Connecticut
American Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.5#77
Achievement Rating+7.3#90
Pace76.1#56
Improvement+1.3#85

Offense
Total Offense+4.1#74
First Shot+3.7#74
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#141
Layup/Dunks+6.1#23
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#199
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#186
Freethrows-1.7#263
Improvement-0.5#212

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#101
First Shot+3.0#83
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#216
Layups/Dunks-1.6#241
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#140
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.3#33
Freethrows-1.4#257
Improvement+1.8#52
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.1% 18.5% 8.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 12.8% 13.2% 4.9%
Average Seed 10.2 10.1 11.0
.500 or above 91.7% 92.4% 76.2%
.500 or above in Conference 73.1% 73.6% 61.7%
Conference Champion 6.4% 6.5% 3.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.8% 1.8%
First Four4.7% 4.8% 2.5%
First Round15.5% 15.9% 7.1%
Second Round5.7% 5.9% 2.2%
Sweet Sixteen1.4% 1.5% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Manhattan (Home) - 95.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2018 286   Morehead St. W 80-70 93%     1 - 0 +0.0 +2.2 -1.8
  Nov 11, 2018 267   UMKC W 94-66 92%     2 - 0 +19.0 +18.2 +1.2
  Nov 15, 2018 31   Syracuse W 83-76 29%     3 - 0 +19.2 +10.8 +7.8
  Nov 16, 2018 39   @ Iowa L 72-91 23%     3 - 1 -4.9 -2.7 -0.7
  Nov 20, 2018 231   Cornell W 91-74 90%     4 - 1 +9.7 +7.4 +0.9
  Nov 25, 2018 343   New Hampshire W 91-66 98%     5 - 1 +7.8 +7.8 -1.1
  Nov 27, 2018 268   Umass Lowell W 97-75 92%     6 - 1 +12.9 +7.8 +3.1
  Dec 02, 2018 40   Arizona L 72-76 44%     6 - 2 +4.1 -1.5 +5.9
  Dec 05, 2018 317   Lafayette W 90-63 95%     7 - 2 +14.4 +5.5 +7.7
  Dec 08, 2018 15   Florida St. L 71-79 23%     7 - 3 +6.2 -1.0 +8.1
  Dec 15, 2018 310   Manhattan W 75-57 96%    
  Dec 18, 2018 251   Drexel W 88-73 92%    
  Dec 22, 2018 21   Villanova L 70-77 26%    
  Jan 02, 2019 191   @ South Florida W 74-69 69%    
  Jan 05, 2019 41   Central Florida L 69-70 46%    
  Jan 10, 2019 115   SMU W 76-71 69%    
  Jan 12, 2019 26   @ Cincinnati L 65-74 19%    
  Jan 16, 2019 118   @ Tulsa L 75-76 49%    
  Jan 19, 2019 218   Tulane W 83-70 88%    
  Jan 26, 2019 114   Wichita St. W 79-74 68%    
  Jan 31, 2019 41   @ Central Florida L 66-73 26%    
  Feb 03, 2019 257   East Carolina W 84-69 92%    
  Feb 06, 2019 68   @ Temple L 72-76 37%    
  Feb 10, 2019 116   @ Memphis L 81-82 49%    
  Feb 14, 2019 33   Houston L 68-71 41%    
  Feb 21, 2019 115   @ SMU L 73-74 48%    
  Feb 24, 2019 26   Cincinnati L 68-71 38%    
  Feb 28, 2019 114   @ Wichita St. L 76-77 47%    
  Mar 03, 2019 191   South Florida W 77-66 84%    
  Mar 07, 2019 68   Temple W 75-73 58%    
  Mar 10, 2019 257   @ East Carolina W 81-72 79%    
Projected Record 19.2 - 11.8 10.1 - 7.9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.1 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 6.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.3 2.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 10.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.3 5.9 3.1 0.4 0.0 13.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.3 6.8 3.3 0.4 0.0 14.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.8 6.9 3.6 0.4 0.0 13.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.2 6.1 3.8 0.5 0.0 12.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 4.9 3.8 0.5 0.0 10.7 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 3.4 3.2 0.6 0.0 8.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 2.2 2.2 0.5 0.0 5.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.3 0.4 0.0 3.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.3 4.6 7.6 11.1 13.8 15.0 14.5 12.2 8.8 5.0 2.6 0.9 0.3 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 99.2% 0.3    0.2 0.0
16-2 92.6% 0.9    0.7 0.1
15-3 74.4% 1.9    1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0
14-4 40.7% 2.1    0.8 0.9 0.3 0.0
13-5 12.3% 1.1    0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.6% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.4% 6.4 3.2 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 33.3% 66.7% 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.3% 94.9% 30.2% 64.7% 5.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 92.7%
16-2 0.9% 90.5% 25.5% 65.0% 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 87.2%
15-3 2.6% 81.7% 19.7% 62.0% 8.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 77.2%
14-4 5.0% 65.3% 16.3% 49.0% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.7 58.6%
13-5 8.8% 46.2% 12.3% 33.9% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.7 38.7%
12-6 12.2% 29.0% 8.9% 20.1% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 8.6 22.0%
11-7 14.5% 15.4% 6.6% 8.9% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 12.3 9.5%
10-8 15.0% 6.8% 4.0% 2.8% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 14.0 2.9%
9-9 13.8% 2.9% 2.2% 0.7% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 13.4 0.7%
8-10 11.1% 1.7% 1.6% 0.0% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.9 0.0%
7-11 7.6% 1.0% 1.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.5
6-12 4.6% 0.7% 0.7% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.6
5-13 2.3% 0.5% 0.5% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3
4-14 1.0% 0.7% 0.7% 15.6 0.0 0.0 1.0
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 18.1% 6.0% 12.1% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.2 3.3 4.7 3.4 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0 81.9 12.8%