Preseason Rankings
Southeastern
2019-20


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
2 Kentucky 96.1%   1   0 - 0 0 - 0 25 - 6 14 - 4 +19.7      +9.1 10 +10.6 4 66.2 248 0.0 1 0.0 1
7 Florida 90.5%   2   0 - 0 0 - 0 22 - 7 13 - 5 +17.2      +7.8 15 +9.4 7 61.0 337 0.0 1 0.0 1
20 LSU 71.5%   5   0 - 0 0 - 0 20 - 11 10 - 8 +12.9      +9.3 9 +3.6 80 72.7 80 0.0 1 0.0 1
25 Auburn 68.5%   6   0 - 0 0 - 0 19 - 11 10 - 8 +12.6      +7.4 20 +5.2 43 70.9 122 0.0 1 0.0 1
30 Tennessee 63.4%   6   0 - 0 0 - 0 19 - 11 10 - 8 +12.2      +7.3 21 +4.9 50 68.7 177 0.0 1 0.0 1
45 Alabama 50.7%   9   0 - 0 0 - 0 16 - 13 9 - 9 +10.4      +4.9 57 +5.4 41 71.2 112 0.0 1 0.0 1
48 Mississippi St. 48.0%   11   0 - 0 0 - 0 17 - 12 9 - 9 +10.1      +5.9 37 +4.2 63 68.7 179 0.0 1 0.0 1
51 Mississippi 42.8%   0 - 0 0 - 0 17 - 13 8 - 10 +9.7      +6.2 32 +3.5 83 70.3 136 0.0 1 0.0 1
53 Missouri 42.8%   0 - 0 0 - 0 17 - 13 9 - 9 +9.7      +4.1 73 +5.6 38 63.6 315 0.0 1 0.0 1
57 Arkansas 40.8%   0 - 0 0 - 0 18 - 13 8 - 10 +9.2      +5.7 41 +3.4 85 75.5 45 0.0 1 0.0 1
61 Texas A&M 37.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 15 - 13 8 - 10 +8.8      +4.3 67 +4.5 57 69.1 165 0.0 1 0.0 1
62 Georgia 35.3%   0 - 0 0 - 0 16 - 13 8 - 10 +8.7      +5.0 53 +3.7 78 70.9 121 0.0 1 0.0 1
78 South Carolina 21.1%   0 - 0 0 - 0 16 - 14 7 - 11 +6.8      +2.5 104 +4.3 62 74.8 53 0.0 1 0.0 1
124 Vanderbilt 7.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 13 - 18 4 - 14 +2.9      +0.4 160 +2.4 106 68.0 203 0.0 1 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
Kentucky 2.5 46.3 19.7 11.5 7.6 4.9 3.5 2.3 1.5 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1
Florida 3.5 28.4 20.3 14.1 10.0 7.5 5.6 4.1 3.4 2.3 1.8 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.2
LSU 5.7 9.8 11.9 11.1 10.8 9.9 9.1 7.5 7.1 5.8 5.4 4.5 3.3 2.4 1.4
Auburn 6.2 7.5 9.5 10.5 10.1 9.9 9.5 8.2 8.2 7.1 6.0 5.0 4.1 3.0 1.5
Tennessee 6.0 8.4 10.2 10.9 10.6 10.0 9.0 8.3 7.5 6.5 5.4 5.2 3.9 2.8 1.5
Alabama 7.0 4.3 7.3 8.3 8.5 8.8 9.2 9.0 9.0 8.2 7.3 6.6 5.7 4.6 3.1
Mississippi St. 7.2 4.0 7.1 8.1 8.5 8.7 8.8 8.9 8.4 8.3 7.8 6.9 6.2 5.3 3.0
Mississippi 7.9 2.7 5.2 6.4 6.9 7.8 8.2 8.5 8.3 9.1 9.2 8.5 8.3 6.8 4.0
Missouri 7.5 3.6 5.9 7.4 8.5 7.9 8.8 8.5 8.8 8.1 8.1 7.4 6.7 6.1 4.0
Arkansas 8.1 2.6 4.8 5.8 6.8 7.2 8.0 8.0 8.3 8.7 9.1 8.9 8.6 8.1 5.2
Texas A&M 8.1 2.8 4.9 6.0 7.1 7.4 7.5 8.1 8.7 8.3 8.4 8.7 8.0 8.1 5.9
Georgia 8.6 2.1 3.5 4.6 5.7 6.5 6.9 8.1 8.7 9.1 9.6 9.6 9.7 9.1 6.7
South Carolina 9.2 1.4 2.8 3.5 4.4 5.9 6.7 7.3 7.9 8.5 9.7 10.4 10.8 10.9 9.7
Vanderbilt 11.7 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.5 2.2 2.7 3.7 5.2 7.1 10.0 13.1 19.5 32.7




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Kentucky 14 - 4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.7 3.2 4.9 7.4 9.5 12.1 14.5 15.6 14.2 10.1 4.8
Florida 13 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.4 2.6 3.9 5.6 8.1 9.6 12.2 13.5 13.2 12.0 9.0 5.6 1.8
LSU 10 - 8 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.2 3.6 5.5 7.2 9.3 10.4 11.8 11.4 10.7 9.4 7.1 4.9 2.9 1.3 0.3
Auburn 10 - 8 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.6 4.4 6.4 8.1 10.5 11.3 11.8 11.3 10.4 7.8 6.0 3.9 2.1 0.8 0.2
Tennessee 10 - 8 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.5 4.2 5.9 8.1 9.3 11.4 11.4 11.5 10.4 8.9 6.5 4.2 2.4 0.8 0.2
Alabama 9 - 9 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.6 4.4 5.9 7.9 9.9 11.6 11.9 11.6 9.8 8.2 6.2 4.1 2.4 1.2 0.5 0.1
Mississippi St. 9 - 9 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.7 4.6 6.2 8.5 10.5 11.6 11.5 10.8 9.8 7.8 6.2 4.2 2.4 1.0 0.4 0.1
Mississippi 8 - 10 0.2 0.7 2.1 3.9 6.1 8.2 10.3 11.7 11.5 11.2 9.8 8.3 6.4 4.6 2.6 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.1
Missouri 9 - 9 0.2 0.8 1.8 3.3 5.1 7.2 8.8 10.3 11.4 11.5 10.6 9.2 7.5 5.3 3.4 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1
Arkansas 8 - 10 0.3 1.0 2.6 4.5 6.9 8.4 10.3 11.5 11.2 10.6 9.7 8.0 5.8 4.4 2.6 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1
Texas A&M 8 - 10 0.3 1.3 2.7 4.7 6.5 8.3 9.9 11.0 11.1 10.7 9.4 7.8 6.4 4.5 2.8 1.6 0.7 0.1 0.0
Georgia 8 - 10 0.3 1.3 3.2 5.6 8.0 9.5 11.2 11.3 11.9 10.5 8.9 6.6 5.1 3.3 1.7 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
South Carolina 7 - 11 0.6 2.0 4.1 6.9 9.1 11.3 11.7 11.4 11.0 9.7 7.8 5.5 3.7 2.5 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
Vanderbilt 4 - 14 4.0 9.6 13.3 14.7 14.3 13.1 10.3 7.5 5.4 3.3 2.2 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Kentucky 46.3% 34.1 9.9 2.0 0.3 0.1 0.0
Florida 28.4% 19.2 7.3 1.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
LSU 9.8% 5.6 3.0 1.0 0.2 0.1
Auburn 7.5% 4.4 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
Tennessee 8.4% 4.9 2.5 0.8 0.2 0.1
Alabama 4.3% 2.3 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Mississippi St. 4.0% 2.0 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0
Mississippi 2.7% 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
Missouri 3.6% 1.9 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0
Arkansas 2.6% 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
Texas A&M 2.8% 1.4 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Georgia 2.1% 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
South Carolina 1.4% 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Vanderbilt 0.2% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Kentucky 96.1% 33.7% 62.5% 1   31.9 20.4 12.8 8.7 6.7 4.7 3.6 2.6 2.1 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.0 3.9 94.2%
Florida 90.5% 21.3% 69.2% 2   19.3 16.2 12.9 10.0 8.2 6.5 5.6 4.2 3.3 2.4 1.7 0.3 0.0 9.5 87.9%
LSU 71.5% 7.7% 63.8% 5   5.3 6.8 7.2 7.4 7.3 7.3 7.4 6.9 6.6 4.7 3.7 0.9 0.0 0.0 28.5 69.1%
Auburn 68.5% 7.5% 61.1% 6   4.4 5.9 6.7 7.1 7.0 7.1 7.4 6.3 6.1 5.2 4.3 1.0 0.0 0.0 31.5 66.0%
Tennessee 63.4% 6.8% 56.6% 6   3.6 4.9 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.5 6.8 6.5 5.8 4.9 3.7 1.0 0.0 36.6 60.7%
Alabama 50.7% 4.2% 46.5% 9   1.7 3.0 3.9 4.3 4.8 5.6 5.7 5.8 5.4 4.8 4.4 1.2 0.0 49.3 48.5%
Mississippi St. 48.0% 3.7% 44.3% 11   1.2 2.2 3.1 3.5 4.2 5.0 4.9 5.5 5.6 5.5 5.5 1.8 0.1 0.0 52.0 46.0%
Mississippi 42.8% 3.1% 39.8% 0.9 1.5 2.4 3.3 4.2 4.5 5.0 5.2 5.1 4.8 4.5 1.4 0.1 0.0 57.2 41.0%
Missouri 42.8% 3.1% 39.7% 0.8 1.6 2.6 3.1 4.1 4.5 5.0 5.4 5.2 4.7 4.5 1.4 0.1 57.2 41.0%
Arkansas 40.8% 2.7% 38.1% 0.7 1.5 2.4 2.9 3.5 4.2 4.7 5.0 4.9 4.8 4.6 1.4 0.0 59.2 39.1%
Texas A&M 37.2% 2.4% 34.8% 0.5 1.3 2.1 2.4 3.3 3.3 4.4 4.5 4.9 4.7 4.5 1.1 0.0 62.8 35.7%
Georgia 35.3% 2.3% 33.0% 0.5 1.2 2.0 2.3 2.9 3.4 4.2 4.3 4.7 4.4 4.0 1.4 0.1 64.7 33.8%
South Carolina 21.1% 1.3% 19.7% 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.6 2.0 2.8 2.8 3.0 3.7 1.4 0.0 0.0 78.9 20.0%
Vanderbilt 7.0% 0.2% 6.8% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.6 0.5 0.0 93.0 6.8%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Kentucky 96.1% 1.0% 95.7% 85.2% 61.9% 40.7% 24.7% 14.6% 8.2%
Florida 90.5% 1.1% 90.0% 74.4% 48.1% 27.9% 14.7% 7.7% 3.9%
LSU 71.5% 2.8% 70.1% 47.4% 23.8% 11.1% 5.1% 2.1% 0.9%
Auburn 68.5% 3.4% 66.9% 45.0% 21.6% 10.0% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7%
Tennessee 63.4% 3.1% 61.8% 41.3% 20.0% 9.0% 4.0% 1.7% 0.8%
Alabama 50.7% 3.7% 48.8% 29.8% 12.5% 5.5% 2.2% 0.8% 0.3%
Mississippi St. 48.0% 5.0% 45.4% 27.3% 11.2% 4.6% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
Mississippi 42.8% 3.9% 40.8% 23.5% 9.4% 4.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Missouri 42.8% 3.9% 40.9% 24.1% 9.5% 3.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Arkansas 40.8% 4.2% 38.6% 22.1% 8.6% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Texas A&M 37.2% 3.7% 35.3% 19.4% 7.5% 2.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Georgia 35.3% 3.8% 33.4% 18.7% 6.9% 2.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
South Carolina 21.1% 3.5% 19.3% 9.9% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Vanderbilt 7.0% 1.5% 6.1% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 7.2 0.0 0.1 1.5 7.6 20.6 30.8 25.6 10.7 2.7 0.3 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 6.9 0.0 0.3 2.2 10.3 23.6 31.3 21.8 8.4 1.9 0.2 0.0
2nd Round 100.0% 4.7 0.0 0.4 3.6 13.6 26.7 28.9 18.0 6.9 1.6 0.2 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 97.2% 2.5 2.8 17.0 33.8 29.1 13.6 3.2 0.4 0.0
Elite Eight 80.2% 1.3 19.8 43.5 28.0 7.7 1.0 0.0
Final Four 52.5% 0.6 47.5 42.2 9.6 0.7 0.0
Final Game 30.2% 0.3 69.8 28.3 1.9
Champion 15.9% 0.2 84.1 15.9