Preseason Rankings
Wagner
Northeast
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.3#331
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace61.7#331
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-8.5#344
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#253
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.3% 7.1% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 11.0% 47.9% 10.9%
.500 or above in Conference 27.3% 61.4% 27.2%
Conference Champion 2.2% 11.8% 2.2%
Last Place in Conference 24.6% 2.4% 24.7%
First Four1.7% 4.4% 1.7%
First Round1.4% 2.9% 1.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Seton Hall (Away) - 0.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 8
Quad 48 - 129 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 17   @ Seton Hall L 52-80 0.4%   
  Nov 09, 2019 43   @ Penn St. L 52-77 1%    
  Nov 16, 2019 175   @ NJIT L 57-70 11%    
  Nov 20, 2019 307   @ St. Peter's L 55-61 30%    
  Nov 23, 2019 196   Stony Brook L 61-67 30%    
  Nov 30, 2019 93   @ St. John's L 58-77 5%    
  Dec 14, 2019 321   @ Hartford L 62-66 35%    
  Dec 18, 2019 189   @ La Salle L 60-72 14%    
  Dec 21, 2019 244   Army L 64-68 38%    
  Dec 28, 2019 288   Fairfield L 64-65 46%    
  Jan 02, 2020 287   @ Mount St. Mary's L 61-68 27%    
  Jan 04, 2020 249   Sacred Heart L 69-72 38%    
  Jan 09, 2020 248   @ St. Francis (PA) L 63-73 21%    
  Jan 11, 2020 273   @ Robert Morris L 58-66 25%    
  Jan 18, 2020 293   St. Francis Brooklyn L 64-65 47%    
  Jan 20, 2020 210   LIU Brooklyn L 66-71 33%    
  Jan 23, 2020 314   @ Bryant L 64-69 33%    
  Jan 25, 2020 342   @ Central Connecticut St. L 66-67 48%    
  Jan 30, 2020 252   Fairleigh Dickinson L 64-67 40%    
  Feb 06, 2020 273   Robert Morris L 61-63 44%    
  Feb 08, 2020 248   St. Francis (PA) L 66-70 38%    
  Feb 13, 2020 252   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 61-70 23%    
  Feb 15, 2020 304   @ Merrimack L 62-68 31%    
  Feb 18, 2020 287   Mount St. Mary's L 64-65 46%    
  Feb 21, 2020 342   Central Connecticut St. W 69-64 66%    
  Feb 23, 2020 293   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 61-68 29%    
  Feb 27, 2020 210   @ LIU Brooklyn L 63-74 18%    
  Feb 29, 2020 314   Bryant W 67-66 52%    
Projected Record 9 - 19 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.8 1.4 0.5 0.0 0.0 4.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 2.7 1.8 0.4 0.0 5.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 3.1 2.4 0.5 0.0 7.0 5th
6th 0.1 0.8 3.5 3.3 0.7 0.0 8.4 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 3.7 4.3 1.0 0.0 10.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 4.1 4.6 1.4 0.1 11.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.9 4.8 1.6 0.1 0.0 13.5 9th
10th 0.1 1.0 3.4 5.5 4.6 1.5 0.2 16.3 10th
11th 0.9 3.0 4.9 4.6 2.6 1.0 0.1 17.1 11th
Total 0.9 3.1 5.9 8.2 10.1 11.8 11.5 10.9 10.3 8.5 6.7 4.6 3.3 2.1 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 94.5% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 74.0% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 58.3% 0.7    0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 24.0% 0.5    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 6.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 40.9% 40.9% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.3% 18.8% 18.8% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-3 0.6% 17.1% 17.1% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5
14-4 1.2% 18.1% 18.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0
13-5 2.1% 11.6% 11.6% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.9
12-6 3.3% 10.3% 10.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3 3.0
11-7 4.6% 7.8% 7.8% 16.0 0.0 0.3 4.2
10-8 6.7% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.4 6.3
9-9 8.5% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.3 8.2
8-10 10.3% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 10.1
7-11 10.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 10.8
6-12 11.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.4
5-13 11.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.8
4-14 10.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.1
3-15 8.2% 8.2
2-16 5.9% 5.9
1-17 3.1% 3.1
0-18 0.9% 0.9
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.1 97.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%