	107	@ Dayton	L	69-72	30%
Jan 16, 2019	129	George Mason	L	72-74	53%
Jan 19, 2019	127	@ Virginia Commonwealth	L	73-75	33%
Jan 23, 2019	119	St. Bonaventure	L	71-74	52%
Jan 27, 2019	103	Rhode Island	L	69-73	49%
Jan 30, 2019	166	@ La Salle	W	73-72	42%
Feb 02, 2019	106	@ Saint Joseph's	L	71-74	30%
Feb 06, 2019	267	Fordham	W	70-63	79%
Feb 09, 2019	88	Davidson	L	67-72	44%
Feb 13, 2019	129	@ George Mason	L	72-74	33%
Feb 20, 2019	208	@ George Washington	W	70-67	51%
Feb 23, 2019	106	Saint Joseph's	L	71-74	48%
Feb 26, 2019	107	Dayton	L	69-72	49%
Mar 02, 2019	182	@ Duquesne	W	71-69	45%
Mar 06, 2019	130	Richmond	L	71-73	53%
Mar 09, 2019	103	@ Rhode Island	L	69-73	30%
Projected Record						15.3 - 15.7	8.1 - 9.9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.7	1.0	1.0	0.8	0.3	0.0		4.0	1st
2nd												0.1	1.3	1.8	1.1	0.4	0.0				4.8	2nd
3rd											0.1	1.5	2.8	1.4	0.2	0.0					6.0	3rd
4th										0.0	1.2	3.0	1.9	0.2	0.0						6.4	4th
5th									0.0	0.5	3.3	2.8	0.3	0.0							7.0	5th
6th									0.3	2.7	3.4	0.8	0.0								7.3	6th
7th								0.1	1.8	3.7	1.4	0.1									7.0	7th
8th							0.0	1.3	4.2	2.7	0.1										8.3	8th
9th						0.1	0.8	3.5	3.8	0.5	0.0										8.6	9th
10th					0.0	0.5	3.0	4.1	1.2	0.0											8.7	10th
11th				0.0	0.4	2.3	4.4	1.9	0.1												9.1	11th
12th			0.0	0.6	2.2	3.8	2.3	0.3													9.3	12th
13th		0.1	0.7	2.4	2.9	1.9	0.2	0.0													8.2	13th
14th	0.2	0.8	1.6	1.6	0.9	0.1	0.0														5.3	14th

Total	0.2	0.9	2.3	4.6	6.4	8.6	10.7	11.3	11.4	10.2	9.5	8.2	6.5	4.2	2.4	1.5	0.8	0.3	0.0			Total

Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.3		0.3	0.0
16-2	96.5%	0.8		0.7	0.1
15-3	68.2%	1.0		0.6	0.4	0.0	0.0
14-4	43.4%	1.0		0.4	0.5	0.2	0.0
13-5	16.8%	0.7		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.6%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0				0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	4.0%	4.0		2.2	1.3	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		57.1%	47.6%	9.5%	5.1				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		18.2%
17-1	0.3%		83.2%	42.9%	40.2%	8.6				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.1		70.5%
16-2	0.8%		66.5%	35.7%	30.9%	9.8						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.3		48.0%
15-3	1.5%		33.5%	14.1%	19.4%	11.0								0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		1.0		22.6%
14-4	2.4%		21.4%	14.2%	7.2%	11.8									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		1.9		8.4%
13-5	4.2%		14.6%	12.3%	2.2%	12.5										0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0		3.6		2.6%
12-6	6.5%		9.1%	8.0%	1.1%	13.0										0.0		0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1		5.9		1.2%
11-7	8.2%		6.5%	6.5%	0.0%	13.5												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	7.6		0.0%
10-8	9.5%		3.9%	3.9%		14.3													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	9.1
9-9	10.2%		2.7%	2.7%		14.7													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	9.9
8-10	11.4%		1.9%	1.9%		15.2														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	11.2
7-11	11.3%		1.6%	1.6%		15.6															0.0	0.1	0.1	11.1
6-12	10.7%		0.8%	0.8%		15.8																0.0	0.1	10.6
5-13	8.6%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.1	8.6
4-14	6.4%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	6.4
3-15	4.6%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	4.6
2-16	2.3%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	2.3
1-17	0.9%																							0.9
0-18	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		4.8%	3.8%	1.0%	12.5				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.9	0.7	0.5	0.6	95.2		1.1%