IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Hampton
Big South
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.7	#245
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	76.0	#36
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.4	#195

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.2	#294

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	8.2%	10.7%	6.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.0	14.8	15.2

.500 or above	47.8%	63.7%	37.3%
.500 or above in Conference	61.3%	71.2%	54.8%
Conference Champion	8.1%	11.3%	5.9%
Last Place in Conference	5.0%	2.9%	6.4%

First Four	1.9%	1.8%	1.9%
First Round	7.2%	9.8%	5.5%
Second Round	0.4%	0.7%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: William & Mary (Away) - 39.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	2 - 6	3 - 9
Quad 4	12 - 6	14 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 15, 2019	246	@ William & Mary	L	79-82	40%
Nov 23, 2019	42	@ Illinois	L	73-92	5%
Nov 26, 2019	111	@ San Francisco	L	71-82	15%
Nov 29, 2019	197	@ Cal St. Bakersfield	L	71-76	32%
Dec 03, 2019	105	Richmond	L	74-80	31%
Dec 05, 2019	337	Howard	W	88-77	82%
Dec 07, 2019	318	Norfolk St.	W	81-73	77%
Dec 18, 2019	207	@ Southern Illinois	L	71-76	34%
Dec 21, 2019	129	@ Kent St.	L	73-83	21%
Dec 28, 2019	307	St. Peter's	W	72-65	72%
Jan 04, 2020	194	Charleston Southern	W	79-78	52%
Jan 08, 2020	340	@ South Carolina Upstate	W	81-76	66%
Jan 11, 2020	260	Longwood	W	79-75	62%
Jan 16, 2020	218	Winthrop	W	85-83	56%
Jan 18, 2020	301	@ UNC Asheville	W	72-71	52%
Jan 20, 2020	176	@ Gardner-Webb	L	74-81	29%
Jan 23, 2020	302	Campbell	W	78-71	71%
Jan 25, 2020	134	@ Radford	L	69-78	22%
Feb 01, 2020	319	Presbyterian	W	82-74	75%
Feb 06, 2020	308	@ High Point	W	71-70	53%
Feb 08, 2020	194	@ Charleston Southern	L	75-81	34%
Feb 10, 2020	301	UNC Asheville	W	75-69	70%
Feb 13, 2020	302	@ Campbell	W	75-74	52%
Feb 15, 2020	260	@ Longwood	L	76-78	43%
Feb 20, 2020	176	Gardner-Webb	L	77-78	48%
Feb 22, 2020	218	@ Winthrop	L	82-86	36%
Feb 27, 2020	134	Radford	L	72-75	39%
Feb 29, 2020	340	South Carolina Upstate	W	84-73	82%
Projected Record						14 - 14	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	1.0	2.0	2.4	1.5	0.7	0.2		8.1	1st
2nd											0.0	0.5	2.3	3.7	2.7	0.9	0.1				10.2	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.9	3.3	4.7	2.3	0.5	0.0					11.6	3rd
4th									0.1	1.1	4.2	4.9	2.0	0.4	0.0						12.6	4th
5th								0.1	1.3	4.3	4.8	1.7	0.2	0.0							12.4	5th
6th							0.1	1.2	4.0	4.8	1.5	0.1	0.0								11.7	6th
7th						0.1	1.2	3.6	3.6	1.4	0.1	0.0									10.1	7th
8th					0.1	1.0	3.3	3.4	1.0	0.0											8.9	8th
9th			0.0	0.2	1.2	2.5	2.0	0.7	0.1	0.0											6.7	9th
10th		0.0	0.2	1.0	1.7	1.5	0.5	0.0	0.0												5.0	10th
11th	0.1	0.3	0.7	0.9	0.5	0.2	0.0														2.8	11th

Total	0.1	0.3	0.9	2.1	3.6	5.4	7.1	9.1	10.0	11.7	11.5	10.5	9.4	7.3	5.1	3.3	1.6	0.7	0.2			Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
17-1	100.0%	0.7		0.7	0.0
16-2	95.3%	1.5		1.3	0.3	0.0
15-3	72.3%	2.4		1.5	0.8	0.1
14-4	38.3%	2.0		0.9	0.8	0.2	0.0
13-5	13.7%	1.0		0.2	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.8%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.3%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	8.1%	8.1		4.9	2.4	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.2%		71.0%	70.7%	0.3%	12.0							0.0	0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1		0.9%
17-1	0.7%		46.6%	46.5%	0.1%	13.2											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.4		0.1%
16-2	1.6%		41.4%	41.4%		13.8												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0	1.0
15-3	3.3%		29.5%	29.5%		14.3													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.1	2.3
14-4	5.1%		24.5%	24.5%		14.9													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.3	3.9
13-5	7.3%		18.8%	18.8%		15.2													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	0.5	5.9
12-6	9.4%		13.2%	13.2%		15.5														0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	8.2
11-7	10.5%		8.7%	8.7%		15.7															0.0	0.2	0.7	9.6
10-8	11.5%		5.6%	5.6%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.6	10.8
9-9	11.7%		3.0%	3.0%		15.9																0.1	0.3	11.3
8-10	10.0%		1.6%	1.6%		16.0																0.0	0.2	9.8
7-11	9.1%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	9.1
6-12	7.1%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.1	7.0
5-13	5.4%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	5.4
4-14	3.6%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	3.5
3-15	2.1%																							2.1
2-16	0.9%																							0.9
1-17	0.3%																							0.3
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		8.2%	8.2%	0.0%	15.0							0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.4	2.4	3.5	91.8		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%