IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Merrimack
Northeast
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.3	#304
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.0	#144
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.2	#314

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.1	#257

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.9%	7.6%	4.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.7	15.6	15.8

.500 or above	25.3%	35.6%	14.8%
.500 or above in Conference	47.6%	56.1%	39.0%
Conference Champion	6.1%	8.5%	3.6%
Last Place in Conference	10.4%	7.2%	13.7%

First Four	3.7%	4.2%	3.2%
First Round	4.1%	5.5%	2.7%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Maine (Away) - 50.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 6	1 - 9
Quad 4	11 - 10	12 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2019	333	@ Maine	W	66-65	50%
Nov 08, 2019	99	@ Northwestern	L	58-74	7%
Nov 15, 2019	193	Dartmouth	L	67-73	29%
Nov 16, 2019	263	@ Umass Lowell	L	74-80	31%
Nov 17, 2019	298	Jacksonville	L	74-75	48%
Nov 19, 2019	36	@ Providence	L	59-82	2%
Nov 24, 2019	321	@ Hartford	L	70-71	46%
Nov 29, 2019	132	@ Akron	L	60-73	13%
Dec 04, 2019	171	@ Brown	L	68-79	18%
Dec 11, 2019	244	Army	L	71-72	48%
Dec 22, 2019	160	@ UC Santa Barbara	L	63-74	16%
Dec 29, 2019	200	Boston University	L	70-73	41%
Jan 02, 2020	249	@ Sacred Heart	L	74-80	29%
Jan 04, 2020	273	Robert Morris	W	68-67	54%
Jan 09, 2020	287	Mount St. Mary's	W	71-69	55%
Jan 11, 2020	342	@ Central Connecticut St.	W	73-71	58%
Jan 15, 2020	314	Bryant	W	75-71	62%
Jan 18, 2020	273	@ Robert Morris	L	65-70	34%
Jan 20, 2020	248	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	70-77	29%
Jan 23, 2020	252	Fairleigh Dickinson	L	71-72	49%
Jan 30, 2020	293	St. Francis Brooklyn	W	72-70	57%
Feb 01, 2020	210	LIU Brooklyn	L	74-76	42%
Feb 06, 2020	252	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	69-75	30%
Feb 08, 2020	210	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	71-79	24%
Feb 13, 2020	293	@ St. Francis Brooklyn	L	69-73	38%
Feb 15, 2020	331	Wagner	W	68-62	69%
Feb 18, 2020	314	@ Bryant	L	72-74	43%
Feb 21, 2020	249	Sacred Heart	L	77-78	49%
Feb 23, 2020	287	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	68-72	36%
Feb 27, 2020	342	Central Connecticut St.	W	76-68	75%
Projected Record						12 - 18	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.1	0.4	1.3	1.7	1.4	0.8	0.3	0.0		6.1	1st
2nd											0.1	0.9	2.3	2.6	1.1	0.3	0.0				7.4	2nd
3rd										0.1	1.1	3.0	3.0	1.0	0.1						8.3	3rd
4th									0.1	1.1	3.8	3.6	1.0	0.1	0.0						9.7	4th
5th								0.0	0.9	4.0	3.7	1.0	0.0								9.7	5th
6th							0.0	0.8	4.1	4.6	1.2	0.1									10.8	6th
7th						0.0	0.8	3.9	4.7	1.4	0.1										11.0	7th
8th					0.1	1.0	3.5	4.6	1.7	0.1	0.0										10.9	8th
9th			0.0	0.2	1.4	3.5	4.0	1.5	0.1	0.0											10.6	9th
10th		0.0	0.3	1.7	3.0	3.0	1.2	0.1													9.3	10th
11th	0.2	0.8	1.6	1.8	1.4	0.5	0.0	0.0													6.4	11th

Total	0.2	0.8	1.9	3.7	5.8	8.0	9.5	11.0	11.5	11.3	10.0	8.7	6.8	5.0	3.0	1.8	0.8	0.3	0.0			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.3		0.3	0.0
16-2	95.0%	0.8		0.7	0.1
15-3	81.7%	1.4		1.0	0.4	0.0
14-4	56.8%	1.7		0.8	0.7	0.2	0.0
13-5	26.4%	1.3		0.3	0.6	0.3	0.1
12-6	6.2%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.8%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	6.1%	6.1		3.2	2.0	0.7	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		58.2%	58.2%		13.9												0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
17-1	0.3%		54.0%	54.0%		14.3														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1
16-2	0.8%		38.9%	38.9%		14.6													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.5
15-3	1.8%		30.6%	30.6%		15.1														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	1.2
14-4	3.0%		22.5%	22.5%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	2.3
13-5	5.0%		17.5%	17.5%		15.8															0.0	0.2	0.7	4.1
12-6	6.8%		13.1%	13.1%		15.9															0.0	0.1	0.8	5.9
11-7	8.7%		9.7%	9.7%		16.0																0.0	0.8	7.8
10-8	10.0%		5.9%	5.9%		16.0																0.0	0.6	9.4
9-9	11.3%		4.8%	4.8%		16.0																0.0	0.5	10.7
8-10	11.5%		3.1%	3.1%		16.0																	0.4	11.2
7-11	11.0%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.1	10.9
6-12	9.5%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	9.5
5-13	8.0%																							8.0
4-14	5.8%																							5.8
3-15	3.7%																							3.7
2-16	1.9%																							1.9
1-17	0.8%																							0.8
0-18	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		5.9%	5.9%	0.0%	15.7												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.9	4.7	94.1		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%