Preseason Rankings
Georgetown
Big East
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.9#69
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace73.8#63
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.9#60
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.0#82
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 1.2% 3.8% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 3.7% 3.8% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 8.0% 3.8% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 28.2% 28.5% 7.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 24.6% 24.9% 5.3%
Average Seed 8.1 8.1 9.9
.500 or above 65.7% 66.2% 23.1%
.500 or above in Conference 35.6% 35.9% 14.4%
Conference Champion 4.1% 4.1% 2.4%
Last Place in Conference 20.6% 20.4% 36.1%
First Four3.9% 4.0% 0.3%
First Round26.1% 26.3% 7.6%
Second Round14.1% 14.2% 2.6%
Sweet Sixteen5.2% 5.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight2.0% 2.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.9% 0.9% 0.0%
Championship Game0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Eastern Shore (Home) - 98.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.8 - 4.30.8 - 4.3
Quad 1b1.4 - 3.32.2 - 7.7
Quad 23.6 - 3.85.8 - 11.4
Quad 34.8 - 1.810.7 - 13.2
Quad 46.6 - 0.517.3 - 13.7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 341   Maryland Eastern Shore W 82-61 99%    
  Nov 10, 2018 313   Central Connecticut St. W 80-63 96%    
  Nov 13, 2018 76   @ Illinois W 80-79 43%    
  Nov 16, 2018 165   Loyola Marymount W 80-72 77%    
  Nov 18, 2018 250   South Florida W 77-64 87%    
  Nov 24, 2018 254   Campbell W 82-69 92%    
  Nov 28, 2018 130   Richmond W 79-74 76%    
  Dec 03, 2018 155   Liberty W 73-66 81%    
  Dec 08, 2018 12   @ Syracuse L 66-73 18%    
  Dec 15, 2018 56   SMU L 70-71 56%    
  Dec 18, 2018 175   Appalachian St. W 83-74 84%    
  Dec 22, 2018 264   Arkansas Little Rock W 77-63 93%    
  Dec 29, 2018 305   Howard W 88-72 94%    
  Jan 02, 2019 33   @ Butler L 74-77 30%    
  Jan 05, 2019 31   St. John's L 75-79 48%    
  Jan 09, 2019 44   @ Xavier L 78-80 33%    
  Jan 12, 2019 47   Providence L 73-75 54%    
  Jan 15, 2019 24   Marquette L 78-83 44%    
  Jan 21, 2019 41   Creighton L 79-81 52%    
  Jan 27, 2019 31   @ St. John's L 75-79 29%    
  Jan 31, 2019 44   Xavier L 78-80 52%    
  Feb 03, 2019 8   @ Villanova L 73-82 16%    
  Feb 06, 2019 47   @ Providence L 73-75 33%    
  Feb 09, 2019 33   Butler L 74-77 49%    
  Feb 13, 2019 52   @ Seton Hall L 76-78 35%    
  Feb 20, 2019 8   Villanova L 73-82 31%    
  Feb 23, 2019 41   @ Creighton L 79-81 33%    
  Feb 27, 2019 89   DePaul W 77-75 67%    
  Mar 02, 2019 52   Seton Hall L 76-78 54%    
  Mar 06, 2019 89   @ DePaul W 77-75 48%    
  Mar 09, 2019 24   @ Marquette L 78-83 27%    
Projected Record 17.3 - 13.7 7.3 - 10.7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 1.9 1.7 0.9 0.1 0.0 5.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.2 3.2 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 7.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.2 3.7 1.9 0.3 0.1 8.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.6 2.0 0.2 0.0 9.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.6 5.0 2.5 0.4 0.0 10.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.1 5.6 2.8 0.3 0.0 12.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.8 5.4 2.5 0.3 0.0 13.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 2.0 4.0 5.0 2.3 0.4 0.0 14.2 9th
10th 0.6 1.8 2.9 4.4 2.8 1.3 0.1 0.0 14.0 10th
Total 0.6 1.9 3.4 6.5 7.9 10.6 11.4 11.3 10.7 9.7 8.4 6.5 4.4 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 96.7% 0.4    0.4 0.0
15-3 90.1% 0.9    0.7 0.2 0.0
14-4 54.1% 1.1    0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 33.6% 1.0    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
12-6 9.4% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.1% 4.1 2.2 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 1.3% 98.8% 1.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 36.2% 63.8% 1.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.5% 100.0% 17.4% 82.6% 2.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.0% 100.0% 30.6% 69.4% 3.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 2.0% 100.0% 20.2% 79.8% 4.6 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 3.0% 98.4% 12.8% 85.6% 5.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.2%
12-6 4.4% 93.2% 12.9% 80.3% 7.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.3 92.2%
11-7 6.5% 82.7% 7.5% 75.1% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.2 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1 81.3%
10-8 8.4% 63.2% 6.7% 56.5% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 3.1 60.5%
9-9 9.7% 42.8% 5.9% 36.9% 10.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.4 0.6 0.0 0.0 5.5 39.2%
8-10 10.7% 15.2% 4.9% 10.3% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 9.1 10.9%
7-11 11.3% 5.1% 3.0% 2.1% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8 2.2%
6-12 11.4% 2.1% 1.8% 0.4% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.2 0.4%
5-13 10.6% 1.5% 1.5% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.5
4-14 7.9% 1.0% 1.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.8
3-15 6.5% 0.1% 0.1% 15.6 0.0 0.0 6.5
2-16 3.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.4
1-17 1.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.9
0-18 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 28.2% 4.8% 23.5% 8.1 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.6 1.9 2.4 2.8 3.5 3.5 3.7 4.2 1.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 71.8 24.6%