Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Horizon
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.8#282
Achievement Rating-10.6#294
Pace65.6#286
Improvement+0.4#138

Offense
Total Offense-5.0#306
First Shot-2.7#257
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#304
Layup/Dunks-7.2#341
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#23
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#142
Freethrows-1.0#226
Improvement-0.3#199

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#226
First Shot-1.8#228
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#184
Layups/Dunks-0.8#212
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#227
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#159
Freethrows-0.8#226
Improvement+0.8#116
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 2.5% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 5.6% 9.2% 2.7%
.500 or above in Conference 27.3% 32.5% 23.1%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.5% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 15.6% 12.6% 17.9%
First Four1.4% 1.7% 1.2%
First Round1.2% 1.7% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Dakota (Away) - 43.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 100   @ Boston College L 53-73 9%     0 - 1 -11.7 -10.2 -4.0
  Nov 10, 2018 303   North Dakota L 60-63 66%     0 - 2 -14.1 -16.5 +2.4
  Nov 13, 2018 228   @ Florida International L 83-86 29%     0 - 3 -4.1 -6.8 +3.2
  Nov 16, 2018 26   @ Cincinnati L 63-74 3%     0 - 4 +4.9 +6.8 -3.0
  Nov 20, 2018 244   LIU Brooklyn W 92-87 55%     1 - 4 -3.0 +4.8 -8.3
  Nov 23, 2018 274   Albany W 79-70 60%     2 - 4 -0.3 +7.7 -7.2
  Nov 30, 2018 23   Buffalo L 77-96 4%     2 - 5 -6.0 +4.4 -9.2
  Dec 01, 2018 159   Stephen F. Austin L 51-66 25%     2 - 6 -14.9 -19.3 +4.0
  Dec 06, 2018 155   Drake L 61-75 34%     2 - 7 -16.6 -16.3 +0.2
  Dec 09, 2018 303   @ North Dakota L 67-69 44%    
  Dec 13, 2018 267   @ UMKC L 66-70 36%    
  Dec 22, 2018 223   @ Western Michigan L 65-71 28%    
  Dec 29, 2018 204   Green Bay L 74-75 45%    
  Jan 03, 2019 255   Cleveland St. W 71-69 56%    
  Jan 05, 2019 332   Youngstown St. W 76-68 77%    
  Jan 10, 2019 236   @ Oakland L 69-74 32%    
  Jan 12, 2019 299   @ Detroit Mercy L 72-74 43%    
  Jan 17, 2019 169   Illinois-Chicago L 71-74 38%    
  Jan 19, 2019 179   IUPUI L 67-69 41%    
  Jan 24, 2019 144   @ Wright St. L 63-74 15%    
  Jan 26, 2019 123   @ Northern Kentucky L 62-75 12%    
  Feb 01, 2019 204   @ Green Bay L 71-78 26%    
  Feb 07, 2019 332   @ Youngstown St. W 73-71 57%    
  Feb 09, 2019 255   @ Cleveland St. L 68-72 35%    
  Feb 14, 2019 299   Detroit Mercy W 75-71 64%    
  Feb 16, 2019 236   Oakland W 72-71 53%    
  Feb 22, 2019 179   @ IUPUI L 64-72 22%    
  Feb 24, 2019 169   @ Illinois-Chicago L 68-77 20%    
  Feb 28, 2019 123   Northern Kentucky L 65-72 27%    
  Mar 02, 2019 144   Wright St. L 66-71 32%    
Projected Record 10.0 - 20.0 6.9 - 11.1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 4.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.0 3.5 1.7 0.2 0.0 7.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.8 2.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 10.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.4 6.2 3.0 0.4 0.0 13.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.2 7.1 3.6 0.4 0.0 16.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.4 5.1 7.4 3.5 0.5 0.0 18.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.4 5.4 5.6 2.4 0.3 0.0 16.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 2.1 2.9 2.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 9.1 10th
Total 0.1 0.9 2.5 5.4 9.1 12.3 14.6 14.7 13.1 10.4 7.6 4.7 2.7 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 96.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 86.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 59.7% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 27.1% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 7.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 17.6% 17.6% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 18.0% 18.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.5% 13.7% 13.7% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-5 1.3% 11.9% 11.9% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.1
12-6 2.7% 7.7% 7.7% 15.8 0.0 0.2 2.5
11-7 4.7% 5.6% 5.6% 15.9 0.0 0.2 4.4
10-8 7.6% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 7.2
9-9 10.4% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.3 10.1
8-10 13.1% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 12.9
7-11 14.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 14.6
6-12 14.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 14.5
5-13 12.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 12.2
4-14 9.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.1
3-15 5.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.4
2-16 2.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.5
1-17 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 0.9
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.7 98.1 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%