IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Missouri
Southeastern
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	+9.7	#53
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	63.6	#315
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+4.1	#73

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+5.6	#38

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.8%	0.8%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	2.3%	2.3%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	8.0%	8.0%	3.6%
Top 6 Seed	16.5%	16.6%	5.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid	42.8%	43.0%	13.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	41.0%	41.1%	13.2%
Average Seed	7.2	7.2	6.9

.500 or above	68.3%	68.6%	28.3%
.500 or above in Conference	51.0%	51.2%	21.4%
Conference Champion	3.6%	3.6%	1.3%
Last Place in Conference	7.2%	7.2%	22.0%

First Four	3.9%	3.9%	1.5%
First Round	40.9%	41.1%	12.1%
Second Round	24.1%	24.2%	4.5%
Sweet Sixteen	9.5%	9.5%	1.3%
Elite Eight	3.9%	3.9%	1.2%
Final Four	1.5%	1.5%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.6%	0.6%	0.0%
National Champion	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%

Next Game: Incarnate Word (Home) - 99.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 5	1 - 5
Quad 1b	3 - 4	4 - 9
Quad 2	5 - 4	9 - 13
Quad 3	4 - 1	13 - 14
Quad 4	5 - 0	18 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2019	344	Incarnate Word	W	80-54	99%
Nov 08, 2019	133	Northern Kentucky	W	74-63	85%
Nov 12, 2019	23	@ Xavier	L	64-70	30%
Nov 18, 2019	107	Wofford	W	72-63	79%
Nov 20, 2019	264	Morehead St.	W	78-60	95%
Nov 25, 2019	56	Butler	W	67-66	51%
Dec 03, 2019	194	Charleston Southern	W	76-61	91%
Dec 07, 2019	83	@ Temple	W	70-69	50%
Dec 15, 2019	207	Southern Illinois	W	73-57	91%
Dec 21, 2019	42	Illinois	L	72-73	46%
Dec 30, 2019	351	Chicago St.	W	86-56	99%
Jan 04, 2020	2	@ Kentucky	L	60-73	13%
Jan 07, 2020	30	Tennessee	W	70-69	52%
Jan 11, 2020	7	Florida	L	61-65	36%
Jan 14, 2020	48	@ Mississippi St.	L	67-70	39%
Jan 18, 2020	45	@ Alabama	L	67-71	38%
Jan 21, 2020	61	Texas A&M	W	70-66	63%
Jan 25, 2020	46	@ West Virginia	L	70-74	39%
Jan 28, 2020	62	Georgia	W	72-68	62%
Feb 01, 2020	78	@ South Carolina	L	69-70	49%
Feb 04, 2020	61	@ Texas A&M	L	67-69	43%
Feb 08, 2020	57	Arkansas	W	74-70	63%
Feb 11, 2020	20	@ LSU	L	70-76	30%
Feb 15, 2020	25	Auburn	W	71-70	51%
Feb 18, 2020	51	Mississippi	W	72-69	59%
Feb 22, 2020	57	@ Arkansas	L	71-73	42%
Feb 26, 2020	124	@ Vanderbilt	W	69-65	63%
Feb 29, 2020	48	Mississippi St.	W	70-67	58%
Mar 04, 2020	51	@ Mississippi	L	69-72	40%
Mar 07, 2020	45	Alabama	W	70-68	58%
Projected Record						17 - 13	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southeastern Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	1.1	0.8	0.2	0.1		3.6	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	1.0	2.0	1.7	1.0	0.1	0.0			5.9	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.2	1.2	2.9	2.3	0.7	0.1	0.0				7.4	3rd
4th										0.1	1.2	3.7	2.8	0.7	0.1	0.0					8.5	4th
5th									0.0	0.8	3.4	3.0	0.7	0.0							7.9	5th
6th								0.0	0.4	3.3	4.0	1.1	0.0								8.8	6th
7th							0.0	0.1	2.3	4.4	1.6	0.1									8.5	7th
8th							0.0	1.6	4.5	2.4	0.3	0.0									8.8	8th
9th						0.0	0.9	3.5	3.2	0.4	0.0										8.1	9th
10th					0.0	0.6	3.0	3.6	0.9	0.0											8.1	10th
11th				0.0	0.4	2.4	3.3	1.2	0.1												7.4	11th
12th			0.0	0.5	1.7	2.9	1.4	0.2													6.7	12th
13th		0.1	0.5	1.7	2.4	1.3	0.1	0.0													6.1	13th
14th	0.2	0.7	1.3	1.1	0.6	0.1	0.0														4.0	14th

Total	0.2	0.8	1.8	3.3	5.1	7.2	8.8	10.3	11.4	11.5	10.6	9.2	7.5	5.3	3.4	2.2	1.0	0.3	0.1			Total

Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	96.3%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-2	85.7%	0.8		0.6	0.2	0.0
15-3	50.9%	1.1		0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0
14-4	27.2%	0.9		0.3	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0
13-5	7.0%	0.4		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.7%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0					0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.6%	3.6		1.9	1.1	0.5	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		100.0%	22.8%	77.2%	1.5		0.0	0.0	0.0																100.0%
17-1	0.3%		100.0%	25.3%	74.7%	1.9		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0														100.0%
16-2	1.0%		100.0%	24.1%	75.9%	2.4		0.2	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0											100.0%
15-3	2.2%		100.0%	19.9%	80.1%	3.2		0.2	0.5	0.6	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0								0.0		100.0%
14-4	3.4%		99.8%	12.4%	87.4%	4.3		0.1	0.3	0.8	0.8	0.6	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		99.8%
13-5	5.3%		99.0%	11.2%	87.8%	5.4		0.1	0.2	0.6	0.9	1.3	0.9	0.8	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0					0.1		98.9%
12-6	7.5%		95.2%	6.7%	88.5%	6.8		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.1	1.4	1.4	1.0	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0				0.4		94.9%
11-7	9.2%		87.0%	4.0%	83.0%	8.0			0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	1.0	1.4	1.7	1.2	1.0	0.7	0.1	0.0				1.2		86.5%
10-8	10.6%		69.9%	2.3%	67.6%	8.9		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.7	1.4	1.6	1.4	1.2	0.3	0.0				3.2		69.2%
9-9	11.5%		45.4%	1.2%	44.3%	9.6					0.0	0.1	0.1	0.4	0.6	1.0	1.2	1.4	0.5	0.0				6.3		44.8%
8-10	11.4%		19.1%	0.4%	18.8%	10.1						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.7	0.3	0.0				9.2		18.8%
7-11	10.3%		5.6%	0.2%	5.4%	10.3							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0				9.7		5.5%
6-12	8.8%		1.2%	0.4%	0.8%	10.5									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					8.7		0.8%
5-13	7.2%		0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	10.4								0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0					7.2		0.0%
4-14	5.1%		0.1%	0.1%		11.0												0.0						5.1
3-15	3.3%																							3.3
2-16	1.8%																							1.8
1-17	0.8%																							0.8
0-18	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		42.8%	3.1%	39.7%	7.2		0.8	1.6	2.6	3.1	4.1	4.5	5.0	5.4	5.2	4.7	4.5	1.4	0.1				57.2		41.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final	0.0%	100.0%	1.0	100.0