Austin Peay
Ohio Valley
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.7#228
Expected Predictive Rating-2.9#229
Pace71.1#141
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.8#118
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.5#321
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.4% 7.9% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 13.9 14.6
.500 or above 34.1% 56.4% 28.4%
.500 or above in Conference 55.7% 69.2% 52.2%
Conference Champion 4.0% 6.2% 3.4%
Last Place in Conference 6.0% 3.6% 6.6%
First Four0.3% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round4.3% 7.8% 3.4%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tulsa (Away) - 20.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 7
Quad 32 - 53 - 12
Quad 410 - 513 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 71   @ Western Kentucky L 75-97 10%     0 - 1 -11.9 +7.5 -20.1
  Nov 16, 2019 124   @ Tulsa L 69-78 20%    
  Nov 20, 2019 120   @ Vanderbilt L 71-80 19%    
  Nov 23, 2019 318   SE Louisiana W 80-70 81%    
  Nov 25, 2019 326   South Carolina St. W 82-72 83%    
  Dec 03, 2019 31   @ Arkansas L 69-88 5%    
  Dec 07, 2019 154   North Florida L 80-81 48%    
  Dec 12, 2019 48   @ West Virginia L 76-93 7%    
  Dec 21, 2019 106   Duquesne L 74-82 27%    
  Dec 22, 2019 321   Alabama St. W 77-70 73%    
  Dec 30, 2019 66   @ Georgia L 73-88 10%    
  Jan 02, 2020 300   Southeast Missouri St. W 81-74 74%    
  Jan 04, 2020 264   Tennessee Martin W 84-79 66%    
  Jan 09, 2020 297   @ Tennessee Tech W 75-74 54%    
  Jan 11, 2020 212   @ Jacksonville St. L 72-76 37%    
  Jan 16, 2020 300   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 78-77 56%    
  Jan 18, 2020 264   @ Tennessee Martin L 81-82 46%    
  Jan 23, 2020 243   Tennessee St. W 79-75 63%    
  Jan 25, 2020 73   Belmont L 78-86 26%    
  Jan 30, 2020 331   SIU Edwardsville W 84-73 82%    
  Feb 01, 2020 190   Eastern Illinois W 76-75 53%    
  Feb 06, 2020 243   @ Tennessee St. L 76-78 42%    
  Feb 08, 2020 73   @ Belmont L 75-89 13%    
  Feb 13, 2020 115   Murray St. L 76-79 39%    
  Feb 15, 2020 276   Eastern Kentucky W 89-84 66%    
  Feb 20, 2020 331   @ SIU Edwardsville W 81-76 65%    
  Feb 22, 2020 190   @ Eastern Illinois L 73-78 34%    
  Feb 27, 2020 218   Morehead St. W 77-74 59%    
  Feb 29, 2020 115   @ Murray St. L 73-82 22%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.8 3.3 2.1 0.9 0.1 8.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.9 4.0 2.5 0.4 0.0 10.4 3rd
4th 0.7 3.7 4.7 2.1 0.3 0.0 11.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.9 5.3 1.6 0.2 0.0 11.5 5th
6th 0.3 2.8 5.0 2.2 0.2 0.0 10.5 6th
7th 0.2 2.8 6.1 2.4 0.3 11.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 4.2 2.5 0.3 0.0 8.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.5 3.4 2.8 0.5 0.0 8.3 9th
10th 0.2 1.0 2.6 2.2 0.6 0.0 6.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.0 1.4 0.4 5.0 11th
12th 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.2 12th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.3 3.8 5.7 8.0 10.6 12.4 12.2 12.1 9.8 8.0 6.5 3.8 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 88.0% 0.7    0.6 0.1 0.0
15-3 59.9% 1.3    0.6 0.6 0.1
14-4 32.8% 1.3    0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0
13-5 6.7% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.0% 4.0 1.9 1.6 0.4 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 42.4% 42.4% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.8% 35.9% 35.9% 13.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
15-3 2.2% 28.7% 28.7% 13.7 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.6
14-4 3.8% 22.0% 22.0% 13.9 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 3.0
13-5 6.5% 13.1% 13.1% 14.5 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 5.6
12-6 8.0% 9.5% 9.5% 14.8 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.1 7.3
11-7 9.8% 4.6% 4.6% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 9.4
10-8 12.1% 2.6% 2.6% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.8
9-9 12.2% 1.0% 1.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 12.1
8-10 12.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.4
7-11 10.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.6
6-12 8.0% 8.0
5-13 5.7% 5.7
4-14 3.8% 3.8
3-15 2.3% 2.3
2-16 1.0% 1.0
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.4% 4.4% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 1.5 0.6 95.6 0.0%