Penn
Ivy League
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.6#132
Achievement Rating+4.5#111
Pace70.5#140
Improvement-4.2#325

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#149
First Shot+0.4#171
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#137
Layup/Dunks+3.9#43
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#349
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#74
Freethrows-1.6#286
Improvement-1.1#242

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#129
First Shot+1.2#133
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#132
Layups/Dunks-3.9#320
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#335
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.4#3
Freethrows+1.1#108
Improvement-3.1#312
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.0% 8.0% 2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.1 13.1 13.5
.500 or above 99.7% 100.0% 98.2%
.500 or above in Conference 58.4% 64.9% 26.0%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 0.2% 6.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round7.0% 8.0% 2.2%
Second Round0.8% 1.0% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Columbia (Home) - 83.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 139   @ George Mason W 72-71 42%     1 - 0 +5.6 -0.9 +6.5
  Nov 09, 2018 254   Rice W 92-76 84%     2 - 0 +7.7 +2.5 +3.2
  Nov 13, 2018 295   Lafayette W 91-61 88%     3 - 0 +19.7 +12.0 +8.0
  Nov 16, 2018 180   Northern Iowa W 78-71 64%     4 - 0 +5.8 +2.4 +3.2
  Nov 18, 2018 25   Kansas St. L 48-64 16%     4 - 1 -2.7 -12.8 +9.3
  Nov 19, 2018 75   Oregon St. L 58-74 35%     4 - 2 -9.4 -11.1 +1.2
  Nov 27, 2018 353   @ Delaware St. W 76-48 96%     5 - 2 +9.4 -10.7 +17.8
  Dec 04, 2018 60   Miami (FL) W 89-75 41%     6 - 2 +19.0 +27.3 -6.9
  Dec 08, 2018 198   @ La Salle W 83-65 58%     7 - 2 +18.5 +8.6 +9.2
  Dec 11, 2018 19   Villanova W 78-75 18%     8 - 2 +15.2 +14.4 +1.0
  Dec 22, 2018 155   @ New Mexico W 75-65 47%     9 - 2 +13.3 -0.6 +13.4
  Dec 29, 2018 67   @ Toledo L 45-77 24%     9 - 3 -22.1 -22.1 -0.5
  Dec 31, 2018 271   Monmouth L 74-76 86%     9 - 4 -11.0 -1.0 -10.0
  Jan 05, 2019 164   @ Princeton L 65-68 50%     9 - 5 0 - 1 -0.4 -8.0 +7.8
  Jan 12, 2019 164   Princeton L 53-62 70%     9 - 6 0 - 2 -11.9 -17.4 +5.3
  Jan 19, 2019 70   @ Temple W 77-70 25%     10 - 6 +16.8 +11.1 +5.9
  Jan 26, 2019 182   @ Saint Joseph's W 78-70 55%     11 - 6 +9.4 +3.5 +5.8
  Feb 01, 2019 210   @ Cornell L 71-80 61%     11 - 7 0 - 3 -9.2 -8.1 -0.3
  Feb 02, 2019 237   @ Columbia W 72-70 67%     12 - 7 1 - 3 +0.2 +2.5 -2.2
  Feb 08, 2019 154   @ Brown W 92-82 47%     13 - 7 2 - 3 +13.3 +22.1 -9.0
  Feb 09, 2019 88   @ Yale L 65-78 28%     13 - 8 2 - 4 -4.4 -3.2 -1.2
  Feb 15, 2019 203   Dartmouth W 82-79 77%     14 - 8 3 - 4 -2.2 +1.1 -3.4
  Feb 16, 2019 117   Harvard L 68-75 56%     14 - 9 3 - 5 -5.9 -7.0 +1.6
  Feb 22, 2019 237   Columbia W 76-66 83%    
  Feb 23, 2019 210   Cornell W 76-68 79%    
  Mar 01, 2019 117   @ Harvard L 66-70 34%    
  Mar 02, 2019 203   @ Dartmouth W 74-72 58%    
  Mar 08, 2019 88   Yale L 75-76 49%    
  Mar 09, 2019 154   Brown W 74-69 68%    
Projected Record 17.7 - 11.3 6.7 - 7.3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 2.2 3.3 5.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 5.1 11.8 2.0 18.9 3rd
4th 0.0 4.5 19.6 6.4 0.1 30.6 4th
5th 0.0 1.8 14.8 7.3 0.1 23.9 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 8.5 6.9 0.3 16.9 6th
7th 0.2 1.7 1.8 0.1 3.7 7th
8th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 8th
Total 0.3 2.9 12.1 26.3 32.3 20.6 5.5 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 2.7% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 5.5% 29.3% 29.3% 12.3 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.0 0.0 3.9
8-6 20.6% 19.3% 19.3% 13.3 0.0 0.4 2.2 1.3 0.1 16.6
7-7 32.3% 4.4% 4.4% 13.7 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.1 30.8
6-8 26.3% 0.1% 0.1% 14.4 0.0 0.0 26.3
5-9 12.1% 12.1
4-10 2.9% 2.9
3-11 0.3% 0.3
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 7.0% 7.0% 0.0% 13.1 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.3 2.2 0.2 93.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.6% 99.3% 12.3 0.7 10.9 48.7 36.3 2.6 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.4%
Lose Out 0.3%