Iowa
Big Ten
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.1#39
Achievement Rating+15.5#28
Pace74.9#77
Improvement+0.7#115

Offense
Total Offense+8.9#13
First Shot+5.0#49
After Offensive Rebound+3.9#18
Layup/Dunks-0.5#195
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#212
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#214
Freethrows+7.2#2
Improvement+2.1#28

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#108
First Shot+3.7#60
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#275
Layups/Dunks-1.4#231
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#242
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#78
Freethrows+2.7#43
Improvement-1.4#283
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 6.0% 6.6% 1.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 45.5% 47.9% 29.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 44.2% 46.5% 28.5%
Average Seed 7.7 7.6 8.5
.500 or above 91.5% 93.4% 78.4%
.500 or above in Conference 35.2% 36.7% 24.7%
Conference Champion 0.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 7.2% 6.6% 11.1%
First Four5.8% 5.9% 5.0%
First Round43.0% 45.3% 27.1%
Second Round25.5% 27.1% 14.5%
Sweet Sixteen10.1% 10.8% 5.1%
Elite Eight4.0% 4.3% 1.9%
Final Four1.5% 1.6% 0.7%
Championship Game0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Next Game: Northern Iowa (Neutral) - 87.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2018 267   UMKC W 77-63 96%     1 - 0 +5.0 -1.9 +6.6
  Nov 11, 2018 204   Green Bay W 93-82 93%     2 - 0 +5.4 +2.3 +1.3
  Nov 15, 2018 35   Oregon W 77-69 47%     3 - 0 +19.9 +7.8 +11.9
  Nov 16, 2018 77   Connecticut W 91-72 77%     4 - 0 +22.5 +12.1 +8.9
  Nov 21, 2018 328   Alabama St. W 105-78 98%     5 - 0 +12.8 +12.7 -2.9
  Nov 27, 2018 119   Pittsburgh W 69-68 84%     6 - 0 +1.7 -0.8 +2.5
  Nov 30, 2018 13   Wisconsin L 66-72 46%     6 - 1 0 - 1 +6.2 +2.2 +3.8
  Dec 03, 2018 7   @ Michigan St. L 68-90 17%     6 - 2 0 - 2 -0.7 +5.9 -7.4
  Dec 06, 2018 22   Iowa St. W 98-84 54%     7 - 2 +24.2 +23.6 -0.2
  Dec 15, 2018 174   Northern Iowa W 80-68 87%    
  Dec 18, 2018 294   Western Carolina W 91-69 98%    
  Dec 22, 2018 351   Savannah St. W 110-79 99.8%   
  Dec 29, 2018 339   Bryant W 96-69 99%    
  Jan 03, 2019 19   @ Purdue L 75-81 30%    
  Jan 06, 2019 17   Nebraska L 78-79 50%    
  Jan 09, 2019 48   @ Northwestern L 74-76 44%    
  Jan 12, 2019 14   Ohio St. L 75-76 48%    
  Jan 16, 2019 54   @ Penn St. L 73-74 46%    
  Jan 20, 2019 93   Illinois W 85-77 78%    
  Jan 24, 2019 7   Michigan St. L 79-83 35%    
  Jan 27, 2019 57   @ Minnesota L 79-80 48%    
  Feb 01, 2019 3   Michigan L 69-74 33%    
  Feb 07, 2019 24   @ Indiana L 75-80 33%    
  Feb 10, 2019 48   Northwestern W 77-73 66%    
  Feb 16, 2019 99   @ Rutgers W 74-71 60%    
  Feb 19, 2019 29   Maryland W 78-76 56%    
  Feb 22, 2019 24   Indiana W 78-77 54%    
  Feb 26, 2019 14   @ Ohio St. L 72-79 28%    
  Mar 02, 2019 99   Rutgers W 77-68 78%    
  Mar 07, 2019 13   @ Wisconsin L 68-75 26%    
  Mar 10, 2019 17   @ Nebraska L 75-81 30%    
Projected Record 19.3 - 11.7 8.4 - 11.6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 2.2 1.4 0.2 0.0 4.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.7 2.4 0.5 0.0 6.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.9 3.7 1.0 0.1 8.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.0 1.8 0.1 0.0 9.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.2 3.1 0.3 0.0 10.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 5.3 4.1 0.6 0.0 11.7 9th
10th 0.1 1.2 4.6 4.7 1.1 0.0 11.8 10th
11th 0.1 1.0 3.8 4.5 1.5 0.1 11.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.2 3.9 1.4 0.2 0.0 9.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.2 2.4 1.1 0.1 0.0 6.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.8 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.1 4.3 7.2 10.3 12.4 14.0 13.5 12.2 9.3 6.5 3.9 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 89.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
16-4 58.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-5 28.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 6.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 100.0% 18.9% 81.1% 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.3% 100.0% 16.8% 83.2% 2.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.9% 100.0% 18.7% 81.3% 2.7 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 2.0% 99.9% 11.9% 87.9% 3.7 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
13-7 3.9% 99.5% 8.8% 90.8% 4.7 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.5%
12-8 6.5% 97.9% 6.3% 91.6% 5.9 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.7 1.7 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 97.8%
11-9 9.3% 94.5% 3.8% 90.6% 7.1 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.0 2.1 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 94.2%
10-10 12.2% 86.5% 2.2% 84.2% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.9 2.7 2.4 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.7 86.2%
9-11 13.5% 59.6% 1.5% 58.1% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.2 2.3 0.9 0.1 0.0 5.5 59.0%
8-12 14.0% 26.9% 0.9% 26.0% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 1.3 0.4 0.0 10.2 26.2%
7-13 12.4% 5.9% 0.6% 5.3% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 11.7 5.3%
6-14 10.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.6% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.2 0.6%
5-15 7.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.1 0.0%
4-16 4.3% 0.1% 0.1% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.3
3-17 2.1% 0.1% 0.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 2.1
2-18 0.8% 0.8
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 45.5% 2.3% 43.2% 7.7 0.2 0.8 2.0 3.0 4.5 5.6 5.6 5.9 5.3 4.7 4.4 2.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 54.5 44.2%