Penn
Ivy League
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.1#101
Achievement Rating+10.0#66
Pace70.5#162
Improvement+3.2#17

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#116
First Shot+1.3#146
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#118
Layup/Dunks+3.8#60
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#347
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.9#28
Freethrows-3.6#322
Improvement+3.0#11

Defense
Total Defense+3.1#85
First Shot+1.4#128
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#74
Layups/Dunks-0.7#210
2 Pt Jumpshots-6.8#352
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.2#3
Freethrows+0.7#139
Improvement+0.3#146
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 28.0% 33.9% 25.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.1% 5.0% 0.9%
Average Seed 12.6 11.9 13.0
.500 or above 97.0% 99.3% 95.9%
.500 or above in Conference 92.6% 94.9% 91.5%
Conference Champion 33.8% 39.2% 31.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.3% 0.8%
First Four1.0% 2.0% 0.5%
First Round27.5% 32.8% 25.1%
Second Round5.9% 8.3% 4.8%
Sweet Sixteen1.5% 2.1% 1.3%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Villanova (Home) - 30.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 171   @ George Mason W 72-71 60%     1 - 0 +3.4 -2.3 +5.7
  Nov 09, 2018 315   Rice W 92-76 94%     2 - 0 +3.8 +1.3 +0.5
  Nov 13, 2018 317   Lafayette W 91-61 94%     3 - 0 +17.4 +11.5 +6.2
  Nov 16, 2018 174   Northern Iowa W 78-71 72%     4 - 0 +6.0 +4.5 +1.4
  Nov 18, 2018 28   Kansas St. L 48-64 23%     4 - 1 -3.3 -11.7 +7.6
  Nov 19, 2018 64   Oregon St. L 58-74 40%     4 - 2 -8.3 -9.7 +0.8
  Nov 27, 2018 353   @ Delaware St. W 76-48 97%     5 - 2 +10.3 -10.3 +18.5
  Dec 04, 2018 45   Miami (FL) W 89-75 43%     6 - 2 +20.9 +27.4 -5.2
  Dec 08, 2018 258   @ La Salle W 83-65 77%     7 - 2 +15.4 +4.2 +10.5
  Dec 11, 2018 21   Villanova L 67-72 31%    
  Dec 22, 2018 146   @ New Mexico W 82-81 54%    
  Dec 29, 2018 75   @ Toledo L 71-75 34%    
  Dec 31, 2018 304   Monmouth W 77-61 94%    
  Jan 05, 2019 183   @ Princeton W 70-66 63%    
  Jan 12, 2019 183   Princeton W 73-63 81%    
  Jan 19, 2019 68   @ Temple L 68-73 32%    
  Jan 26, 2019 104   Saint Joseph's W 78-75 61%    
  Feb 01, 2019 231   @ Cornell W 75-69 72%    
  Feb 02, 2019 264   @ Columbia W 80-72 77%    
  Feb 08, 2019 176   @ Brown W 74-71 62%    
  Feb 09, 2019 91   @ Yale L 74-78 37%    
  Feb 15, 2019 247   Dartmouth W 80-67 88%    
  Feb 16, 2019 94   Harvard W 72-70 59%    
  Feb 22, 2019 264   Columbia W 83-69 89%    
  Feb 23, 2019 231   Cornell W 78-66 86%    
  Mar 01, 2019 94   @ Harvard L 69-73 38%    
  Mar 02, 2019 247   @ Dartmouth W 77-70 74%    
  Mar 08, 2019 91   Yale W 77-75 58%    
  Mar 09, 2019 176   Brown W 77-68 80%    
Projected Record 19.7 - 9.3 9.6 - 4.4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.8 4.8 10.2 10.8 5.7 1.5 33.8 1st
2nd 0.0 1.5 7.2 11.2 6.5 1.1 27.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 7.1 8.0 3.0 0.2 20.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 4.4 3.9 0.8 0.0 10.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.3 1.7 0.2 4.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.8 0.1 2.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 8th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.0 4.3 8.0 12.8 16.8 18.9 16.9 11.9 5.7 1.5 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 1.5    1.5
13-1 100.0% 5.7    5.4 0.3
12-2 90.7% 10.8    8.3 2.5 0.0
11-3 60.4% 10.2    5.2 4.3 0.7 0.0
10-4 25.3% 4.8    1.3 2.3 1.1 0.1 0.0
9-5 4.5% 0.8    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 33.8% 33.8 21.8 9.7 2.1 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 1.5% 68.0% 56.6% 11.4% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 26.2%
13-1 5.7% 57.5% 49.6% 7.9% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.4 15.7%
12-2 11.9% 47.0% 42.7% 4.3% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.2 1.4 0.3 0.0 6.3 7.5%
11-3 16.9% 36.9% 35.2% 1.7% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.2 2.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 10.7 2.6%
10-4 18.9% 29.4% 28.9% 0.5% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.3 1.5 0.3 0.0 13.4 0.6%
9-5 16.8% 23.3% 23.2% 0.2% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.5 0.5 0.0 12.9 0.2%
8-6 12.8% 15.5% 15.5% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.1 10.8
7-7 8.0% 4.5% 4.5% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 7.7
6-8 4.3% 0.5% 0.5% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.3
5-9 2.0% 2.0
4-10 0.7% 0.7
3-11 0.2% 0.2
2-12 0.1% 0.1
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 28.0% 26.5% 1.5% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 3.5 7.8 8.2 5.2 1.6 0.1 72.0 2.1%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 7.8 1.5 1.5 8.8 16.2 19.1 17.6 13.2 8.8 11.8 1.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 76.2% 8.6 19.0 4.8 14.3 19.0 19.0