Preseason Rankings
Gardner-Webb
Big South
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.0#176
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.0#205
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#172
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#200
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.1% 22.4% 14.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.2 14.9
.500 or above 64.6% 78.5% 54.6%
.500 or above in Conference 84.4% 89.8% 80.4%
Conference Champion 22.7% 28.4% 18.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.5% 1.7%
First Four2.5% 1.8% 3.0%
First Round17.1% 21.7% 13.7%
Second Round1.3% 2.0% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Furman (Home) - 41.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 21 - 5
Quad 33 - 43 - 9
Quad 413 - 416 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 102   Furman L 69-71 42%    
  Nov 09, 2019 215   @ Western Carolina L 75-76 47%    
  Nov 15, 2019 5   @ North Carolina L 70-93 2%    
  Nov 19, 2019 58   @ Wichita St. L 65-78 12%    
  Nov 22, 2019 78   @ South Carolina L 68-79 16%    
  Nov 26, 2019 258   Tennessee Martin W 78-74 65%    
  Dec 07, 2019 107   @ Wofford L 67-75 25%    
  Dec 13, 2019 320   @ Kennesaw St. W 75-69 70%    
  Dec 15, 2019 85   @ Virginia Tech L 62-72 19%    
  Jan 02, 2020 302   @ Campbell W 72-68 63%    
  Jan 04, 2020 319   Presbyterian W 79-67 84%    
  Jan 08, 2020 134   Radford W 70-69 51%    
  Jan 11, 2020 218   @ Winthrop L 78-79 47%    
  Jan 18, 2020 340   South Carolina Upstate W 80-65 89%    
  Jan 20, 2020 245   Hampton W 81-74 71%    
  Jan 23, 2020 308   @ High Point W 68-64 65%    
  Jan 25, 2020 194   Charleston Southern W 75-71 63%    
  Jan 30, 2020 301   @ UNC Asheville W 69-65 63%    
  Feb 01, 2020 260   Longwood W 76-69 73%    
  Feb 06, 2020 319   @ Presbyterian W 76-70 68%    
  Feb 08, 2020 340   @ South Carolina Upstate W 77-68 76%    
  Feb 10, 2020 308   High Point W 71-61 80%    
  Feb 13, 2020 218   Winthrop W 81-76 67%    
  Feb 20, 2020 245   @ Hampton W 78-77 52%    
  Feb 22, 2020 302   Campbell W 75-65 80%    
  Feb 27, 2020 194   @ Charleston Southern L 72-74 44%    
  Feb 29, 2020 134   @ Radford L 66-72 32%    
Projected Record 15 - 12 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.9 4.3 6.1 5.6 3.5 1.0 22.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 2.9 6.2 5.4 2.8 0.6 18.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 3.5 5.9 3.7 1.2 0.1 15.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 3.8 5.2 2.5 0.6 0.0 13.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.1 3.9 1.6 0.2 0.0 9.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.4 3.2 1.3 0.1 0.0 7.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.2 0.9 0.1 5.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.5 0.6 0.1 3.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.4 0.0 2.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.5 2.7 4.2 5.9 8.2 10.2 11.2 12.0 12.3 10.9 9.0 6.2 3.5 1.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.0    1.0
17-1 100.0% 3.5    3.3 0.1
16-2 90.4% 5.6    4.5 1.0 0.0
15-3 68.1% 6.1    3.9 2.0 0.2
14-4 39.3% 4.3    1.9 1.8 0.6 0.0 0.0
13-5 15.3% 1.9    0.4 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0
12-6 3.5% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 22.7% 22.7 15.1 5.9 1.5 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.0% 65.6% 63.1% 2.5% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 6.8%
17-1 3.5% 51.6% 50.7% 0.9% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.7 1.8%
16-2 6.2% 44.0% 44.0% 0.0% 13.8 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.1 3.5 0.0%
15-3 9.0% 34.3% 34.3% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.2 0.2 5.9
14-4 10.9% 28.9% 28.9% 14.7 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.3 0.6 7.8
13-5 12.3% 19.7% 19.7% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.0 9.9
12-6 12.0% 14.2% 14.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 10.3
11-7 11.2% 10.3% 10.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 10.0
10-8 10.2% 7.8% 7.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.7 9.4
9-9 8.2% 4.1% 4.1% 15.9 0.0 0.3 7.9
8-10 5.9% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1 5.8
7-11 4.2% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 4.1
6-12 2.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 2.7
5-13 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.5
4-14 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.8
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 18.1% 18.0% 0.1% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.7 4.0 5.2 4.9 81.9 0.1%