Connecticut
American Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.0#83
Achievement Rating+2.5#138
Pace72.4#91
Improvement-2.3#283

Offense
Total Offense+3.8#69
First Shot+3.3#77
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#138
Layup/Dunks+4.8#24
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#231
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#154
Freethrows-1.2#260
Improvement-1.6#255

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#119
First Shot+2.5#97
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#221
Layups/Dunks-1.4#243
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#78
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#18
Freethrows-2.1#307
Improvement-0.7#220
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 2.5% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.4 11.9 13.0
.500 or above 76.9% 91.5% 65.5%
.500 or above in Conference 17.7% 32.9% 5.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round2.0% 2.5% 1.7%
Second Round0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: SMU (Away) - 43.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2018 268   Morehead St. W 80-70 91%     1 - 0 +1.2 +3.0 -1.6
  Nov 11, 2018 229   UMKC W 94-66 88%     2 - 0 +21.1 +18.7 +2.7
  Nov 15, 2018 40   Syracuse W 83-76 32%     3 - 0 +17.9 +10.9 +6.4
  Nov 16, 2018 26   @ Iowa L 72-91 18%     3 - 1 -3.3 -2.9 +1.1
  Nov 20, 2018 210   Cornell W 91-74 86%     4 - 1 +11.3 +7.9 +2.0
  Nov 25, 2018 347   New Hampshire W 91-66 98%     5 - 1 +7.0 +10.1 -4.2
  Nov 27, 2018 236   Umass Lowell W 97-75 89%     6 - 1 +14.7 +8.6 +4.0
  Dec 02, 2018 84   Arizona L 72-76 61%     6 - 2 -0.8 -3.4 +2.9
  Dec 05, 2018 295   Lafayette W 90-63 93%     7 - 2 +16.7 +5.9 +9.5
  Dec 08, 2018 18   Florida St. L 71-79 19%     7 - 3 +7.4 -0.6 +8.8
  Dec 15, 2018 308   Manhattan W 61-46 94%     8 - 3 +3.8 -12.3 +16.1
  Dec 18, 2018 243   Drexel W 97-65 89%     9 - 3 +24.4 +17.3 +7.2
  Dec 22, 2018 19   Villanova L 58-81 20%     9 - 4 -8.0 -11.8 +4.3
  Jan 02, 2019 118   @ South Florida L 68-76 48%     9 - 5 0 - 1 -1.4 -1.4 +0.3
  Jan 05, 2019 52   Central Florida L 53-65 48%     9 - 6 0 - 2 -5.6 -12.1 +5.6
  Jan 10, 2019 104   SMU W 76-64 65%     10 - 6 1 - 2 +13.9 +11.6 +4.2
  Jan 12, 2019 31   @ Cincinnati L 72-74 20%     10 - 7 1 - 3 +13.1 +5.2 +7.9
  Jan 16, 2019 96   @ Tulsa L 83-89 43%     10 - 8 1 - 4 +1.8 +8.0 -5.6
  Jan 19, 2019 290   Tulane W 87-71 92%     11 - 8 2 - 4 +6.0 +5.7 -0.8
  Jan 26, 2019 112   Wichita St. W 80-60 67%     12 - 8 3 - 4 +21.3 +12.0 +10.1
  Jan 31, 2019 52   @ Central Florida L 67-73 28%     12 - 9 3 - 5 +5.9 +5.1 +0.5
  Feb 03, 2019 267   East Carolina W 76-52 91%     13 - 9 4 - 5 +15.3 +8.5 +9.1
  Feb 06, 2019 70   @ Temple L 63-81 36%     13 - 10 4 - 6 -8.2 +1.2 -11.0
  Feb 10, 2019 76   @ Memphis L 71-78 38%     13 - 11 4 - 7 +2.2 -0.3 +2.7
  Feb 14, 2019 20   Houston L 63-71 28%     13 - 12 4 - 8 +4.2 +3.4 +0.0
  Feb 21, 2019 104   @ SMU L 73-74 44%    
  Feb 24, 2019 31   Cincinnati L 67-71 38%    
  Feb 28, 2019 112   @ Wichita St. L 73-74 46%    
  Mar 03, 2019 118   South Florida W 73-68 69%    
  Mar 07, 2019 70   Temple W 76-74 57%    
  Mar 10, 2019 267   @ East Carolina W 77-68 80%    
Projected Record 16.3 - 14.7 7.3 - 10.7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 0.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.8 2.1 3.9 5th
6th 0.0 1.4 7.1 0.8 9.3 6th
7th 0.4 8.2 4.6 0.0 13.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 6.5 13.7 0.8 21.2 8th
9th 0.8 9.2 19.5 4.3 0.0 33.8 9th
10th 0.6 5.2 8.8 3.1 0.0 17.7 10th
11th 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.8 6.1 18.2 29.5 27.6 14.2 3.5 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 3.5% 7.0% 5.9% 1.1% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.2 1.2%
9-9 14.2% 3.3% 3.2% 0.1% 11.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 13.8 0.1%
8-10 27.6% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 27.0 0.0%
7-11 29.5% 1.6% 1.6% 13.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 29.0
6-12 18.2% 1.2% 1.2% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 18.0
5-13 6.1% 0.7% 0.7% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.1
4-14 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.8
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.1% 2.0% 0.0% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 97.9 0.1%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 10.0 2.4 7.8 19.9 33.0 32.5 3.4 1.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3% 8.2% 12.0 0.3 1.2 4.5 2.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.0% 1.0% 11.6 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.1
Lose Out 0.5%