IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Bryant
Northeast
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-9.1	#314
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.4	#159
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.0	#261

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-6.1	#336

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.5%	6.8%	3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.8	15.7	15.9

.500 or above	24.6%	40.5%	17.7%
.500 or above in Conference	44.5%	56.9%	39.0%
Conference Champion	5.3%	8.2%	4.1%
Last Place in Conference	12.6%	7.5%	14.8%

First Four	3.1%	4.1%	2.6%
First Round	3.0%	4.7%	2.2%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Brown (Home) - 30.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	1 - 5	1 - 7
Quad 4	11 - 11	12 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	171	Brown	L	73-79	31%
Nov 07, 2019	66	@ Rutgers	L	62-82	3%
Nov 10, 2019	282	Cornell	W	74-73	53%
Nov 13, 2019	307	@ St. Peter's	L	64-68	37%
Nov 18, 2019	315	@ Niagara	L	77-80	40%
Nov 20, 2019	254	@ Drexel	L	74-81	28%
Nov 26, 2019	334	@ New Hampshire	L	67-68	48%
Dec 02, 2019	267	Navy	L	71-72	49%
Dec 06, 2019	173	Columbia	L	73-78	33%
Dec 10, 2019	233	@ Fordham	L	64-72	24%
Dec 21, 2019	193	@ Dartmouth	L	68-78	20%
Dec 29, 2019	9	@ Maryland	L	58-87	1%
Jan 02, 2020	248	St. Francis (PA)	L	76-77	46%
Jan 04, 2020	252	Fairleigh Dickinson	L	73-74	46%
Jan 11, 2020	287	Mount St. Mary's	W	73-72	53%
Jan 15, 2020	304	@ Merrimack	L	71-75	38%
Jan 18, 2020	210	LIU Brooklyn	L	76-79	41%
Jan 23, 2020	331	Wagner	W	69-64	67%
Jan 25, 2020	287	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	70-75	34%
Jan 30, 2020	273	@ Robert Morris	L	67-73	32%
Feb 01, 2020	248	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	73-80	28%
Feb 06, 2020	293	St. Francis Brooklyn	W	74-73	55%
Feb 08, 2020	342	Central Connecticut St.	W	78-71	74%
Feb 13, 2020	249	@ Sacred Heart	L	76-83	28%
Feb 15, 2020	342	@ Central Connecticut St.	W	75-74	55%
Feb 18, 2020	304	Merrimack	W	74-72	57%
Feb 21, 2020	293	@ St. Francis Brooklyn	L	71-76	35%
Feb 23, 2020	249	Sacred Heart	L	79-80	46%
Feb 27, 2020	252	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	70-77	28%
Feb 29, 2020	331	@ Wagner	L	66-67	48%
Projected Record						12 - 18	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	1.2	1.5	1.3	0.7	0.2	0.1		5.3	1st
2nd											0.1	0.8	2.1	2.3	1.2	0.4	0.0	0.0			7.0	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.1	0.9	2.9	2.9	1.0	0.1	0.0					7.8	3rd
4th									0.0	0.9	3.7	2.8	1.0	0.1							8.5	4th
5th								0.0	0.9	3.7	3.7	0.9	0.1								9.4	5th
6th							0.0	0.9	3.9	4.5	1.1	0.1									10.5	6th
7th						0.1	0.8	3.9	4.8	1.6	0.1	0.0									11.2	7th
8th					0.1	1.0	3.7	4.6	1.8	0.1											11.2	8th
9th			0.0	0.1	1.1	3.7	4.2	1.7	0.1	0.0											11.0	9th
10th		0.0	0.4	1.8	3.6	3.0	1.3	0.2													10.2	10th
11th	0.2	0.9	2.0	2.3	1.8	0.6	0.0	0.0													7.8	11th

Total	0.2	1.0	2.4	4.1	6.6	8.3	10.1	11.2	11.5	10.9	9.5	7.5	6.3	4.6	2.8	1.7	0.7	0.2	0.1			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	99.8%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-2	94.7%	0.7		0.6	0.1
15-3	75.7%	1.3		0.9	0.4	0.0
14-4	53.2%	1.5		0.7	0.7	0.2
13-5	26.2%	1.2		0.4	0.5	0.3	0.0
12-6	4.7%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.5%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	5.3%	5.3		2.9	1.7	0.6	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		47.1%	47.1%		14.3													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
17-1	0.2%		36.5%	36.5%		14.3													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
16-2	0.7%		24.5%	24.5%		14.8													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.5
15-3	1.7%		24.0%	24.0%		15.5													0.0		0.0	0.2	0.2	1.3
14-4	2.8%		17.3%	17.3%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	2.3
13-5	4.6%		13.8%	13.8%		15.9															0.0	0.1	0.6	4.0
12-6	6.3%		10.3%	10.3%		15.9																0.0	0.6	5.7
11-7	7.5%		8.0%	8.0%		16.0																0.0	0.6	6.9
10-8	9.5%		5.9%	5.9%		16.0																0.0	0.6	8.9
9-9	10.9%		3.5%	3.5%		16.0																0.0	0.4	10.6
8-10	11.5%		2.2%	2.2%		16.0																0.0	0.3	11.2
7-11	11.2%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.2	11.1
6-12	10.1%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	10.1
5-13	8.3%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	8.3
4-14	6.6%																							6.6
3-15	4.1%																							4.1
2-16	2.4%																							2.4
1-17	1.0%																							1.0
0-18	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		4.5%	4.5%	0.0%	15.8													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	3.8	95.5		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%