Creighton
Big East
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.7#44
Achievement Rating+7.4#73
Pace72.1#100
Improvement-2.9#294

Offense
Total Offense+6.8#28
First Shot+7.4#17
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#207
Layup/Dunks+3.0#74
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#300
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.5#3
Freethrows-0.8#237
Improvement-6.4#348

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#99
First Shot+2.5#94
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#144
Layups/Dunks+2.7#74
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#321
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#170
Freethrows+1.9#60
Improvement+3.5#28
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 25.7% 33.7% 11.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 20.8% 28.6% 7.3%
Average Seed 10.3 10.2 11.0
.500 or above 73.2% 84.1% 53.8%
.500 or above in Conference 24.2% 34.7% 5.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 13.1% 7.0% 23.9%
First Four7.6% 9.4% 4.3%
First Round21.8% 28.9% 9.2%
Second Round8.7% 11.7% 3.3%
Sweet Sixteen2.2% 2.9% 0.9%
Elite Eight0.6% 0.8% 0.2%
Final Four0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Seton Hall (Home) - 64.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 287   Western Illinois W 78-67 95%     1 - 0 +1.3 -3.4 +4.1
  Nov 11, 2018 100   East Tennessee St. W 75-69 76%     2 - 0 +8.3 +4.7 +3.7
  Nov 15, 2018 40   Ohio St. L 60-69 55%     2 - 1 -0.8 +0.7 -2.7
  Nov 19, 2018 122   Boise St. W 94-82 73%     3 - 1 +15.4 +16.6 -1.9
  Nov 20, 2018 130   Georgia St. W 93-68 75%     4 - 1 +27.8 +13.0 +12.7
  Nov 21, 2018 30   Clemson W 87-82 39%     5 - 1 +17.4 +14.2 +2.7
  Nov 28, 2018 108   Montana W 98-72 78%     6 - 1 +27.6 +29.7 -0.9
  Dec 01, 2018 2   Gonzaga L 92-103 14%     6 - 2 +10.3 +19.1 -7.9
  Dec 08, 2018 36   @ Nebraska L 75-94 33%     6 - 3 -4.9 +11.4 -16.6
  Dec 14, 2018 227   Green Bay W 86-65 93%     7 - 3 +14.3 -4.0 +15.2
  Dec 18, 2018 35   @ Oklahoma L 70-83 32%     7 - 4 +1.4 -1.0 +3.7
  Dec 27, 2018 232   UMKC W 89-53 93%     8 - 4 +28.8 +14.4 +15.1
  Dec 31, 2018 78   @ Providence W 79-68 52%     9 - 4 1 - 0 +20.0 +15.5 +4.8
  Jan 05, 2019 47   @ Butler L 69-84 40%     9 - 5 1 - 1 -2.8 +1.8 -4.8
  Jan 09, 2019 24   Marquette L 104-106 45%     9 - 6 1 - 2 +9.0 +22.5 -13.3
  Jan 13, 2019 17   Villanova L 78-90 38%     9 - 7 1 - 3 +0.7 +7.7 -6.9
  Jan 16, 2019 42   @ St. John's L 66-81 38%     9 - 8 1 - 4 -2.2 +1.0 -3.5
  Jan 21, 2019 66   @ Georgetown W 91-87 49%     10 - 8 2 - 4 +13.9 +15.8 -2.1
  Jan 25, 2019 47   Butler W 75-61 61%     11 - 8 3 - 4 +20.7 +0.9 +19.2
  Jan 30, 2019 42   St. John's L 67-83 59%     11 - 9 3 - 5 -8.6 -4.8 -3.3
  Feb 03, 2019 82   Xavier W 76-54 73%     12 - 9 4 - 5 +25.4 +14.7 +14.0
  Feb 06, 2019 17   @ Villanova L 59-66 21%     12 - 10 4 - 6 +11.2 +1.0 +9.0
  Feb 09, 2019 53   @ Seton Hall L 58-63 42%     12 - 11 4 - 7 +6.6 -8.3 +14.9
  Feb 13, 2019 82   @ Xavier L 61-64 53%     12 - 12 4 - 8 +5.9 -10.2 +16.1
  Feb 17, 2019 53   Seton Hall W 78-75 64%    
  Feb 20, 2019 97   @ DePaul W 79-77 56%    
  Feb 23, 2019 66   Georgetown W 85-80 70%    
  Mar 03, 2019 24   @ Marquette L 74-81 25%    
  Mar 06, 2019 78   Providence W 75-69 72%    
  Mar 09, 2019 97   DePaul W 82-75 76%    
Projected Record 15.6 - 14.4 7.6 - 10.4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.7 6.2 3.4 10.3 3rd
4th 0.0 7.6 10.3 1.2 19.1 4th
5th 1.2 13.9 3.0 0.0 18.1 5th
6th 0.0 8.4 8.1 0.2 16.7 6th
7th 1.4 13.1 1.2 15.7 7th
8th 0.1 5.3 3.6 0.0 9.1 8th
9th 1.3 5.4 0.3 6.9 9th
10th 0.5 2.4 1.3 4.2 10th
Total 0.5 3.8 13.4 26.6 31.5 19.6 4.6 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 4.6% 86.6% 12.8% 73.8% 9.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 84.6%
9-9 19.6% 64.0% 9.9% 54.1% 10.0 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.0 3.7 3.3 1.1 0.1 0.0 7.1 60.0%
8-10 31.5% 23.0% 7.0% 15.9% 11.1 0.1 0.6 1.3 2.5 2.2 0.5 0.0 24.3 17.1%
7-11 26.6% 5.4% 3.7% 1.7% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 25.1 1.7%
6-12 13.4% 3.1% 3.0% 0.1% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 13.0 0.1%
5-13 3.8% 1.3% 1.3% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7
4-14 0.5% 0.5
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 25.7% 6.2% 19.5% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.8 4.7 6.3 6.9 4.1 1.0 0.1 74.3 20.8%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.6% 100.0% 6.6 2.3 9.0 37.3 35.0 15.3 1.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.8% 96.5% 8.7 2.2 9.3 26.1 40.3 14.2 4.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.4% 88.9% 9.5 0.2 1.0 14.6 31.6 27.4 11.6 2.2 0.2
Lose Out 0.2%