IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Wagner
Northeast
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-11.3	#331
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	61.7	#331
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-8.5	#344

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.8	#253

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.3%	7.1%	2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.9	15.9

.500 or above	11.0%	47.9%	10.9%
.500 or above in Conference	27.3%	61.4%	27.2%
Conference Champion	2.2%	11.8%	2.2%
Last Place in Conference	24.6%	2.4%	24.7%

First Four	1.7%	4.4%	1.7%
First Round	1.4%	2.9%	1.4%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Seton Hall (Away) - 0.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 5	1 - 8
Quad 4	8 - 12	9 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	17	@ Seton Hall	L	52-80	0.4%
Nov 09, 2019	43	@ Penn St.	L	52-77	1%
Nov 16, 2019	175	@ NJIT	L	57-70	11%
Nov 20, 2019	307	@ St. Peter's	L	55-61	30%
Nov 23, 2019	196	Stony Brook	L	61-67	30%
Nov 30, 2019	93	@ St. John's	L	58-77	5%
Dec 14, 2019	321	@ Hartford	L	62-66	35%
Dec 18, 2019	189	@ La Salle	L	60-72	14%
Dec 21, 2019	244	Army	L	64-68	38%
Dec 28, 2019	288	Fairfield	L	64-65	46%
Jan 02, 2020	287	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	61-68	27%
Jan 04, 2020	249	Sacred Heart	L	69-72	38%
Jan 09, 2020	248	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	63-73	21%
Jan 11, 2020	273	@ Robert Morris	L	58-66	25%
Jan 18, 2020	293	St. Francis Brooklyn	L	64-65	47%
Jan 20, 2020	210	LIU Brooklyn	L	66-71	33%
Jan 23, 2020	314	@ Bryant	L	64-69	33%
Jan 25, 2020	342	@ Central Connecticut St.	L	66-67	48%
Jan 30, 2020	252	Fairleigh Dickinson	L	64-67	40%
Feb 06, 2020	273	Robert Morris	L	61-63	44%
Feb 08, 2020	248	St. Francis (PA)	L	66-70	38%
Feb 13, 2020	252	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	61-70	23%
Feb 15, 2020	304	@ Merrimack	L	62-68	31%
Feb 18, 2020	287	Mount St. Mary's	L	64-65	46%
Feb 21, 2020	342	Central Connecticut St.	W	69-64	66%
Feb 23, 2020	293	@ St. Francis Brooklyn	L	61-68	29%
Feb 27, 2020	210	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	63-74	18%
Feb 29, 2020	314	Bryant	W	67-66	52%
Projected Record						9 - 19	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.1	0.2	0.5	0.7	0.4	0.3	0.0	0.0		2.2	1st
2nd											0.1	0.5	1.3	1.1	0.5	0.1	0.0				3.5	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.1	0.8	1.8	1.4	0.5	0.0	0.0					4.7	3rd
4th									0.0	0.8	2.7	1.8	0.4	0.0							5.7	4th
5th								0.0	0.9	3.1	2.4	0.5	0.0								7.0	5th
6th							0.1	0.8	3.5	3.3	0.7	0.0									8.4	6th
7th						0.1	0.9	3.7	4.3	1.0	0.0										10.0	7th
8th					0.1	1.2	4.1	4.6	1.4	0.1											11.5	8th
9th			0.0	0.3	1.8	4.9	4.8	1.6	0.1	0.0											13.5	9th
10th		0.1	1.0	3.4	5.5	4.6	1.5	0.2													16.3	10th
11th	0.9	3.0	4.9	4.6	2.6	1.0	0.1														17.1	11th

Total	0.9	3.1	5.9	8.2	10.1	11.8	11.5	10.9	10.3	8.5	6.7	4.6	3.3	2.1	1.2	0.6	0.3	0.0	0.0			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
16-2	94.5%	0.3		0.3	0.0
15-3	74.0%	0.4		0.3	0.1	0.0
14-4	58.3%	0.7		0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0
13-5	24.0%	0.5		0.1	0.3	0.1	0.0
12-6	6.2%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	1.4%	0.1				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.2%	2.2		1.2	0.7	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																				0.0			0.0
17-1	0.0%		40.9%	40.9%		14.5														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
16-2	0.3%		18.8%	18.8%		14.9															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3
15-3	0.6%		17.1%	17.1%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5
14-4	1.2%		18.1%	18.1%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.2	1.0
13-5	2.1%		11.6%	11.6%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.2	1.9
12-6	3.3%		10.3%	10.3%		16.0																0.0	0.3	3.0
11-7	4.6%		7.8%	7.8%		16.0																0.0	0.3	4.2
10-8	6.7%		5.6%	5.6%		16.0																	0.4	6.3
9-9	8.5%		3.1%	3.1%		16.0																	0.3	8.2
8-10	10.3%		1.9%	1.9%		16.0																	0.2	10.1
7-11	10.9%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.1	10.8
6-12	11.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	11.4
5-13	11.8%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	11.8
4-14	10.1%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	10.1
3-15	8.2%																							8.2
2-16	5.9%																							5.9
1-17	3.1%																							3.1
0-18	0.9%																							0.9

Total	100%		2.3%	2.3%	0.0%	15.9														0.0	0.1	0.1	2.1	97.7		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.4%