Iowa
Big Ten
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.9#26
Achievement Rating+18.2#15
Pace73.9#67
Improvement+0.0#187

Offense
Total Offense+10.9#6
First Shot+8.0#13
After Offensive Rebound+2.9#18
Layup/Dunks+3.1#68
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#298
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#93
Freethrows+4.8#1
Improvement+2.2#72

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#121
First Shot+1.7#115
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#151
Layups/Dunks-4.0#321
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#81
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#97
Freethrows+2.5#33
Improvement-2.2#288
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 24.1% 33.9% 12.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.8% 100.0% 99.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.8% 100.0% 99.6%
Average Seed 5.5 5.0 6.1
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 99.3% 100.0% 98.5%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.3%
First Round99.7% 100.0% 99.4%
Second Round67.7% 71.5% 63.0%
Sweet Sixteen28.3% 32.5% 23.2%
Elite Eight8.5% 9.8% 6.9%
Final Four2.7% 3.2% 2.0%
Championship Game0.8% 0.9% 0.5%
National Champion0.2% 0.3% 0.1%

Next Game: Maryland (Home) - 55.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 6 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2018 229   UMKC W 77-63 96%     1 - 0 +7.1 -1.4 +8.1
  Nov 11, 2018 224   Green Bay W 93-82 96%     2 - 0 +4.4 +0.7 +1.9
  Nov 15, 2018 55   Oregon W 77-69 67%     3 - 0 +16.4 +9.2 +7.0
  Nov 16, 2018 83   Connecticut W 91-72 82%     4 - 0 +22.3 +12.0 +8.8
  Nov 21, 2018 320   Alabama St. W 105-78 98%     5 - 0 +14.2 +14.8 -3.6
  Nov 27, 2018 91   Pittsburgh W 69-68 83%     6 - 0 +3.7 -0.9 +4.6
  Nov 30, 2018 15   Wisconsin L 66-72 51%     6 - 1 0 - 1 +6.7 +4.3 +2.3
  Dec 03, 2018 4   @ Michigan St. L 68-90 17%     6 - 2 0 - 2 +1.0 +8.6 -8.4
  Dec 06, 2018 12   Iowa St. W 98-84 48%     7 - 2 +27.4 +24.2 +2.4
  Dec 15, 2018 180   Northern Iowa W 77-54 90%     8 - 2 +21.8 +6.1 +16.5
  Dec 18, 2018 289   Western Carolina W 78-60 97%     9 - 2 +8.0 -0.3 +8.4
  Dec 22, 2018 348   Savannah St. W 110-64 99%     10 - 2 +27.9 +16.2 +7.3
  Dec 29, 2018 326   Bryant W 72-67 98%     11 - 2 -8.8 -1.6 -6.6
  Jan 03, 2019 10   @ Purdue L 70-86 27%     11 - 3 0 - 3 +3.4 +7.2 -4.7
  Jan 06, 2019 35   Nebraska W 93-84 66%     12 - 3 1 - 3 +17.8 +18.2 -1.2
  Jan 09, 2019 63   @ Northwestern W 73-63 61%     13 - 3 2 - 3 +20.1 +13.1 +7.6
  Jan 12, 2019 41   Ohio St. W 72-62 68%     14 - 3 3 - 3 +18.0 +2.2 +15.4
  Jan 16, 2019 57   @ Penn St. W 89-82 58%     15 - 3 4 - 3 +17.8 +17.1 +0.2
  Jan 20, 2019 56   Illinois W 95-71 76%     16 - 3 5 - 3 +29.5 +26.9 +3.0
  Jan 24, 2019 4   Michigan St. L 67-82 33%     16 - 4 5 - 4 +2.5 +3.7 -1.4
  Jan 27, 2019 43   @ Minnesota L 87-92 52%     16 - 5 5 - 5 +7.5 +16.6 -8.9
  Feb 01, 2019 8   Michigan W 74-59 43%     17 - 5 6 - 5 +29.7 +8.7 +20.5
  Feb 07, 2019 45   @ Indiana W 77-72 53%     18 - 5 7 - 5 +17.3 +15.6 +2.0
  Feb 10, 2019 63   Northwestern W 80-79 79%     19 - 5 8 - 5 +5.6 +12.1 -6.5
  Feb 16, 2019 90   @ Rutgers W 71-69 67%     20 - 5 9 - 5 +10.3 +10.2 +0.2
  Feb 19, 2019 21   Maryland W 77-76 55%    
  Feb 22, 2019 45   Indiana W 79-73 73%    
  Feb 26, 2019 41   @ Ohio St. L 74-75 47%    
  Mar 02, 2019 90   Rutgers W 80-70 84%    
  Mar 07, 2019 15   @ Wisconsin L 68-73 30%    
  Mar 10, 2019 35   @ Nebraska L 76-77 44%    
Projected Record 23.3 - 7.7 12.3 - 7.7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 1.4 3.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.9 5.9 1.1 8.8 3rd
4th 0.0 1.5 11.1 5.9 0.1 18.7 4th
5th 0.0 1.2 11.0 12.2 0.6 25.0 5th
6th 0.2 4.7 16.8 17.8 2.9 42.3 6th
7th 0.3 1.0 0.3 1.6 7th
8th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 0.7 5.7 18.3 30.4 28.2 13.9 2.9 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 10.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
14-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 2.9% 100.0% 10.4% 89.6% 3.2 0.1 0.6 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 100.0%
14-6 13.9% 100.0% 7.9% 92.1% 4.2 0.0 0.4 2.9 5.6 3.9 1.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-7 28.2% 100.0% 4.6% 95.4% 5.0 0.1 1.6 7.2 11.3 6.5 1.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
12-8 30.4% 100.0% 2.8% 97.2% 5.8 0.0 0.3 3.0 9.0 11.2 5.6 1.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
11-9 18.3% 100.0% 1.9% 98.0% 6.6 0.0 0.4 2.2 6.0 6.3 2.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
10-10 5.7% 99.6% 1.4% 98.2% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.9 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6%
9-11 0.7% 76.9% 0.9% 76.0% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 76.7%
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 99.8% 4.0% 95.8% 5.5 0.1 1.0 6.1 16.9 26.8 25.6 15.4 5.6 1.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 99.8%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 2.0 17.7 66.2 14.7 1.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.5% 100.0% 2.8 0.8 35.1 47.2 15.5 1.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.0% 100.0% 3.2 16.0 50.1 28.7 5.1 0.1
Lose Out 0.3% 53.7% 10.8 0.6 4.3 15.4 21.9 9.9 1.5