Preseason Rankings
Stetson
Atlantic Sun
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-12.1#336
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace72.4#88
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#313
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-7.0#344
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.8
.500 or above 4.1% 9.9% 2.4%
.500 or above in Conference 10.1% 16.9% 8.2%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.6% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 42.8% 31.8% 45.8%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Illinois (Away) - 21.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 71 - 12
Quad 46 - 117 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 283   @ Western Illinois L 70-78 22%    
  Nov 16, 2019 241   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 75-86 17%    
  Nov 18, 2019 14   @ Ohio St. L 56-86 0.4%   
  Nov 22, 2019 161   Iona L 75-87 14%    
  Nov 23, 2019 239   Monmouth L 68-76 25%    
  Nov 24, 2019 215   Western Carolina L 76-82 30%    
  Nov 30, 2019 129   @ Kent St. L 67-84 7%    
  Dec 03, 2019 326   Bethune-Cookman W 78-77 54%    
  Dec 07, 2019 300   @ VMI L 76-83 27%    
  Dec 15, 2019 260   Longwood L 73-77 37%    
  Dec 17, 2019 301   @ UNC Asheville L 66-73 27%    
  Dec 22, 2019 185   Florida International L 84-91 27%    
  Dec 30, 2019 78   @ South Carolina L 66-88 3%    
  Jan 02, 2020 177   Lipscomb L 77-85 25%    
  Jan 04, 2020 320   @ Kennesaw St. L 72-77 33%    
  Jan 11, 2020 257   Florida Gulf Coast L 72-76 37%    
  Jan 16, 2020 313   @ North Alabama L 71-77 31%    
  Jan 18, 2020 298   @ Jacksonville L 74-81 28%    
  Jan 23, 2020 175   NJIT L 69-77 25%    
  Jan 25, 2020 87   Liberty L 61-76 11%    
  Jan 30, 2020 155   @ North Florida L 74-89 10%    
  Feb 01, 2020 177   @ Lipscomb L 74-88 13%    
  Feb 06, 2020 257   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 69-79 21%    
  Feb 13, 2020 313   North Alabama L 73-74 49%    
  Feb 15, 2020 320   Kennesaw St. W 75-74 53%    
  Feb 20, 2020 175   @ NJIT L 66-80 12%    
  Feb 22, 2020 87   @ Liberty L 58-79 4%    
  Feb 27, 2020 155   North Florida L 77-86 22%    
  Feb 29, 2020 298   Jacksonville L 77-78 46%    
Projected Record 7 - 22 4 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 1.9 1.3 0.3 0.0 4.4 4th
5th 0.2 1.7 3.5 2.1 0.5 0.0 7.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.3 5.6 2.7 0.4 0.0 12.4 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 5.5 6.8 3.0 0.4 0.0 16.9 7th
8th 0.3 3.3 8.7 8.0 2.7 0.3 0.0 23.4 8th
9th 4.1 9.1 10.2 6.1 1.7 0.2 0.0 31.4 9th
Total 4.1 9.4 13.5 16.0 15.6 13.2 10.6 7.4 4.7 2.7 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 97.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-3 58.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-4 36.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
11-5 8.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.0% 1.2% 1.2% 14.0 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.1% 13.2% 13.2% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-4 0.3% 10.5% 10.5% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
11-5 0.8% 4.1% 4.1% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
10-6 1.4% 1.1% 1.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 1.4
9-7 2.7% 2.3% 2.3% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.7
8-8 4.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 4.6
7-9 7.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 7.4
6-10 10.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.6
5-11 13.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.1
4-12 15.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.6
3-13 16.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.0
2-14 13.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.5
1-15 9.4% 9.4
0-16 4.1% 4.1
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.1%