Creighton
Big East
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.6#41
Achievement Rating+11.9#50
Pace75.2#75
Improvement+0.0#174

Offense
Total Offense+9.7#9
First Shot+11.5#2
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#278
Layup/Dunks+2.2#111
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#203
3 Pt Jumpshots+10.8#3
Freethrows-1.0#232
Improvement+1.9#37

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#145
First Shot+2.8#86
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#301
Layups/Dunks+4.2#43
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#344
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#140
Freethrows+2.1#77
Improvement-1.9#309
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 11.3% 11.8% 3.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 65.9% 67.2% 46.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 61.1% 62.5% 41.5%
Average Seed 7.2 7.1 8.2
.500 or above 85.8% 87.2% 66.0%
.500 or above in Conference 69.3% 70.2% 55.6%
Conference Champion 15.5% 15.9% 8.5%
Last Place in Conference 5.0% 4.7% 8.8%
First Four4.2% 4.2% 4.7%
First Round63.7% 65.1% 44.2%
Second Round35.9% 36.9% 22.3%
Sweet Sixteen13.3% 13.8% 6.7%
Elite Eight4.8% 5.0% 2.2%
Final Four1.7% 1.8% 0.7%
Championship Game0.6% 0.6% 0.1%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.0%

Next Game: Green Bay (Home) - 93.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 9 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 269   Western Illinois W 78-67 95%     1 - 0 +2.0 -1.9 +3.4
  Nov 11, 2018 126   East Tennessee St. W 75-69 84%     2 - 0 +6.1 +6.4 -0.1
  Nov 15, 2018 14   Ohio St. L 60-69 46%     2 - 1 +2.6 +1.8 -0.4
  Nov 19, 2018 128   Boise St. W 94-82 77%     3 - 1 +15.0 +17.4 -3.1
  Nov 20, 2018 107   Georgia St. W 93-68 72%     4 - 1 +29.6 +13.2 +14.2
  Nov 21, 2018 49   Clemson W 87-82 54%     5 - 1 +14.6 +10.2 +3.9
  Nov 28, 2018 111   Montana W 98-72 81%     6 - 1 +27.4 +29.4 -0.8
  Dec 01, 2018 2   Gonzaga L 92-103 30%     6 - 2 +5.1 +15.6 -9.7
  Dec 08, 2018 16   @ Nebraska L 75-94 26%     6 - 3 -1.8 +11.0 -13.2
  Dec 14, 2018 203   Green Bay W 95-79 94%    
  Dec 18, 2018 24   @ Oklahoma L 81-86 31%    
  Dec 27, 2018 268   UMKC W 89-69 97%    
  Dec 31, 2018 72   @ Providence W 78-77 52%    
  Jan 05, 2019 36   @ Butler L 75-79 36%    
  Jan 09, 2019 34   Marquette W 82-80 56%    
  Jan 13, 2019 27   Villanova W 77-76 53%    
  Jan 16, 2019 45   @ St. John's L 85-87 41%    
  Jan 21, 2019 87   @ Georgetown W 87-85 56%    
  Jan 25, 2019 36   Butler W 78-76 57%    
  Jan 30, 2019 45   St. John's W 88-84 63%    
  Feb 03, 2019 57   Xavier W 82-77 67%    
  Feb 06, 2019 27   @ Villanova L 74-79 32%    
  Feb 09, 2019 55   @ Seton Hall L 80-81 45%    
  Feb 13, 2019 57   @ Xavier L 79-80 46%    
  Feb 17, 2019 55   Seton Hall W 83-78 66%    
  Feb 20, 2019 106   @ DePaul W 81-78 60%    
  Feb 23, 2019 87   Georgetown W 90-82 76%    
  Mar 03, 2019 34   @ Marquette L 79-83 35%    
  Mar 06, 2019 72   Providence W 81-74 72%    
  Mar 09, 2019 106   DePaul W 84-75 79%    
Projected Record 18.1 - 11.9 9.9 - 8.1




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.0 4.3 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1 15.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.4 5.7 3.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 14.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.6 6.3 3.0 0.6 0.0 13.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 3.0 6.2 3.0 0.4 0.0 12.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 2.0 5.8 3.0 0.3 0.0 11.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.4 5.0 3.2 0.3 0.0 10.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.7 3.2 0.4 0.0 8.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.7 2.6 0.5 0.0 6.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.7 1.7 0.5 0.0 4.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.6 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.7 3.2 5.6 8.3 10.9 12.8 13.6 13.3 11.2 8.3 5.4 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 99.5% 1.3    1.3 0.0
15-3 93.7% 2.8    2.4 0.3 0.0
14-4 79.6% 4.3    3.0 1.2 0.1
13-5 48.6% 4.0    1.8 1.7 0.4 0.0 0.0
12-6 19.8% 2.2    0.5 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0
11-7 2.9% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 15.5% 15.5 9.4 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 48.1% 51.9% 1.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.4% 100.0% 40.4% 59.6% 2.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 1.3% 99.9% 39.4% 60.5% 2.6 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
15-3 3.0% 99.9% 31.8% 68.1% 3.4 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
14-4 5.4% 99.5% 27.0% 72.5% 4.3 0.2 1.2 1.9 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.3%
13-5 8.3% 98.7% 22.9% 75.8% 5.3 0.0 0.5 2.0 2.3 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.3%
12-6 11.2% 96.1% 18.0% 78.1% 6.4 0.1 0.9 2.2 2.6 2.4 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 95.3%
11-7 13.3% 91.1% 13.8% 77.3% 7.5 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.1 2.9 2.7 1.9 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2 89.7%
10-8 13.6% 82.6% 11.1% 71.5% 8.5 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.8 2.5 2.9 1.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.4 80.5%
9-9 12.8% 67.8% 7.9% 59.9% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 2.5 2.1 1.4 0.5 0.0 0.0 4.1 65.0%
8-10 10.9% 34.0% 4.7% 29.3% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 7.2 30.8%
7-11 8.3% 10.9% 3.0% 8.0% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 7.4 8.2%
6-12 5.6% 3.2% 1.9% 1.3% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.4 1.4%
5-13 3.2% 1.9% 1.8% 0.1% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.2 0.1%
4-14 1.7% 0.9% 0.9% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7
3-15 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 0.7
2-16 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 15.0 0.0 0.3
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 65.9% 12.3% 53.6% 7.2 0.3 1.5 3.6 5.9 7.3 8.0 9.1 8.5 8.6 6.1 4.3 2.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 34.1 61.1%