IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
VMI
Southern
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.0	#300
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	76.7	#31
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.7	#256

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.4	#324

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.5%	1.1%	0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.2	14.9	15.4

.500 or above	12.7%	27.9%	8.5%
.500 or above in Conference	10.4%	18.6%	8.1%
Conference Champion	0.3%	0.7%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	38.2%	25.4%	41.8%

First Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.2%
First Round	0.5%	1.1%	0.3%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: East Carolina (Away) - 21.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 4	0 - 6
Quad 3	2 - 7	2 - 14
Quad 4	8 - 6	10 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	203	@ East Carolina	L	74-82	22%
Nov 08, 2019	328	Marist	W	74-69	69%
Nov 11, 2019	319	Presbyterian	W	81-76	67%
Nov 14, 2019	271	@ Arkansas St.	L	76-81	33%
Nov 15, 2019	338	Idaho	W	76-72	66%
Nov 17, 2019	266	UC Davis	L	71-73	42%
Nov 24, 2019	96	@ UNC Greensboro	L	67-82	9%
Dec 04, 2019	126	@ Duquesne	L	73-87	11%
Dec 07, 2019	336	Stetson	W	83-76	73%
Dec 21, 2019	85	@ Virginia Tech	L	63-80	7%
Dec 29, 2019	340	@ South Carolina Upstate	W	79-77	56%
Jan 01, 2020	102	Furman	L	70-79	22%
Jan 04, 2020	142	Samford	L	78-84	30%
Jan 08, 2020	215	Western Carolina	L	80-82	44%
Jan 11, 2020	71	@ East Tennessee St.	L	68-86	6%
Jan 15, 2020	204	@ Mercer	L	73-81	24%
Jan 18, 2020	306	The Citadel	W	90-87	61%
Jan 22, 2020	107	@ Wofford	L	69-84	11%
Jan 25, 2020	204	Mercer	L	76-78	42%
Jan 29, 2020	102	@ Furman	L	67-82	10%
Feb 05, 2020	107	Wofford	L	72-81	23%
Feb 08, 2020	306	@ The Citadel	L	87-90	41%
Feb 12, 2020	235	@ Chattanooga	L	73-80	28%
Feb 15, 2020	71	East Tennessee St.	L	71-83	15%
Feb 19, 2020	215	@ Western Carolina	L	77-85	26%
Feb 22, 2020	96	UNC Greensboro	L	70-79	22%
Feb 26, 2020	235	Chattanooga	L	76-77	46%
Feb 29, 2020	142	@ Samford	L	75-87	16%
Projected Record						9 - 19	5 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southern Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.3	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0					0.7	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.4	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0						1.6	3rd
4th								0.0	0.1	0.7	1.3	0.8	0.1	0.0							3.0	4th
5th							0.0	0.3	1.3	2.0	1.1	0.1	0.0								4.8	5th
6th						0.1	0.8	2.7	3.2	1.3	0.2										8.2	6th
7th				0.0	0.2	1.8	4.4	4.0	1.6	0.2	0.0										12.2	7th
8th			0.0	0.9	3.7	6.7	4.7	1.5	0.2	0.0											17.6	8th
9th		0.3	3.0	7.1	8.0	4.2	1.1	0.1													23.7	9th
10th	2.7	7.3	9.0	6.1	2.4	0.4	0.1														27.9	10th

Total	2.7	7.6	12.0	14.0	14.2	13.2	11.1	8.5	6.3	4.2	3.1	1.7	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0				Total

Southern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-3	90.1%	0.1		0.1	0.0
14-4	46.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-5	18.7%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	3.9%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.3%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	0.0%																		0.0
16-2	0.0%																			0.0				0.0
15-3	0.1%		28.6%	28.6%		13.0													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1
14-4	0.2%		6.9%	6.9%		13.9													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
13-5	0.4%		8.0%	8.0%		14.4													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.4
12-6	0.8%		7.9%	7.9%		15.1															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.7
11-7	1.7%		3.5%	3.5%		14.7															0.0	0.0	0.0	1.6
10-8	3.1%		2.2%	2.2%		15.2														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	3.0
9-9	4.2%		3.4%	3.4%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.1	4.0
8-10	6.3%		1.1%	1.1%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.1	6.3
7-11	8.5%		0.4%	0.4%		15.8																0.0	0.0	8.5
6-12	11.1%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.0
5-13	13.2%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	13.2
4-14	14.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	14.2
3-15	14.0%																							14.0
2-16	12.0%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	12.0
1-17	7.6%																							7.6
0-18	2.7%																							2.7

Total	100%		0.5%	0.5%	0.0%	15.2													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	99.5		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%