Drake
Missouri Valley
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.4#157
Achievement Rating+12.0#49
Pace75.9#62
Improvement+1.6#67

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#142
First Shot+3.9#65
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#327
Layup/Dunks+0.0#178
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#330
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.8#26
Freethrows+2.1#68
Improvement+0.8#103

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#188
First Shot+0.1#171
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#231
Layups/Dunks-1.8#244
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#243
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#47
Freethrows-1.8#272
Improvement+0.7#123
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.2% 11.8% 6.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.5% 2.2% 0.3%
Average Seed 13.0 12.2 13.2
.500 or above 64.2% 84.7% 61.6%
.500 or above in Conference 48.6% 62.4% 46.8%
Conference Champion 7.1% 12.2% 6.5%
Last Place in Conference 14.0% 7.8% 14.7%
First Four0.5% 1.3% 0.4%
First Round7.0% 11.0% 6.4%
Second Round0.9% 2.0% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iowa St. (Neutral) - 11.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2018 59   @ Colorado L 71-100 15%     0 - 1 -17.6 -1.9 -13.0
  Nov 17, 2018 142   Texas St. W 75-69 57%     1 - 1 +4.6 +0.4 +4.0
  Nov 21, 2018 268   @ UMKC W 66-63 63%     2 - 1 +0.0 -10.1 +10.0
  Nov 27, 2018 128   Boise St. W 83-74 51%     3 - 1 +9.0 +6.4 +2.1
  Dec 01, 2018 204   North Dakota St. W 95-88 61%     4 - 1 +4.4 +17.6 -13.3
  Dec 06, 2018 294   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 75-61 68%     5 - 1 +9.6 -1.7 +10.8
  Dec 15, 2018 21   Iowa St. L 72-85 11%    
  Dec 17, 2018 327   SIU Edwardsville W 85-71 91%    
  Dec 19, 2018 125   Rider W 85-84 51%    
  Dec 22, 2018 63   New Mexico St. L 70-77 25%    
  Jan 02, 2019 176   @ Evansville L 79-80 45%    
  Jan 05, 2019 96   Loyola Chicago L 69-71 43%    
  Jan 08, 2019 99   Southern Illinois L 72-74 43%    
  Jan 13, 2019 174   @ Northern Iowa L 71-73 44%    
  Jan 16, 2019 129   @ Bradley L 69-74 31%    
  Jan 20, 2019 196   Missouri St. W 83-78 69%    
  Jan 23, 2019 176   Evansville W 82-77 66%    
  Jan 26, 2019 158   @ Valparaiso L 73-76 40%    
  Jan 30, 2019 150   Illinois St. W 79-76 59%    
  Feb 02, 2019 141   @ Indiana St. L 73-77 35%    
  Feb 05, 2019 96   @ Loyola Chicago L 66-74 24%    
  Feb 09, 2019 174   Northern Iowa W 74-70 65%    
  Feb 12, 2019 99   @ Southern Illinois L 69-77 25%    
  Feb 16, 2019 158   Valparaiso W 76-73 61%    
  Feb 19, 2019 129   Bradley W 72-71 52%    
  Feb 24, 2019 150   @ Illinois St. L 76-79 38%    
  Feb 27, 2019 141   Indiana St. W 76-74 56%    
  Mar 02, 2019 196   @ Missouri St. L 80-81 48%    
Projected Record 15.2 - 12.8 8.4 - 9.6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.0 1.9 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 7.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.5 3.4 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 9.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.1 4.3 1.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 10.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.1 5.2 2.0 0.2 0.0 10.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.7 5.8 2.3 0.2 0.0 11.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.8 2.9 0.3 0.0 11.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.3 3.6 0.4 0.0 11.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.6 3.7 0.5 0.0 10.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.0 3.8 3.0 0.6 0.0 10.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.3 2.6 1.7 0.4 0.0 8.6 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.8 4.8 7.3 10.1 11.9 12.9 12.5 11.4 9.3 6.7 4.3 2.5 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 99.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
15-3 92.5% 1.1    1.0 0.1 0.0
14-4 74.6% 1.9    1.3 0.5 0.0
13-5 46.7% 2.0    0.9 0.9 0.2 0.0
12-6 17.8% 1.2    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-7 2.8% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.1% 7.1 4.0 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 63.8% 39.7% 24.1% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 40.0%
16-2 0.5% 49.9% 31.6% 18.3% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 26.8%
15-3 1.2% 39.4% 29.2% 10.2% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 14.4%
14-4 2.5% 30.0% 25.1% 4.9% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.7 6.5%
13-5 4.3% 21.3% 19.1% 2.3% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.4 2.8%
12-6 6.7% 15.1% 14.7% 0.3% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 5.7 0.4%
11-7 9.3% 11.0% 10.9% 0.1% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 8.3 0.1%
10-8 11.4% 8.8% 8.8% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 10.4 0.0%
9-9 12.5% 6.4% 6.4% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 11.7 0.0%
8-10 12.9% 3.6% 3.6% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 12.4
7-11 11.9% 1.8% 1.8% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.7
6-12 10.1% 1.3% 1.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.9
5-13 7.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 7.3
4-14 4.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.0 4.8
3-15 2.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.8
2-16 1.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.2
1-17 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 7.2% 6.7% 0.5% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.5 1.8 1.7 0.8 0.3 92.8 0.5%