Preseason Rankings
NJIT
Atlantic Sun
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#175
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.8#232
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#206
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#160
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.2% 19.2% 11.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.1 14.8
.500 or above 65.5% 83.8% 58.8%
.500 or above in Conference 80.3% 89.1% 77.1%
Conference Champion 15.2% 22.5% 12.5%
Last Place in Conference 2.0% 0.5% 2.5%
First Four1.9% 1.4% 2.1%
First Round12.4% 18.6% 10.1%
Second Round1.1% 2.3% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Colgate (Away) - 26.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 33 - 44 - 10
Quad 413 - 417 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 127   @ Colgate L 68-74 27%    
  Nov 09, 2019 36   @ Providence L 62-77 8%    
  Nov 13, 2019 282   @ Cornell W 71-68 60%    
  Nov 16, 2019 331   Wagner W 70-57 89%    
  Nov 20, 2019 339   Binghamton W 75-60 90%    
  Nov 23, 2019 171   @ Brown L 71-74 39%    
  Nov 26, 2019 66   @ Rutgers L 63-75 15%    
  Dec 04, 2019 244   @ Army W 71-70 53%    
  Dec 07, 2019 94   @ Central Florida L 62-70 24%    
  Dec 11, 2019 263   Umass Lowell W 80-72 75%    
  Dec 14, 2019 293   @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 72-68 63%    
  Dec 29, 2019 73   @ Connecticut L 67-78 17%    
  Jan 04, 2020 87   Liberty L 62-66 36%    
  Jan 09, 2020 298   @ Jacksonville W 75-71 63%    
  Jan 11, 2020 155   @ North Florida L 75-79 36%    
  Jan 16, 2020 177   Lipscomb W 77-74 61%    
  Jan 18, 2020 320   Kennesaw St. W 77-65 84%    
  Jan 23, 2020 336   @ Stetson W 77-69 75%    
  Jan 25, 2020 257   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 70-69 55%    
  Jan 30, 2020 313   North Alabama W 75-64 82%    
  Feb 06, 2020 155   North Florida W 78-76 56%    
  Feb 08, 2020 298   Jacksonville W 78-68 80%    
  Feb 13, 2020 177   @ Lipscomb L 74-77 42%    
  Feb 15, 2020 87   @ Liberty L 59-69 21%    
  Feb 20, 2020 336   Stetson W 80-66 88%    
  Feb 22, 2020 257   Florida Gulf Coast W 73-66 73%    
  Feb 27, 2020 313   @ North Alabama W 72-67 66%    
  Feb 29, 2020 320   @ Kennesaw St. W 74-68 70%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 2.2 4.6 4.7 2.4 0.6 15.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.2 6.0 7.3 4.5 1.1 21.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.7 7.8 6.3 2.0 0.1 20.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 4.2 6.9 3.7 0.8 0.0 16.6 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 3.6 4.7 1.9 0.2 0.0 11.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 2.9 2.9 0.8 0.1 7.4 6th
7th 0.1 0.6 1.7 1.4 0.4 0.0 4.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.8 3.2 5.6 7.7 10.3 12.9 13.9 13.7 11.5 9.2 5.8 2.4 0.6 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.6    0.6
15-1 100.0% 2.4    2.3 0.2
14-2 81.6% 4.7    3.4 1.3 0.0
13-3 49.5% 4.6    2.2 2.1 0.3 0.0
12-4 19.4% 2.2    0.8 1.0 0.4 0.0
11-5 4.2% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 15.2% 15.2 9.2 4.8 1.0 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.6% 60.1% 56.2% 3.9% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 8.8%
15-1 2.4% 46.2% 46.0% 0.2% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3 0.3%
14-2 5.8% 36.7% 36.6% 0.2% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1 3.7 0.2%
13-3 9.2% 28.8% 28.7% 0.1% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.3 6.6 0.1%
12-4 11.5% 18.9% 18.9% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.4 9.4
11-5 13.7% 14.3% 14.3% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 11.7
10-6 13.9% 8.4% 8.4% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 12.7
9-7 12.9% 6.4% 6.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 12.0
8-8 10.3% 5.2% 5.2% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 9.8
7-9 7.7% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.2 7.5
6-10 5.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 5.5
5-11 3.2% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 3.2
4-12 1.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.8
3-13 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 0.9
2-14 0.3% 0.3
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 13.2% 13.2% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.9 3.1 3.8 3.5 86.8 0.1%