Preseason Rankings
Stanford
Pac-12
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.8#108
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace73.6#67
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#133
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#89
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.7% 10.7% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 6.8% 7.7% 1.6%
Average Seed 9.9 9.8 11.5
.500 or above 43.2% 47.1% 19.7%
.500 or above in Conference 36.6% 39.1% 21.3%
Conference Champion 2.4% 2.7% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 10.3% 9.2% 16.7%
First Four2.4% 2.6% 0.8%
First Round8.5% 9.3% 3.3%
Second Round3.4% 3.8% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen1.2% 1.3% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.5% 0.5% 0.2%
Final Four0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Seattle (Home) - 85.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.3 - 4.50.3 - 4.5
Quad 1b0.7 - 3.01.1 - 7.5
Quad 22.1 - 4.13.1 - 11.6
Quad 34.1 - 3.27.2 - 14.8
Quad 46.6 - 1.413.8 - 16.2


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 244   Seattle W 77-68 86%    
  Nov 09, 2018 197   @ UNC Wilmington W 82-76 61%    
  Nov 12, 2018 6   @ North Carolina L 72-86 6%    
  Nov 21, 2018 22   Wisconsin L 63-72 20%    
  Nov 22, 2018 16   Florida L 67-77 19%    
  Nov 23, 2018 157   Middle Tennessee W 71-68 62%    
  Nov 28, 2018 246   Portland St. W 85-76 85%    
  Dec 01, 2018 1   @ Kansas L 68-84 5%    
  Dec 15, 2018 174   Eastern Washington W 74-70 75%    
  Dec 18, 2018 321   San Jose St. W 76-62 92%    
  Dec 22, 2018 137   @ San Francisco W 71-69 45%    
  Dec 29, 2018 189   Long Beach St. W 81-76 76%    
  Jan 03, 2019 50   @ UCLA L 75-81 23%    
  Jan 06, 2019 58   @ USC L 72-77 24%    
  Jan 09, 2019 66   Arizona L 72-76 46%    
  Jan 12, 2019 43   Arizona St. L 77-83 39%    
  Jan 17, 2019 42   @ Washington L 72-78 21%    
  Jan 19, 2019 191   @ Washington St. W 78-73 58%    
  Jan 24, 2019 87   Utah L 69-71 53%    
  Jan 26, 2019 84   Colorado L 71-73 54%    
  Feb 03, 2019 198   @ California W 75-69 60%    
  Feb 07, 2019 82   @ Oregon St. L 70-72 33%    
  Feb 10, 2019 17   @ Oregon L 68-78 15%    
  Feb 13, 2019 58   USC L 72-77 43%    
  Feb 16, 2019 50   UCLA L 75-81 41%    
  Feb 20, 2019 43   @ Arizona St. L 77-83 23%    
  Feb 24, 2019 66   @ Arizona L 72-76 27%    
  Feb 28, 2019 191   Washington St. W 78-73 75%    
  Mar 03, 2019 42   Washington L 72-78 40%    
  Mar 07, 2019 198   California W 75-69 76%    
Projected Record 13.8 - 16.2 7.5 - 10.5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.0 2.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 3.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.9 3rd
4th 0.2 2.0 2.7 1.3 0.2 0.0 6.4 4th
5th 0.2 2.1 4.0 1.8 0.1 8.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.4 2.4 0.3 0.0 9.4 6th
7th 0.3 1.9 4.9 3.0 0.4 10.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.6 5.3 3.5 0.8 0.0 12.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.5 5.5 3.9 0.8 0.0 13.2 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 3.0 5.0 3.4 0.7 0.0 12.8 10th
11th 0.0 1.0 2.7 3.6 2.4 0.5 0.0 10.2 11th
12th 0.2 1.2 1.8 1.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 5.7 12th
Total 0.2 1.3 2.8 4.8 8.0 10.4 12.3 12.0 11.6 10.4 8.9 6.5 4.8 2.9 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 98.7% 0.3    0.2 0.0
15-3 66.3% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
14-4 41.8% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 17.9% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
12-6 2.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.4% 2.4 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 1.8% 98.2% 2.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.2% 100.0% 32.8% 67.2% 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.3% 100.0% 24.7% 75.3% 5.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.9% 91.4% 22.9% 68.5% 7.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 88.8%
14-4 1.7% 78.7% 10.0% 68.7% 8.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 76.3%
13-5 2.9% 59.4% 9.8% 49.7% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.2 55.0%
12-6 4.8% 38.4% 8.8% 29.7% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.9 32.5%
11-7 6.5% 21.7% 8.0% 13.7% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 5.1 14.9%
10-8 8.9% 10.3% 4.7% 5.6% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 8.0 5.9%
9-9 10.4% 4.7% 3.2% 1.5% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.9 1.6%
8-10 11.6% 2.4% 2.3% 0.1% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 11.3 0.1%
7-11 12.0% 1.9% 1.9% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.8
6-12 12.3% 0.7% 0.7% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12.2
5-13 10.4% 0.7% 0.7% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.3
4-14 8.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.0 8.0
3-15 4.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.8
2-16 2.8% 2.8
1-17 1.3% 1.3
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 9.7% 3.2% 6.6% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.4 2.1 1.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.3 90.3 6.8%