Preseason Rankings
Chattanooga
Southern
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.0#235
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.7#236
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#223
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#245
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 2.7% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.0 14.7
.500 or above 25.3% 36.9% 14.6%
.500 or above in Conference 30.5% 38.1% 23.4%
Conference Champion 1.5% 2.2% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 14.5% 10.4% 18.3%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round2.1% 2.7% 1.5%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Kentucky (Away) - 47.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 7
Quad 33 - 63 - 13
Quad 48 - 512 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 274   @ Eastern Kentucky L 82-83 48%    
  Nov 09, 2019 272   Tennessee St. W 75-70 68%    
  Nov 12, 2019 297   @ Troy W 71-70 53%    
  Nov 15, 2019 138   South Alabama L 70-72 42%    
  Nov 20, 2019 18   @ Florida St. L 61-81 3%    
  Nov 25, 2019 30   @ Tennessee L 63-82 5%    
  Nov 29, 2019 332   Alabama St. W 74-67 74%    
  Dec 03, 2019 215   @ Western Carolina L 73-77 37%    
  Dec 11, 2019 85   @ Virginia Tech L 60-73 13%    
  Dec 15, 2019 297   Troy W 74-67 72%    
  Dec 21, 2019 301   @ UNC Asheville W 67-66 53%    
  Jan 04, 2020 204   @ Mercer L 69-73 36%    
  Jan 08, 2020 102   Furman L 67-72 33%    
  Jan 11, 2020 142   Samford L 74-76 43%    
  Jan 15, 2020 107   Wofford L 68-73 34%    
  Jan 18, 2020 96   @ UNC Greensboro L 64-75 16%    
  Jan 22, 2020 306   The Citadel W 85-78 73%    
  Jan 25, 2020 71   @ East Tennessee St. L 64-78 12%    
  Jan 29, 2020 142   @ Samford L 71-79 25%    
  Feb 01, 2020 215   Western Carolina W 76-74 57%    
  Feb 05, 2020 71   East Tennessee St. L 67-75 25%    
  Feb 08, 2020 107   @ Wofford L 65-76 18%    
  Feb 12, 2020 300   VMI W 80-73 72%    
  Feb 15, 2020 102   @ Furman L 64-75 18%    
  Feb 19, 2020 306   @ The Citadel W 82-81 55%    
  Feb 22, 2020 204   Mercer W 72-70 55%    
  Feb 26, 2020 300   @ VMI W 77-76 54%    
  Feb 29, 2020 96   UNC Greensboro L 67-72 33%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 1.8 1.9 0.6 0.1 5.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.2 2.7 0.6 0.1 8.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.5 3.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 11.0 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 4.0 5.6 3.3 0.5 0.0 0.0 14.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.8 5.3 6.2 2.8 0.5 0.0 16.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.1 6.0 5.2 2.0 0.2 0.0 17.1 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 3.9 4.8 3.0 0.9 0.1 13.8 9th
10th 0.4 1.9 2.8 2.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 8.8 10th
Total 0.4 1.9 4.0 6.8 9.1 11.1 12.4 12.6 11.1 9.8 7.6 5.6 3.6 2.0 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 99.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1
15-3 73.9% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 45.1% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 12.6% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 50.5% 47.7% 2.7% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.2%
16-2 0.2% 38.0% 29.7% 8.3% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.8%
15-3 0.5% 18.2% 16.9% 1.3% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.6%
14-4 1.1% 13.4% 13.3% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.1%
13-5 2.0% 11.9% 11.9% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.8
12-6 3.6% 9.9% 9.9% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.2
11-7 5.6% 5.8% 5.8% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.3
10-8 7.6% 3.7% 3.7% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 7.3
9-9 9.8% 2.4% 2.4% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 9.5
8-10 11.1% 1.6% 1.6% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.9
7-11 12.6% 0.7% 0.7% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 12.6
6-12 12.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 12.3
5-13 11.1% 0.1% 0.1% 15.6 0.0 0.0 11.1
4-14 9.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.1
3-15 6.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.8
2-16 4.0% 4.0
1-17 1.9% 1.9
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.4 97.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%