UMKC
Western Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.0#267
Achievement Rating-5.5#241
Pace70.0#177
Improvement+4.7#3

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#264
First Shot-1.4#224
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#276
Layup/Dunks+2.5#103
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#332
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#126
Freethrows-1.5#252
Improvement+2.7#16

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#255
First Shot-2.7#263
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#170
Layups/Dunks-0.3#194
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#51
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#272
Freethrows-1.8#275
Improvement+2.0#43
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 1.4% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 4.6% 6.2% 1.6%
.500 or above in Conference 24.3% 27.2% 19.1%
Conference Champion 0.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 7.6% 6.4% 9.6%
First Four0.6% 0.6% 0.5%
First Round0.9% 1.1% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wisconsin-Milwaukee (Home) - 64.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 95   @ Loyola Chicago L 45-76 9%     0 - 1 -22.5 -21.0 -0.8
  Nov 08, 2018 39   @ Iowa L 63-77 4%     0 - 2 +0.1 -7.8 +8.2
  Nov 11, 2018 77   @ Connecticut L 66-94 8%     0 - 3 -18.5 -2.1 -16.7
  Nov 16, 2018 286   Morehead St. L 89-99 54%     0 - 4 -17.0 +2.7 -18.8
  Nov 17, 2018 248   @ Eastern Washington L 80-87 35%     0 - 5 -9.1 -4.6 -3.5
  Nov 21, 2018 155   Drake L 63-66 37%     0 - 6 -5.6 -14.1 +8.6
  Nov 28, 2018 96   @ South Dakota St. L 47-75 10%     0 - 7 -19.6 -23.4 +2.9
  Dec 01, 2018 201   @ Purdue Fort Wayne W 90-73 26%     1 - 7 +17.7 +18.7 -0.5
  Dec 08, 2018 170   @ South Dakota W 65-63 21%     2 - 7 +4.5 +1.5 +3.2
  Dec 13, 2018 282   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 70-66 64%    
  Dec 15, 2018 311   McNeese St. W 75-69 71%    
  Dec 19, 2018 173   @ Central Michigan L 71-79 22%    
  Dec 22, 2018 301   Elon W 75-70 68%    
  Dec 27, 2018 42   @ Creighton L 69-89 3%    
  Jan 05, 2019 349   Chicago St. W 82-69 89%    
  Jan 10, 2019 237   California Baptist W 76-74 56%    
  Jan 17, 2019 211   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 64-70 29%    
  Jan 19, 2019 120   @ Grand Canyon L 66-78 13%    
  Jan 24, 2019 141   Utah Valley L 69-74 33%    
  Jan 26, 2019 175   Seattle L 72-74 43%    
  Jan 31, 2019 63   @ New Mexico St. L 61-78 6%    
  Feb 02, 2019 224   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 69-74 31%    
  Feb 09, 2019 237   @ California Baptist L 73-77 34%    
  Feb 14, 2019 120   Grand Canyon L 69-75 28%    
  Feb 16, 2019 211   Cal St. Bakersfield L 67-68 49%    
  Feb 21, 2019 175   @ Seattle L 69-77 24%    
  Feb 23, 2019 141   @ Utah Valley L 66-77 17%    
  Feb 28, 2019 63   New Mexico St. L 64-75 17%    
  Mar 02, 2019 224   UT Rio Grande Valley W 72-71 52%    
  Mar 09, 2019 349   @ Chicago St. W 79-72 74%    
Projected Record 10.2 - 19.8 6.0 - 10.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 5.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.5 3.7 0.9 0.1 0.0 8.8 4th
5th 0.0 1.2 5.2 5.4 1.1 0.0 0.0 13.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 6.9 7.0 1.5 0.0 17.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.6 8.8 7.7 1.8 0.1 22.5 7th
8th 0.2 2.4 7.0 9.5 5.9 1.5 0.1 26.5 8th
9th 0.2 0.9 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.7 9th
Total 0.2 1.1 3.8 8.4 13.5 16.7 17.2 14.7 10.8 6.9 3.8 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 85.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-3 61.4% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-4 36.4% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-5 7.0% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.0% 7.3% 7.3% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.2% 10.9% 10.9% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-4 0.7% 9.7% 9.7% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
11-5 1.8% 5.4% 5.4% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.7
10-6 3.8% 4.4% 4.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.6
9-7 6.9% 2.7% 2.7% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 6.7
8-8 10.8% 1.8% 1.8% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 10.6
7-9 14.7% 1.3% 1.3% 15.9 0.0 0.2 14.6
6-10 17.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1 17.1
5-11 16.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 16.6
4-12 13.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.4
3-13 8.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.4
2-14 3.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 3.8
1-15 1.1% 1.1
0-16 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 98.8 0.0%