Preseason Rankings
Radford
Big South
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.7#134
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace62.7#327
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#129
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#158
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.7% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 31.4% 39.0% 28.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.8% 0.1%
Average Seed 13.9 13.1 14.2
.500 or above 81.9% 93.7% 78.0%
.500 or above in Conference 94.2% 97.8% 93.0%
Conference Champion 42.9% 54.6% 39.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.1% 0.5%
First Four2.2% 1.0% 2.6%
First Round30.5% 38.6% 27.9%
Second Round3.8% 6.9% 2.8%
Sweet Sixteen1.0% 1.9% 0.7%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Liberty (Away) - 24.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 34 - 45 - 8
Quad 414 - 319 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 87   @ Liberty L 60-67 25%    
  Nov 15, 2019 122   @ Georgia Southern L 74-78 34%    
  Nov 19, 2019 99   @ Northwestern L 61-67 30%    
  Nov 22, 2019 136   @ Bradley L 63-66 40%    
  Nov 26, 2019 239   @ Monmouth W 68-65 61%    
  Dec 04, 2019 232   James Madison W 71-62 78%    
  Dec 07, 2019 96   UNC Greensboro W 67-66 50%    
  Dec 14, 2019 126   Duquesne L 71-72 46%    
  Dec 18, 2019 48   @ Mississippi St. L 64-75 16%    
  Dec 22, 2019 105   Richmond L 68-70 42%    
  Jan 04, 2020 308   High Point W 70-57 87%    
  Jan 08, 2020 176   @ Gardner-Webb L 69-70 49%    
  Jan 11, 2020 302   Campbell W 73-60 86%    
  Jan 16, 2020 340   @ South Carolina Upstate W 75-64 83%    
  Jan 18, 2020 319   @ Presbyterian W 74-65 77%    
  Jan 20, 2020 218   Winthrop W 79-71 74%    
  Jan 23, 2020 301   @ UNC Asheville W 68-61 71%    
  Jan 25, 2020 245   Hampton W 78-69 78%    
  Jan 30, 2020 260   @ Longwood W 71-67 63%    
  Feb 01, 2020 194   Charleston Southern W 73-66 71%    
  Feb 08, 2020 308   @ High Point W 67-60 72%    
  Feb 10, 2020 218   @ Winthrop W 76-74 56%    
  Feb 13, 2020 319   Presbyterian W 77-62 88%    
  Feb 15, 2020 302   @ Campbell W 70-63 71%    
  Feb 20, 2020 301   UNC Asheville W 71-58 85%    
  Feb 22, 2020 340   South Carolina Upstate W 78-61 92%    
  Feb 27, 2020 245   @ Hampton W 75-72 61%    
  Feb 29, 2020 176   Gardner-Webb W 72-66 68%    
Projected Record 18 - 10 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.4 6.4 10.7 11.1 8.2 3.5 42.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.0 6.2 6.4 3.4 1.0 0.0 20.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.8 5.0 3.7 1.2 0.2 0.0 13.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.4 3.6 1.9 0.4 0.0 8.7 4th
5th 0.2 1.5 2.3 1.3 0.2 0.0 5.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 3.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.4 0.1 2.1 7th
8th 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.0 1.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 1.5 2.6 4.0 6.2 8.6 10.6 12.6 14.1 14.3 12.1 8.2 3.5 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 3.5    3.5
17-1 99.8% 8.2    7.9 0.3
16-2 92.1% 11.1    9.4 1.7 0.0
15-3 75.1% 10.7    7.1 3.3 0.4
14-4 45.6% 6.4    3.2 2.5 0.7 0.0 0.0
13-5 18.7% 2.4    0.7 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.6% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 42.9% 42.9 31.8 8.9 1.9 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 3.5% 71.1% 68.0% 3.2% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.0 9.9%
17-1 8.2% 60.9% 60.3% 0.6% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.2 1.6%
16-2 12.1% 49.8% 49.6% 0.2% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.0 2.0 0.9 0.1 6.1 0.4%
15-3 14.3% 40.4% 40.4% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.1 1.7 0.3 8.5 0.0%
14-4 14.1% 32.5% 32.5% 14.5 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.8 0.7 9.5
13-5 12.6% 25.5% 25.5% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.0 9.4
12-6 10.6% 20.0% 20.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.0 8.5
11-7 8.6% 12.7% 12.7% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 7.5
10-8 6.2% 10.7% 10.7% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 5.5
9-9 4.0% 6.9% 6.9% 15.9 0.0 0.2 3.8
8-10 2.6% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1 2.5
7-11 1.5% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 1.5
6-12 0.7% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.0 0.7
5-13 0.6% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.5
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 31.4% 31.2% 0.2% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.8 3.4 6.6 7.9 7.4 4.6 68.6 0.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 4.7 2.2 3.4 51.7 20.2 19.1 2.2 1.1