IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Longwood
Big South
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.4	#260
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.6	#210
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.7	#227

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.7	#282

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	6.7%	12.0%	5.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.3	15.0	15.5

.500 or above	56.8%	78.9%	51.3%
.500 or above in Conference	62.1%	76.7%	58.5%
Conference Champion	7.9%	13.5%	6.4%
Last Place in Conference	5.2%	2.6%	5.8%

First Four	2.4%	2.8%	2.2%
First Round	5.6%	10.6%	4.4%
Second Round	0.3%	0.7%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: George Mason (Away) - 20.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	2 - 5	2 - 7
Quad 4	14 - 8	16 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2019	151	@ George Mason	L	68-77	20%
Nov 12, 2019	350	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	57-43	89%
Nov 14, 2019	293	St. Francis Brooklyn	W	74-69	68%
Nov 18, 2019	147	@ Northern Illinois	L	66-75	21%
Nov 26, 2019	296	@ UC Riverside	L	66-67	48%
Nov 29, 2019	247	@ Pacific	L	66-70	38%
Dec 04, 2019	325	@ N.C. A&T	W	71-69	57%
Dec 07, 2019	329	@ Morgan St.	W	78-76	57%
Dec 15, 2019	336	@ Stetson	W	77-73	63%
Dec 19, 2019	306	The Citadel	W	86-80	70%
Dec 28, 2019	190	@ George Washington	L	67-73	30%
Jan 02, 2020	218	@ Winthrop	L	76-81	33%
Jan 04, 2020	340	South Carolina Upstate	W	78-68	81%
Jan 08, 2020	194	@ Charleston Southern	L	70-76	30%
Jan 11, 2020	245	@ Hampton	L	75-79	38%
Jan 16, 2020	319	Presbyterian	W	77-69	74%
Jan 18, 2020	302	@ Campbell	L	69-70	50%
Jan 20, 2020	301	UNC Asheville	W	70-64	69%
Jan 25, 2020	308	@ High Point	W	66-65	51%
Jan 30, 2020	134	Radford	L	67-71	37%
Feb 01, 2020	176	@ Gardner-Webb	L	69-76	27%
Feb 06, 2020	194	Charleston Southern	L	72-73	49%
Feb 08, 2020	218	Winthrop	W	79-78	53%
Feb 10, 2020	302	Campbell	W	73-67	68%
Feb 13, 2020	301	@ UNC Asheville	L	67-68	49%
Feb 15, 2020	245	Hampton	W	78-76	57%
Feb 20, 2020	340	@ South Carolina Upstate	W	75-71	64%
Feb 22, 2020	308	High Point	W	69-63	70%
Feb 27, 2020	319	@ Presbyterian	W	74-72	55%
Projected Record						15 - 14	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.0	0.3	1.0	2.0	2.1	1.6	0.7	0.2		7.9	1st
2nd											0.0	0.5	2.2	3.7	2.8	1.4	0.2	0.0			10.8	2nd
3rd										0.1	0.9	3.4	4.7	2.7	0.6	0.1					12.4	3rd
4th									0.0	0.9	4.0	4.7	2.3	0.3	0.0						12.3	4th
5th								0.1	1.1	4.2	4.9	1.8	0.2	0.0							12.2	5th
6th							0.1	1.0	4.2	4.5	1.5	0.2	0.0								11.5	6th
7th						0.1	1.0	3.6	3.8	1.3	0.2	0.0									9.9	7th
8th				0.0	0.1	0.9	3.0	3.1	1.1	0.1											8.2	8th
9th			0.0	0.1	0.8	2.6	2.6	0.8	0.1												7.0	9th
10th		0.0	0.2	0.9	1.6	1.7	0.5	0.0	0.0												4.9	10th
11th	0.1	0.3	0.7	0.9	0.7	0.2	0.0														2.9	11th

Total	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.9	3.3	5.4	7.1	8.6	10.4	11.0	11.5	10.6	9.6	7.8	5.4	3.6	1.8	0.7	0.2			Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
17-1	98.7%	0.7		0.6	0.1
16-2	87.3%	1.6		1.1	0.4	0.0
15-3	59.7%	2.1		1.2	0.8	0.1
14-4	36.3%	2.0		0.7	0.9	0.3	0.0	0.0
13-5	13.2%	1.0		0.3	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.7%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.3%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%	0.0						0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	7.9%	7.9		4.2	2.7	0.8	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.2%		51.9%	51.9%		13.1								0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
17-1	0.7%		38.0%	38.0%		13.7											0.0		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.4
16-2	1.8%		37.6%	37.6%		14.3													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.0	1.1
15-3	3.6%		25.2%	25.2%		14.7													0.0	0.0	0.3	0.4	0.1	2.7
14-4	5.4%		20.7%	20.7%		15.2													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	0.4	4.3
13-5	7.8%		13.8%	13.8%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.3	0.7	6.7
12-6	9.6%		9.1%	9.1%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.7	8.7
11-7	10.6%		6.4%	6.4%		15.9															0.0	0.1	0.6	9.9
10-8	11.5%		4.6%	4.6%		16.0																0.0	0.5	11.0
9-9	11.0%		2.6%	2.6%		16.0																0.0	0.3	10.7
8-10	10.4%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.1	10.2
7-11	8.6%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.1	8.5
6-12	7.1%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	7.1
5-13	5.4%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	5.4
4-14	3.3%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	3.3
3-15	1.9%																							1.9
2-16	0.8%																							0.8
1-17	0.3%																							0.3
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		6.7%	6.7%	0.0%	15.3								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1	0.3	0.8	1.8	3.6	93.3		0.0%