IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Hartford
America East
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-10.0	#321
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.8	#231
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.8	#306

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.3	#322

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.2%	1.7%	0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.7	15.7	15.9

.500 or above	16.4%	24.1%	8.2%
.500 or above in Conference	26.6%	33.0%	19.8%
Conference Champion	0.9%	1.3%	0.5%
Last Place in Conference	20.0%	15.2%	25.1%

First Four	0.7%	0.9%	0.6%
First Round	0.8%	1.2%	0.5%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Central Connecticut St. (Away) - 51.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 6	1 - 10
Quad 4	9 - 10	11 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	342	@ Central Connecticut St.	W	73-72	52%
Nov 07, 2019	218	Winthrop	L	75-79	36%
Nov 12, 2019	328	@ Marist	L	65-68	41%
Nov 18, 2019	201	@ Oakland	L	68-79	17%
Nov 24, 2019	304	Merrimack	W	71-70	54%
Nov 27, 2019	89	@ SMU	L	59-77	5%
Nov 30, 2019	156	@ Texas St.	L	60-73	12%
Dec 05, 2019	293	St. Francis Brooklyn	W	71-70	52%
Dec 08, 2019	249	Sacred Heart	L	76-78	42%
Dec 14, 2019	331	Wagner	W	66-62	65%
Dec 22, 2019	282	Cornell	L	70-71	49%
Dec 29, 2019	99	@ Northwestern	L	57-74	7%
Dec 31, 2019	108	@ Bowling Green	L	66-83	7%
Jan 04, 2020	334	New Hampshire	W	67-62	65%
Jan 08, 2020	263	@ Umass Lowell	L	73-80	28%
Jan 15, 2020	196	Stony Brook	L	68-73	34%
Jan 18, 2020	84	@ Vermont	L	58-77	5%
Jan 22, 2020	206	Maryland Baltimore Co.	L	64-68	36%
Jan 25, 2020	178	@ Albany	L	64-76	17%
Jan 29, 2020	339	Binghamton	W	71-66	67%
Feb 01, 2020	333	@ Maine	L	65-67	44%
Feb 05, 2020	206	@ Maryland Baltimore Co.	L	61-71	20%
Feb 08, 2020	84	Vermont	L	61-74	14%
Feb 12, 2020	178	Albany	L	67-73	32%
Feb 15, 2020	263	Umass Lowell	L	76-77	46%
Feb 20, 2020	334	@ New Hampshire	L	64-65	45%
Feb 22, 2020	339	@ Binghamton	L	68-69	48%
Feb 26, 2020	196	@ Stony Brook	L	65-76	19%
Mar 03, 2020	333	Maine	W	68-64	63%
Projected Record						10 - 19	6 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected America East Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0		0.9	1st
2nd									0.0	0.2	0.7	1.2	0.8	0.3	0.1				3.3	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.5	2.1	2.6	1.2	0.2	0.0					6.7	3rd
4th							0.1	1.3	3.9	3.7	1.4	0.2	0.0						10.5	4th
5th						0.2	2.2	6.1	4.5	1.2	0.1								14.3	5th
6th				0.0	0.6	4.1	7.5	4.4	0.8	0.0									17.4	6th
7th			0.0	1.2	5.2	7.7	3.7	0.4	0.0										18.2	7th
8th		0.2	2.0	5.7	5.8	2.2	0.3	0.0											16.0	8th
9th	0.9	3.1	4.5	3.1	0.9	0.1	0.0												12.6	9th

Total	0.9	3.2	6.5	9.9	12.5	14.2	13.8	12.3	9.7	7.3	4.8	2.7	1.3	0.7	0.2	0.0	0.0			Total

America East Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
14-2	73.8%	0.2		0.1	0.0
13-3	52.2%	0.4		0.2	0.2	0.0
12-4	20.2%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
11-5	3.7%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-6	0.2%	0.0			0.0		0.0		0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	0.9%	0.9		0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.0%																			0.0				0.0
15-1	0.0%		7.0%	7.0%		13.7													0.0		0.0	0.0		0.0
14-2	0.2%		23.2%	23.2%		14.3														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
13-3	0.7%		15.4%	15.4%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6
12-4	1.3%		11.1%	11.1%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	1.2
11-5	2.7%		7.8%	7.8%		15.6															0.0	0.1	0.1	2.4
10-6	4.8%		3.7%	3.7%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.1	4.6
9-7	7.3%		2.1%	2.1%		16.0																0.0	0.2	7.1
8-8	9.7%		1.6%	1.6%		16.0																0.0	0.2	9.5
7-9	12.3%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	12.2
6-10	13.8%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	13.7
5-11	14.2%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	14.2
4-12	12.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	12.5
3-13	9.9%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	9.9
2-14	6.5%																							6.5
1-15	3.2%																							3.2
0-16	0.9%																							0.9

Total	100%		1.2%	1.2%	0.0%	15.7													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	1.0	98.8		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%