IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
San Jose St.
Mountain West
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-9.8	#321
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.2	#224
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-7.8	#342

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.0	#248

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.3	14.1	16.0

.500 or above	1.9%	3.3%	0.4%
.500 or above in Conference	1.7%	2.7%	0.5%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	66.4%	59.8%	73.7%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
First Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Southern Utah (Home) - 52.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.0 - 1.7	0.0 - 1.7
Quad 1b	0.1 - 2.0	0.1 - 3.7
Quad 2	0.3 - 4.6	0.4 - 8.2
Quad 3	1.4 - 8.1	1.8 - 16.4
Quad 4	4.4 - 6.5	6.2 - 22.8

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 10, 2018	295	Southern Utah	L	71-73	53%
Nov 15, 2018	147	Weber St.	L	63-74	16%
Nov 17, 2018	204	Cal St. Bakersfield	L	60-67	25%
Nov 18, 2018	219	Central Michigan	L	66-72	28%
Nov 24, 2018	217	Santa Clara	L	61-68	38%
Nov 28, 2018	161	Indiana St.	L	63-73	26%
Dec 06, 2018	299	Bethune-Cookman	L	75-77	53%
Dec 15, 2018	326	Northern Arizona	W	67-66	63%
Dec 18, 2018	108	@ Stanford	L	62-76	8%
Dec 21, 2018	198	@ California	L	63-71	18%
Dec 29, 2018	59	@ St. Mary's	L	56-75	3%
Jan 02, 2019	91	Fresno St.	L	59-74	15%
Jan 09, 2019	7	@ Nevada	L	60-87	1%
Jan 12, 2019	95	Boise St.	L	60-75	16%
Jan 16, 2019	144	Utah St.	L	62-73	25%
Jan 19, 2019	139	@ UNLV	L	67-79	11%
Jan 23, 2019	173	@ Wyoming	L	68-77	16%
Jan 26, 2019	212	Air Force	L	62-69	37%
Jan 30, 2019	144	@ Utah St.	L	62-73	12%
Feb 02, 2019	45	San Diego St.	L	58-78	9%
Feb 09, 2019	95	@ Boise St.	L	60-75	7%
Feb 13, 2019	92	@ New Mexico	L	66-81	7%
Feb 16, 2019	139	UNLV	L	67-79	23%
Feb 20, 2019	180	Colorado St.	L	65-74	31%
Feb 23, 2019	212	@ Air Force	L	62-69	21%
Feb 26, 2019	92	New Mexico	L	66-81	15%
Mar 02, 2019	45	@ San Diego St.	L	58-78	3%
Mar 06, 2019	173	Wyoming	L	68-77	30%
Mar 09, 2019	91	@ Fresno St.	L	59-74	7%
Projected Record						6.2 - 22.8	2.9 - 15.1

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mountain West Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.0						0.0	1st
2nd													0.0	0.0	0.0						0.1	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0						0.2	3rd
4th									0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0								0.4	4th
5th								0.0	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.1									1.0	5th
6th							0.0	0.4	0.9	0.3	0.0										1.7	6th
7th					0.0	0.2	1.0	1.2	0.6	0.1											3.1	7th
8th				0.0	0.3	1.5	2.7	1.1	0.1	0.0											5.7	8th
9th			0.0	1.2	3.4	4.1	1.8	0.2													10.7	9th
10th		0.8	4.4	7.8	6.9	2.4	0.3														22.6	10th
11th	12.6	17.6	14.5	7.5	2.0	0.2	0.0														54.5	11th

Total	12.6	18.4	18.9	16.6	12.7	8.4	5.8	3.0	2.0	0.9	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0							Total

Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4	3.3%	0.0			0.0
13-5	0.7%	0.0				0.0
12-6	0.0%
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.0%	0.0			0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4	0.0%		3.3%	3.3%		12.0													0.0					0.0
13-5	0.1%		19.0%	19.0%		13.9												0.0			0.0			0.1
12-6	0.1%																							0.1
11-7	0.2%																							0.2
10-8	0.3%																							0.3
9-9	0.9%																							0.9
8-10	2.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	2.0
7-11	3.0%		0.5%	0.5%		15.9															0.0		0.0	2.9
6-12	5.8%																							5.8
5-13	8.4%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	8.4
4-14	12.7%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	12.7
3-15	16.6%																							16.6
2-16	18.9%																							18.9
1-17	18.4%																							18.4
0-18	12.6%																							12.6

Total	100%		0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	15.3												0.0	0.0		0.0		0.0	100.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	1.5%