Seattle
Western Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#193
Achievement Rating-4.5#229
Pace68.9#184
Improvement-6.3#343

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#261
First Shot-5.4#313
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#33
Layup/Dunks-1.6#233
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#131
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#283
Freethrows-1.4#273
Improvement-5.8#342

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#139
First Shot+0.8#144
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#159
Layups/Dunks+1.6#105
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#323
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#31
Freethrows-2.4#318
Improvement-0.4#205
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.6% 2.9% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 16.0
.500 or above 52.2% 64.3% 25.3%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.1% 0.8%
First Four1.4% 1.3% 1.5%
First Round2.1% 2.4% 1.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UMKC (Home) - 69.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 92   @ Stanford L 74-96 17%     0 - 1 -13.9 +3.5 -16.7
  Nov 11, 2018 326   Bryant W 82-59 87%     1 - 1 +9.2 -3.9 +12.1
  Nov 14, 2018 167   Washington St. W 78-69 54%     2 - 1 +6.0 -6.5 +11.7
  Nov 18, 2018 279   Southern Utah L 70-73 76%     2 - 2 -12.4 -8.9 -3.4
  Nov 23, 2018 297   Denver W 82-63 79%     3 - 2 +8.5 +0.5 +7.7
  Nov 24, 2018 286   Fairfield W 83-80 77%     4 - 2 -6.8 +0.6 -7.7
  Nov 25, 2018 294   Longwood W 70-50 79%     5 - 2 +9.8 -2.0 +13.0
  Dec 01, 2018 238   Eastern Washington W 88-68 70%     6 - 2 +12.6 +6.6 +5.2
  Dec 06, 2018 171   Nebraska Omaha W 90-71 55%     7 - 2 +15.8 +5.9 +8.9
  Dec 09, 2018 36   @ Washington L 62-70 8%     7 - 3 +6.1 -1.3 +7.3
  Dec 17, 2018 317   @ Portland W 67-56 69%     8 - 3 +3.9 -6.6 +10.6
  Dec 20, 2018 265   Prairie View W 102-64 74%     9 - 3 +29.3 +20.4 +7.3
  Dec 29, 2018 257   @ California W 82-73 53%     10 - 3 +6.2 +5.9 +0.4
  Jan 03, 2019 200   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 71-83 41%     10 - 4 0 - 1 -11.6 +0.5 -12.6
  Jan 05, 2019 102   @ Grand Canyon L 57-71 18%     10 - 5 0 - 2 -6.4 -11.4 +4.9
  Jan 12, 2019 114   @ Utah Valley L 78-88 21%     10 - 6 0 - 3 -3.3 +3.9 -6.7
  Jan 17, 2019 62   New Mexico St. L 60-87 26%     10 - 7 0 - 4 -22.3 -10.2 -12.3
  Jan 19, 2019 186   UT Rio Grande Valley L 62-67 59%     10 - 8 0 - 5 -9.4 -6.5 -3.0
  Jan 24, 2019 351   @ Chicago St. W 75-47 91%     11 - 8 1 - 5 +10.9 +1.0 +12.4
  Jan 26, 2019 229   @ UMKC L 54-63 48%     11 - 9 1 - 6 -10.4 -14.4 +3.2
  Feb 02, 2019 217   California Baptist L 64-75 65%     11 - 10 1 - 7 -17.0 -7.1 -11.1
  Feb 14, 2019 186   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 44-59 38%     11 - 11 1 - 8 -13.8 -20.7 +5.8
  Feb 16, 2019 62   @ New Mexico St. L 53-59 13%     11 - 12 1 - 9 +4.2 -11.0 +14.8
  Feb 21, 2019 229   UMKC W 71-66 69%    
  Feb 23, 2019 351   Chicago St. W 82-61 98%    
  Feb 26, 2019 114   Utah Valley L 70-73 39%    
  Feb 28, 2019 217   @ California Baptist L 73-74 44%    
  Mar 07, 2019 200   Cal St. Bakersfield W 70-67 63%    
  Mar 09, 2019 102   Grand Canyon L 67-71 36%    
Projected Record 14.5 - 14.5 4.5 - 11.5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.5 0.5 5th
6th 0.2 3.2 2.3 5.7 6th
7th 5.0 8.2 0.6 13.8 7th
8th 0.1 3.6 16.2 30.2 25.1 4.6 0.0 80.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 9th
Total 0.1 3.6 16.2 30.2 30.3 16.0 3.4 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 3.4% 6.0% 6.0% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.2
6-10 16.0% 3.7% 3.7% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 15.4
5-11 30.3% 2.8% 2.8% 15.9 0.1 0.8 29.4
4-12 30.2% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.7 29.6
3-13 16.2% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 16.0
2-14 3.6% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 3.6
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16
Total 100% 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.1 97.4 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 14.7 1.9 30.4 62.8 4.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.7%
Lose Out 0.1%